Who Should I Draft?

Carlos Carrasco or James Paxton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
59 of 59 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 14
Best Rank# 7# 11
Worst Rank# 15# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 36# 49
Best Rank# 33# 47
Worst Rank# 40# 55
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts215196
Wins1513
Saves00
ERA3.313.46
WHIP1.121.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 10# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 10# 15
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 10# 15
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 9# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 12# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 15
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 16
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 11# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 11# 24
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 8# 11
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 11# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 10# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 7# 16
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 15# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 8# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 8# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 14
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 8# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 7# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 10# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 10# 21
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 9# 31
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 12
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 11# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 17
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 12# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 8# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 8# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 10# 17
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 8# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 11# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 10# 12
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 11# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 8# 15
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 10# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 8# 16
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 21
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 14# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 7# 13
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 11# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 13
   
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3228
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched192.0160.1
   
Wins1711
   
Losses106
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173134
   
Earned Runs7267
   
Home Runs Allowed2123
   
Strikeouts231208
   
Walks4342
   
ERA3.383.76
   
WHIP1.131.10
   
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3028
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched189.4166.2
   
Wins1513
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed168144
   
Earned Runs7064
   
Home Runs Allowed2221
   
Strikeouts215196
   
Walks4445
   
ERA3.313.46
   
WHIP1.121.14
   
  Carlos Carrasco
SP - CLE
Carlos Carrasco
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco struggled in a 6-5 loss to the White Sox on Tuesday. Carrasco gave up four runs in one inning of relief in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 4th
James Paxton allowed one run on three hits with two walks and three strikeouts across five innings while earning a win against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 15th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Carlos Carrasco gave up one run in one inning in an 8-2 loss to the Rays on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 1st
James Paxton gave up four hits and three walks while striking out seven through 6 2/3 scoreless innings to take the win over the Red Sox on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 10th
 The Indians activated Carlos Carrasco from the 60-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 1st
James Paxton pitched seven shutout innings, allowing only one hit and one walk, while striking out 12 as the Yankees defeated the Rangers 10-1.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Sep 3rd
 Indians starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco has been diagnosed with leukemia.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 6th
James Paxton allowed two earned runs in five innings and improved to 11-6 on the year as the Yankees defeated the Mariners 7-3.
Brandon Plutner
Wed, Aug 28th
 The Indians have placed Carlos Carrasco on the 10-day injured list with a blood condition.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
James Paxton earned the win Friday, allowing two runs on five hits and striking out 11 in a 10-2 win over the Dodgers.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 24th
Notes 
 Although Cleveland doesn't pay him like it, Carrasco has been a true ace for five straight years, posting a sparkling 3.27 ERA with 193 Ks per season in that time. There is more upside with a pitcher like Syndergaard or Strasburg, but Carrasco's floor makes him one of the top 15 pitchers in this year's fantasy drafts
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 While he is not quite as dominant as the top-tier fantasy aces, Carrasco has been consistently excellent over the last five seasons in Cleveland, churning out a low-3.00s ERA and 1.10-ish WHIP, while striking out well more than a batter per inning. And although he has had health concerns at times, Carrasco has been something of a workhorse of late, tossing at least 192 innings and collecting at least 17 wins each of the last two seasons. Carrasco's terrific year-to-year consistency makes him a prudent choice once the top-six aces are off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 To little fanfare, Carrasco has finally morphed into the ace everyone has chased for years. Dealing with durability problems throughout his career, Cleveland's overlooked stud has posted ERAs of 3.29 and 3.38 in 200 and 192 innings, respectively, over the last two years. Each time he notched a K/9 above 10.0 and BB/9 slightly above 2.00. He ranked inside the top 10 in FIP (2.98), swinging-strike rate (15.2%), and contact rate (69.2%) among qualified starters in 2018, but isn't always getting drafted like a top-10 ace. He's a great affordable anchor to target in the fourth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros