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Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Blackmon or Ketel Marte (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Blackmon
CF,RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
29 of 45 experts
36%
Recommended by
16 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 28# 30
Best Rank# 14# 19
Worst Rank# 69# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 35# 40
Best Rank# 33# 34
Worst Rank# 45# 44
   
Projections 
   
Runs3633
Home Runs109
RBI2930
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.305.298
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 22# 38
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 46
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 26# 75
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 20# 26
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 28# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 25# 34
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 30
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 22# 29
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 21# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 14# 65
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 25# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 25# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 26# 38
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 22# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 29# 32
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 19# 45
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 33
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 54
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 22# 29
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 27# 33
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 23# 28
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 34# 79
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 22# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 23# 22
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 27# 25
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 28# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 31# 28
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 32# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 24
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 30
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 29
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 40# 23
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 50# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 19
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 55# 41
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 57# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 69# 38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Charlie Blackmon
CF,RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats580569
   
Runs11297
   
Hits183187
   
Singles102110
   
Doubles4236
   
Triples79
   
Home Runs3232
   
RBI8692
   
Stolen Bases210
   
Caught Stealing52
   
Walks4053
   
Strikeouts10486
   
Batting Average.316.329
   
On Base Pct.366.389
   
Slugging Pct.578.592
   
On-base Plus Slugging.944.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Charlie Blackmon
CF,RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats202210
   
Runs3633
   
Hits6162
   
Singles3638
   
Doubles1212
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs109
   
RBI2930
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks1620
   
Strikeouts4033
   
Batting Average.305.298
   
On Base Pct.357.360
   
Slugging Pct.535.509
   
On-base Plus Slugging.893.869
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Charlie Blackmon
CF,RF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
News 
 Nolan Arenado says teammate Charlie Blackmon (COVID-19) "feels well."
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jul 12th
 
 Charlie Blackmon is still at home recovering from COVID-19.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Mon, Jul 6th
 
 OF Charlie Blackmon (COVID-19) will not be available for the Rockies when summer camp opens on Saturday.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 3rd
 
 OF Charlie Blackmon, Phillip Diehl and Ryan Castellini tested positive for Coronavirus.
Brad Camara
Tue, Jun 23rd
 
Notes 
 Blackmon was one of the first players who was known to test positive for COVID-19. As of July 10, he still had not yet reported to Rockies camp. Given the lack of input into Blackmon's situation, it's certainly possible that he'll be healthy and ready to go by the time the season starts. But, for now, drop him at least a round or two in your rankings until you hear more.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Coors Field. That's the driving force for Charlie Blackmon right now. Gone are the days of 20 steals. Hell, gone are the days of double-digit steals as he stole just two bases in 2019. It makes sense, of course, since he's 34 years old. He's a boring, relatively safe player right now, but not everyone mid-30s player is David Ortiz or Nelson Cruz. The drop off could happen this year for Blackmon where he gives you an empty average, and that's it."
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Blackmon had a rough spot in the season but still finished with 30+ homers, 110+ runs and a batting average north of .310. He is getting older and only stole 2 bags compared to the 43 fantasy owners got in 2015, but this still a great bat in the late third round.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
There is no one who will deny the likelihood that Marte's .329 batting average drops this year but we are still talking about a kid who hit 32 homers with 10 steals last year. As we've seen with Jose Ramirez and J.D. Martinez, these breakout stars can sometimes even further improve.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Perennially underrated, but his ADP makes sense due to his complete drop in SBs. Only stole 2 bags in 2019 after stealing double digits every year prior. This means you have to buy Blackmon with no help at SBs, which has never been the case. Also may take a hit in runs if Arenado does get traded.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
  Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy