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Who Should I Draft?

Bryce Harper or Yu Darvish (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Expert
Recommendation
89%
Recommended by
49 of 55 experts
11%
Recommended by
6 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 18
Best Rank# 8# 10
Worst Rank# 36# 40
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 17
Best Rank# 17# 16
Worst Rank# 18# 19
   
Projections 
   
Runs103
Home Runs3623
RBI104
Stolen Bases14
Batting Avg.266
Strikeouts155217
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.37
WHIP1.10
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 17# 33
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 14# 23
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 23
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 15# 18
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 16
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 40
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 18
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 15# 26
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 18
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 15# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 19# 23
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 19
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 17
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 14# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 19
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 18
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 14# 25
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 15# 17
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 16
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 14# 19
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 18
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 32
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 17
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 14# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 17
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 8# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 17# 21
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 15# 35
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 23# 31
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 10# 17
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 13# 23
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 14# 21
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 14# 17
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 12# 17
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 16# 21
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 14# 22
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 15# 18
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 14# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 15
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 19# 15
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 12
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 19# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 36# 19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs41
   
Home Runs135
   
RBI33
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.268
   
Strikeouts4393
   
Wins8
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.01
   
WHIP0.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs103
   
Home Runs3623
   
RBI104
   
Stolen Bases14
   
Batting Avg.266
   
Strikeouts155217
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.37
   
WHIP1.10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
News 
 Bryce Harper (wrist) is once again sidelined from Thursday’s lineup.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 6th
Yu Darvish gave up 2 earned runs in 5.2 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Wednesday. Darvish struck out 8 and walked 1 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Thu, May 6th
 Bryce Harper (wrist) remains absent from Tuesday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 4th
Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 6.1 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Giants on Friday. Darvish struck out 12 and walked 3 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Sat, May 1st
 Bryce Harper (wrist) is absent from Monday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 3rd
Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Dodgers on Friday. Darvish struck out 9 and walked 3 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Sat, Apr 24th
 Bryce Harper went 1-for-4 with a walk and run scored in Sunday's loss to the Mets.
Andy Zimmerman
Mon, May 3rd
Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. Darvish struck out 9 in the outing and walked 2.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 18th
 Bryce Harper (face) is once again absent from Friday's lineup.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 30th
Yu Darvish allowed 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Monday. Darvish struck out 6 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Mon, Apr 12th
Notes 
 In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros