Who Should I Draft?

Christian Yelich or Bryce Harper (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Christian Yelich
LF,CF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
82%
Recommended by
46 of 56 experts
18%
Recommended by
10 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 9
Best Rank# 3# 2
Worst Rank# 23# 25
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 7# 16
Best Rank# 6# 11
Worst Rank# 9# 20
   
Projections 
   
Runs10399
Home Runs2835
RBI94101
Stolen Bases1711
Batting Average.303.269
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 7# 8
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 13
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 5# 10
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 3# 12
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 7# 8
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 21
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 3# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 6# 11
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 6# 9
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 9# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 5# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 6# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 5# 10
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 10
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 7# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 9# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 5# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 6# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 6# 10
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 12# 14
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 21
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 7# 8
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 10# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 15
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 9# 12
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 12
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 5# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 7# 9
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 12
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 5# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 8# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 13
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 6# 14
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 7# 8
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 7# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 12
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 12# 13
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 15
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 12
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 6
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 11# 7
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 5
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 12# 11
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 13# 8
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 14# 8
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 14# 10
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 15# 11
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 18# 2
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 23# 8
   
  Christian Yelich
LF,CF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats574550
   
Runs118103
   
Hits187137
   
Singles11069
   
Doubles3434
   
Triples70
   
Home Runs3634
   
RBI110100
   
Stolen Bases2213
   
Caught Stealing43
   
Walks68130
   
Strikeouts135169
   
Batting Average.326.249
   
On Base Pct.403.393
   
Slugging Pct.598.496
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.000.889
   
  Christian Yelich
LF,CF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats575516
   
Runs10399
   
Hits174139
   
Singles10773
   
Doubles3529
   
Triples41
   
Home Runs2835
   
RBI94101
   
Stolen Bases1711
   
Caught Stealing44
   
Walks72111
   
Strikeouts133145
   
Batting Average.303.269
   
On Base Pct.380.398
   
Slugging Pct.523.533
   
On-base Plus Slugging.904.931
   
  Christian Yelich
LF,CF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Bryce Harper
CF,RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 Christian Yelich went 1-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Brewers' 8-7 loss to the Giants on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in Friday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The homer was his 12th of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
 Christian Yelich went 3-for-5 with a solo home run and two runs scored in the Brewers' 10-8 loss to the Astros on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
Phillies outfielder went 1-for-4 with a run scored and a stolen base in Sunday's loss to the Reds. The steal was his third of the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 10th
 Christian Yelich went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in the Brewers' 5-2 win over the Pirates on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 10th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-4 in the team's win over the Cincinnati Reds on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 8th
 Christian Yelich went 3-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Brewers' 5-1 win over the Marlins on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 6th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in Saturday's loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Christian Yelich went 2-for-5 with a three-run home run and four RBI in the Brewers' 12-10 win over the Pirates on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 3-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI in Thursday's loss to the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Fri, May 31st
Notes 
 There is no denying that Yelich was a first round value in 2018 and perhaps even the #1 fantasy asset thanks to a .326 average with 36 homers, 22 steals and 110+ runs and RBIs. These numbers blew away his career marks, however, so projection models all have him regressing to a high-end second round value this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Harper may have posted just a .249 batting average in 2018, but the rest of his fantasy production was tremendous, plus his underlying metrics indicate the average returning closer to the .270 mark in 2019. His fantasy value improved when he signed with Philly because their ballpark is great for lefties, but he is still just a 2nd round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 After several quietly productive seasons in Miami, Yelich was the biggest breakout star in MLB during his first season in Milwaukee, finishing tied with J.D. Martinez as the most valuable player overall in standard 5x5 roto/categories leagues. Yelich showed skills progression with a top-10 hard contact rate, was more aggressive on the base paths, and benefited from a major ballpark and lineup upgrade. His numbers were also driven by an unsustainable 35.0 percent HR/FB rate and a .373 BABIP that was a tad high even for a guy who generally excels in that metric. It's therefore prudent to expect Yelich to give back some homers and batting average, and he probably won't swipe quite as many bags either. But even if he goes .300-28-18 instead of .326-36-22, he can still be a top-five outfielder, especially when you consider the plus run production numbers he's sure to accrue in Milwaukee.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After scaring fantasy owners with rumors that he could sign with the Giants, Harper ultimately stuck with the original plan and ended up in a great hitting environment in Philadelphia. The move is unquestionably a good one for his fantasy value, but there is still a lot of uncertainty about what kind of numbers to expect from Harper. Over the last four seasons, he has two years where he's hit over .315 and two where he's hit under .250. He's also hit as many as 42 HRs and as few as 24, and stolen as many as 21 bases and as few as four. Harper always contributes enough production to be a prized fantasy asset, but he only has one season on his resume where he's earned first round value. He could be a bit overrated now that he's signed with the Phillies.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Anyone sick of hearing about launch angle will relish Yelich's MVP campaign. Sure, the career .297/.375/.463 hitter has proven capable of hitting for a high average with above-average power despite his lofty ground-ball rates. But 35% of his fly balls cleared the fences for his 36 home runs. No other qualified hitter posted a HR/FB% above 30. He's more likely to hit 25-30 homers, which is still great if he can swipe around 20 more bags for the Brewers. There's enough five-category goodness to keep him in the first round, but also enough regression concern to push him toward the latter half of it.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
A wide dissonance remains from what drafters want from Harper and what he typically delivers. With batting averages of .330, .243, .319, and .249 over the last four years, there's a steep range of outcomes for a perennial top pick averaging 32 homers and 11 steals in that stretch. His latest drop came with a career-low 70.8% contact rate, so count on a compromise to around .270 rather than a full rebound. Now that he has signed with the Phillies, he should belt closer to 35-40 long balls with the help of Citizens Bank Park. The ideal landing spot pushes him up to early second-round territory, and it wouldn't be surprising to see some drafters grab him late in the first.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros