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Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Blackmon or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Blackmon
CF,RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
28 of 52 experts
46%
Recommended by
24 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 28
Best Rank# 15# 19
Worst Rank# 59# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 37# 39
Best Rank# 35# 32
Worst Rank# 45# 44
   
Projections 
   
Runs3533
Home Runs109
RBI2930
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.303.296
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 33
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 22# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 15# 44
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 26# 75
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 20# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 17# 36
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 24# 33
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 31
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 22# 28
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 21# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 26# 34
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 25# 30
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 22# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 29# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 24# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 39
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 33
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 28# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 23
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 24# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 54
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 22# 29
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 27# 33
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 23# 28
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 53# 79
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 22# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 26# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 27# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 27
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 24
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 29# 22
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 29
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 30
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 26
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 36# 20
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 37# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 38# 26
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 40# 23
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 40# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 38
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 44# 27
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 45# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 54# 28
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 55# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 58# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 59# 33
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Charlie Blackmon
CF,RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats580569
   
Runs11297
   
Hits183187
   
Singles102110
   
Doubles4236
   
Triples79
   
Home Runs3232
   
RBI8692
   
Stolen Bases210
   
Caught Stealing52
   
Walks4053
   
Strikeouts10486
   
Batting Average.316.329
   
On Base Pct.366.389
   
Slugging Pct.578.592
   
On-base Plus Slugging.944.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Charlie Blackmon
CF,RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats198210
   
Runs3533
   
Hits6062
   
Singles3538
   
Doubles1213
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs109
   
RBI2930
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks1620
   
Strikeouts4033
   
Batting Average.303.296
   
On Base Pct.355.358
   
Slugging Pct.534.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.889.863
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Charlie Blackmon
CF,RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
News 
 Charlie Blackmon went 1-for-4 with two RBI and a run scored in the Rockies' 10-3 win over the Diamondbacks on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 27th
Ketel Marte went 2-for-3 with a double, two-run single, and a sacrifice fly in Sunday's win over Colorado.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 28th
 Charlie Blackmon went 1-for-3 with a walk and a run scored as the Rockies beat the Giants 7-2 on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 22nd
The Diamondbacks activated Ketel Marte (wrist) off the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 22nd
 Charlie Blackmon went 0-for-4 with a strikeout in the Rockies' 3-1 loss to the A's on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 17th
Ketel Marte (wrist) is scheduled to take batting practice on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 19th
 Charlie Blackmon belted a walk-off grand slam in the Rockies' 8-4 win over the Angels on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 12th
Ketel Marte went 4-for-5 with a double, a home run, and two RBI in Friday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 5th
 Charlie Blackmon singled twice in four at bats as the Rockies fell to the Padres 5-3 on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 10th
Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo says Ketel Marte will see time in center field moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 2nd
Notes 
 Decline. The steals are gone, the BA is next followed by the HR last and that's because the Coors effect buoys many a mediocre slugger. Late bloomer whose decline has been slow but consistent.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Blackmon was one of the first players who was known to test positive for COVID-19. As of July 10, he still had not yet reported to Rockies camp. Given the lack of input into Blackmon's situation, it's certainly possible that he'll be healthy and ready to go by the time the season starts. But, for now, drop him at least a round or two in your rankings until you hear more.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Coors Field. That's the driving force for Charlie Blackmon right now. Gone are the days of 20 steals. Hell, gone are the days of double-digit steals as he stole just two bases in 2019. It makes sense, of course, since he's 34 years old. He's a boring, relatively safe player right now, but not everyone mid-30s player is David Ortiz or Nelson Cruz. The drop off could happen this year for Blackmon where he gives you an empty average, and that's it."
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Perennially underrated, but his ADP makes sense due to his complete drop in SBs. Only stole 2 bags in 2019 after stealing double digits every year prior. This means you have to buy Blackmon with no help at SBs, which has never been the case. Also may take a hit in runs if Arenado does get traded.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Four category stud playing in Coors Field is once again being underrated
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Advanced stats back up last year's breakout
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros