Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Christian Yelich or Bryce Harper (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
47 of 51 experts
8%
Recommended by
4 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 11
Best Rank# 4# 7
Worst Rank# 12# 24
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 12# 18
Best Rank# 9# 17
Worst Rank# 13# 18
   
Projections 
   
Runs103103
Home Runs3636
RBI93104
Stolen Bases1814
Batting Average.283.266
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 12
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 5# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 11# 14
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 11
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 7# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 10# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 11# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 8# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 13
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 9# 12
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 7# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 11
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 7# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 13
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 7# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 6# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 13
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 8# 11
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 7# 11
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 5# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 24
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 12
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 8# 11
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 8# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 6# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 6# 7
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 11
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 7# 11
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 9# 12
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 9# 18
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 10# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 7# 11
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 7# 11
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 8# 9
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 10# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 11# 12
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 10# 11
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 10# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 9
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 11# 10
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 7
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats200190
   
Runs3941
   
Hits4151
   
Singles2127
   
Doubles79
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs1213
   
RBI2233
   
Stolen Bases48
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks4649
   
Strikeouts7643
   
Batting Average.205.268
   
On Base Pct.356.420
   
Slugging Pct.430.542
   
On-base Plus Slugging.786.962
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats549536
   
Runs103103
   
Hits153141
   
Singles8573
   
Doubles2930
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs3636
   
RBI93104
   
Stolen Bases1814
   
Caught Stealing44
   
Walks90111
   
Strikeouts154155
   
Batting Average.283.266
   
On Base Pct.385.394
   
Slugging Pct.538.527
   
On-base Plus Slugging.922.920
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 Christian Yelich went 2-for-3 with a triple, a walk, a solo home run, and two runs scored Friday against the Mets.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 3-for-4 with two doubles, a home run, three runs scored, four RBI, and two walks in Thursday's win over the Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 17th
 Christian Yelich went 3-for-5 with a double, two RBI, and one run scored Tuesday against the Phillies.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 8th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-3 with a double, a walk, a run scored, and a stolen base in Wednesday's win over the Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 16th
 Christian Yelich went 3-for-5 with two home runs, three runs scored, six RBI, and a stolen base in Saturday's win over Washington.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Aug 21st
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with an RBI, a run scored, and a walk in Tuesday's loss to the Chicago Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
 Christian Yelich has returned to the Brewers' lineup on Saturday against the Nationals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 21st
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a home run in Thursday's loss to the Rockies. The homer was his 30th of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
 Christian Yelich went 2-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI Sunday against the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Aug 15th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-1 with a home run, two RBI, and three walks in Wednesday's loss to the Brewers. The homer was his 29th of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 9th
Notes 
 Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros