Who Should I Draft?

Carlos Carrasco or James Paxton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
56 of 56 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 14
Best Rank# 7# 11
Worst Rank# 15# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 36# 49
Best Rank# 33# 47
Worst Rank# 40# 55
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts215196
Wins1513
Saves00
ERA3.313.46
WHIP1.121.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 10# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 10# 15
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 10# 15
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 9# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 12# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 15
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 16
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 11# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 11# 24
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 8# 11
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 11# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 10# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 7# 16
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 15# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 8# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 8# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 14
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 8# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 7# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 10# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 10# 21
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 9# 31
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 12
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 11# 14
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 11# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 17
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 12# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 8# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 8# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 10# 17
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 8# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 11# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 10# 12
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 11# 13
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 8# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 16
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 14# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 7# 13
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 11# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 13
   
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3228
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched192.0160.1
   
Wins1711
   
Losses106
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173134
   
Earned Runs7267
   
Home Runs Allowed2123
   
Strikeouts231208
   
Walks4342
   
ERA3.383.76
   
WHIP1.131.10
   
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3028
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched189.4166.2
   
Wins1513
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed168144
   
Earned Runs7064
   
Home Runs Allowed2221
   
Strikeouts215196
   
Walks4445
   
ERA3.313.46
   
WHIP1.121.14
   
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
News 
 The Indians have placed Carlos Carrasco on the 10-day injured list with a blood condition.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
James Paxton was handed the loss after surrendering six runs on seven hits over 2 2/3 innings during Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Mets. He struck out one and walked two.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 12th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco struggled in a 10-4 loss to the White Sox on Thursday. Carrasco allowed six runs in 6 1/3 innings while striking out seven.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, May 31st
James Paxton pitched 4 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays on Wednesday and allowed four runs (three earned) on four hits and three walks. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco struggled in his team's 6-2 loss to the Rays on Saturday. Carrasco allowed six runs (five earned) in 6 1/3 innings of work while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, May 26th
James Paxton gave up no runs and no hits while walking two and striking out seven over four innings on Wednesday as the Yankees beat the Padres.
John Aubin
Wed, May 29th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco worked hard to get through five innings in a 6-4 loss to Oakland on Monday. Carrasco threw 100 pitches and allowed three runs while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, May 21st
James Paxton (knee) has been cleared to come off the injured list to start Wednesday versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 27th
 Carlos Carrasco's next start is being pushed back to Monday due to Adam Plutko starting on Saturday. He'll face Oakland on Monday.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, May 16th
Yankees manager Aaron Boone says he hopes James Paxton (knee) will be able to return this week versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 26th
Notes 
 Although Cleveland doesn't pay him like it, Carrasco has been a true ace for five straight years, posting a sparkling 3.27 ERA with 193 Ks per season in that time. There is more upside with a pitcher like Syndergaard or Strasburg, but Carrasco's floor makes him one of the top 15 pitchers in this year's fantasy drafts
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 While he is not quite as dominant as the top-tier fantasy aces, Carrasco has been consistently excellent over the last five seasons in Cleveland, churning out a low-3.00s ERA and 1.10-ish WHIP, while striking out well more than a batter per inning. And although he has had health concerns at times, Carrasco has been something of a workhorse of late, tossing at least 192 innings and collecting at least 17 wins each of the last two seasons. Carrasco's terrific year-to-year consistency makes him a prudent choice once the top-six aces are off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 To little fanfare, Carrasco has finally morphed into the ace everyone has chased for years. Dealing with durability problems throughout his career, Cleveland's overlooked stud has posted ERAs of 3.29 and 3.38 in 200 and 192 innings, respectively, over the last two years. Each time he notched a K/9 above 10.0 and BB/9 slightly above 2.00. He ranked inside the top 10 in FIP (2.98), swinging-strike rate (15.2%), and contact rate (69.2%) among qualified starters in 2018, but isn't always getting drafted like a top-10 ace. He's a great affordable anchor to target in the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros