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Who Should I Draft?

Chris Paddack or Lucas Giolito (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
24 of 43 experts
44%
Recommended by
19 of 43 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 17
Best Rank# 10# 11
Worst Rank# 372# 42
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 53# 52
Best Rank# 49# 44
Worst Rank# 61# 65
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts6579
Wins45
Saves00
ERA3.803.92
WHIP1.131.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 18
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 10# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 42
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 27
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 19
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 13# 19
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 22# 30
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 17# 24
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 23
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 13# 16
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 16
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 26
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 15# 21
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 15
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 12# 13
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 26
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 19# 23
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 16# 18
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 11
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 14
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 16# 12
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 15
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 18# 17
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 16
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 18# 17
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 18# 13
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 12
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 19# 16
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 18
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 21# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 15
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 26# 14
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 29# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 372# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2629
   
Games Started2629
   
Innings Pitched141.3177.3
   
Wins914
   
Losses79
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed107131
   
Earned Runs5267
   
Home Runs Allowed2324
   
Strikeouts153228
   
Walks3157
   
ERA3.333.41
   
WHIP0.981.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched61.267.1
   
Wins45
   
Losses33
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5456
   
Earned Runs2629
   
Home Runs Allowed910
   
Strikeouts6579
   
Walks1524
   
ERA3.803.92
   
WHIP1.131.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
News 
 Chris Paddack allowed four earned runs on six hits in four innings of work in Sunday's 6-0 loss to Chicago
Steven Boysko - The Leadoff Batter
Mon, Mar 9th
Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito (chest) is expected to make his Cactus League debut later this week, according to manager Rick Renteria.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Mar 2nd
 Chris Paddack allowed no runs on two hits and a walk in three innings in Monday's start against the White Sox. He struck out one.
Steven Boysko - The Leadoff Batter
Tue, Mar 3rd
Lucas Giolito (chest) threw a bullpen on Saturday and said afterwards that he feels 100 percent.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Feb 22nd
 Chris Paddack is focusing on honing his curveball this spring.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Feb 29th
Lucas Giolito (chest muscle) made throws from 150 feet on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 19th
 Chris Paddack pitched two scoreless innings in his spring debut Wednesday against the Indians, allowing one hit and striking out three.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Feb 26th
Lucas Giolito is dealing with a strained muscle in his rib-cage area, and is expected to miss the first week of Cactus League play.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Feb 12th
Notes 
 The Padres actually managed to have Chris Paddack on an innings limit that didn't totally drive fantasy managers mad. He showed that he could hold up over the course of a full season, and he more than performed to the lofty expectations that were thrust upon him when he made the Padres Opening Day roster. Paddack is working on developing his curveball, and if he's able to throw that with more regularity, he's going to have three plus-pitches. We haven't even begun to see his upside."
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
There's a reason that you hear fantasy analysts say that you should target post-hype players: baseball is hard, man, and it takes time for players to fully figure it out. With his prospect pedigree, it took longer than most thought for Lucas Giolito to figure things out. But boy did he ever in 2019, with his 25-start dominating stretch to end the season. He looked like a totally different pitcher - but one who mowed down the league. Hitters are more often to click sooner than pitchers are in the big leagues, and if you look at his peripherals, there's not much to question about Giolito's breakout performance. As long as he keeps his increased velocity on his fastball, he'll continue to be a solid SP2 for fantasy managers.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Paddack earned his "biggest spring training breakout" award with an outstanding season, albeit one capped with an innings limit. The reins should be taken off a bit this year, which should allow Paddack to remain in a groove and build on his outstanding 2019 numbers. His fastball and changeup are simpy elite, and if he can continue to refine his curveball, he could develop into a true fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Giolito earned every bit of his breakout season, putting up an ERA that we nearly identical to his FIP and xFIP and a major gain in control. Most impressive for Giolito was his ability to limit contact on pitches in the strike zone - just 77.3%, second best in MLB behind Gerrit Cole. His raw stuff is elite, and another fantastic season should follow in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros