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Who Should I Draft?

Chris Paddack or Lucas Giolito (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
27 of 50 experts
46%
Recommended by
23 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 16
Best Rank# 10# 8
Worst Rank# 52# 41
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 53# 52
Best Rank# 49# 44
Worst Rank# 57# 64
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts6579
Wins45
Saves00
ERA3.773.95
WHIP1.131.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 18
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 10# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 13# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 24# 41
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 19
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 20
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 24
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 11# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 16
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 22# 30
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 17
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 16# 17
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 23
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 13# 16
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 12# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 13# 18
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 13# 14
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 26
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 19# 23
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 10# 20
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 14# 17
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 12# 8
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 11
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 14
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 16# 12
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 11
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 14
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 17# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 17# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 17# 16
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 18# 17
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 18# 13
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 12
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 19# 16
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 18
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 12
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 25# 17
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 29# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 38# 30
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 52# 20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2629
   
Games Started2629
   
Innings Pitched141.3177.3
   
Wins914
   
Losses79
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed107131
   
Earned Runs5267
   
Home Runs Allowed2324
   
Strikeouts153228
   
Walks3157
   
ERA3.333.41
   
WHIP0.981.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched62.267.3
   
Wins45
   
Losses34
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5557
   
Earned Runs2630
   
Home Runs Allowed910
   
Strikeouts6579
   
Walks1525
   
ERA3.773.95
   
WHIP1.131.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
News 
 Chris Paddack was hammered on Wednesday when he surrendered six runs on eight hits with one strikeout over 2 1/3 innings in the Padres Game 1 Wild Card loss to the Cardinals.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Oct 1st
Lucas Giolito grabbed the win in Game 1 of Chicago's Wild Card series on Tuesday when he allowed just one run on two hits while striking out eight and walking one as the White Sox took down the A's 4-1.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Sep 29th
 Chris Paddack will start Game 1 for the Padres in their Wild Card series against the Saint Louis Cardinals.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Sep 29th
Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito allowed two runs over six innings in a 3-2 loss to Cleveland on Wednesday. Giolito struck out 11 and walked three in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 23rd
 Chris Paddack took the loss in his final regular season start on Friday against the Giants, surrendering five runs on eight hits over 3 2/3 innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 26th
Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito turned in a quality start in a 5-1 loss to the Twins on Wednesday. Giolito allowed three runs over six innings while striking out four and walking three.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 17th
 Chris Paddack earned the win on Friday against Seattle, limiting the Mariners' offense to one hit over six scoreless innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 19th
Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito allowed three runs in 5 2/3 innings in a 4-3 win over the Tigers on Friday. Giolito struck out seven and walked four.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 12th
 Chris Paddack (ankle) will start on Friday against the Seattle Mariners.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 16th
Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito allowed three runs over six innings in a 5-3 win over the Royals on Saturday. He struck out nine on the way to his fourth win.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 6th
Notes 
 Very good SP that could break out in 2020. 60 games rather than the long, drawn out grind of 162 could help establish him as one of the best in the business on the bump without having to prove he can maintain his Ace stuff over the durability test that is a full 162. I bet he is overdraft in 2021, but in 2020 he could be a #1.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
There's a reason that you hear fantasy analysts say that you should target post-hype players: baseball is hard, man, and it takes time for players to fully figure it out. With his prospect pedigree, it took longer than most thought for Lucas Giolito to figure things out. But boy did he ever in 2019, with his 25-start dominating stretch to end the season. He looked like a totally different pitcher - but one who mowed down the league. Hitters are more often to click sooner than pitchers are in the big leagues, and if you look at his peripherals, there's not much to question about Giolito's breakout performance. As long as he keeps his increased velocity on his fastball, he'll continue to be a solid SP2 for fantasy managers.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 The Padres actually managed to have Chris Paddack on an innings limit that didn't totally drive fantasy managers mad. He showed that he could hold up over the course of a full season, and he more than performed to the lofty expectations that were thrust upon him when he made the Padres Opening Day roster. Paddack is working on developing his curveball, and if he's able to throw that with more regularity, he's going to have three plus-pitches. We haven't even begun to see his upside."
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Giolito earned every bit of his breakout season, putting up an ERA that we nearly identical to his FIP and xFIP and a major gain in control. Most impressive for Giolito was his ability to limit contact on pitches in the strike zone - just 77.3%, second best in MLB behind Gerrit Cole. His raw stuff is elite, and another fantastic season should follow in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Paddack earned his "biggest spring training breakout" award with an outstanding season, albeit one capped with an innings limit. The reins should be taken off a bit this year, which should allow Paddack to remain in a groove and build on his outstanding 2019 numbers. His fastball and changeup are simpy elite, and if he can continue to refine his curveball, he could develop into a true fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
2019 breakout can be attributed to an uptick in velocity and an improved changeup. Can he do it again?
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 Allowed more than two walks just twice in 26 starts, resulting in a 0.98 WHIP for the season
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros