Who Should I Draft?

Chris Archer or Nick Pivetta (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
41 of 59 experts
31%
Recommended by
18 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 44# 50
Best Rank# 13# 31
Worst Rank# 78# 247
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 124# 151
Best Rank# 96# 147
Worst Rank# 128# 168
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts198177
Wins1110
Saves00
ERA3.774.15
WHIP1.261.29
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 58
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 35# 62
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 54# 247
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 45# 78
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 35# 51
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 103
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 43# 62
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 32# 52
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 40# 49
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 52
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 47# 51
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 24# 50
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 25# 55
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 27# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 64
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 27# 66
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 13# 103
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 22# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 41# 46
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 54
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 59
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 53
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 40# 42
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 45# 56
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 55
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 75# 107
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 43# 55
   
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Sporfolio
# 78# 122
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 39# 52
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 52# 54
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 23# 53
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 43# 57
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 44# 60
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 56# 62
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 36# 42
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 34# 53
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 60
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 40# 61
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 47# 51
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 47# 63
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 40
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 43# 35
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 43# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 48# 43
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 49# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 53# 47
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 54# 44
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 55# 36
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 57# 49
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 58# 49
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 59# 51
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 52
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 60# 31
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 61# 46
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 62# 41
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 63# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 64# 41
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 70# 49
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2733
   
Games Started2732
   
Innings Pitched148.1164.2
   
Wins67
   
Losses814
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed155163
   
Earned Runs7187
   
Home Runs Allowed1924
   
Strikeouts162188
   
Walks4951
   
ERA4.314.77
   
WHIP1.381.30
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3130
   
Games Started3130
   
Innings Pitched179.7162.2
   
Wins1110
   
Losses1010
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed169154
   
Earned Runs7575
   
Home Runs Allowed2223
   
Strikeouts198177
   
Walks5855
   
ERA3.774.15
   
WHIP1.261.29
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
News 
 Chris Archer (shoulder) has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 17th
Nick Pivetta was optioned to Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 24th
 Chris Archer was placed on the 10-day injured list Wednesday with right shoulder inflammation, Adam Berry of MLB.com reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Aug 21st
Phillies pitcher Nick Pivetta allowed two hits and struck out four over two scoreless innings to earn his first save in Saturday's win over the White Sox.
Mike Maher
Sun, Aug 4th
 Chris Archer exited Tuesday's game after one inning because of right shoulder discomfort.
Andrew Gould
Tue, Aug 20th
Pivetta will reportedly move to the bullpen once the Phillies' signing of Drew Smyly is official.
James Bisson
Fri, Jul 19th
 Chris Archer was removed from Tuesday's game versus the Nationals with an apparent injury.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Aug 20th
Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed one earned run on no hits and four walks while striking out four over 2 1/3 innings in a rain-shortened no-decision against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday.
Mike Maher
Thu, Jul 18th
 Chris Archer allowed four runs (three earned) over five innings as the Pirates fell to the Angels 7-4.
Brandon Plutner
Thu, Aug 15th
Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed three earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out two over five innings in a loss to the Nationals on Friday. The loss drops him to 4-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jul 12th
Notes 
 Archer has proven to be a pitcher who consistently posts a higher ERA than his advanced metrics suggest he deserves. At this point, we should no longer be expecting that to suddenly change. Until we see otherwise, expect Archer to post an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP in the 1.20s, and a fairly strong strikeout rate.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Pivetta's peripherals say that his ERA should have been much better than 4.77 last year, but he was victimized by a high BABIP, low strand rate, and lots and lots of home runs. This is an elite bat misser who has thrown fewer than 300 innings at the Major League level, so there is some breakout potential here. We'll learn this season whether Pivetta is ready to take a step forward or if he's the next in a line of pitchers who don't quite live up to their peripherals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, well, look at all those strikeouts. Fool me three times … but his FIP is still lower. Even though he missed over a month with an abdominal strain last year, Archer has amassed the sixth-most strikeouts (644) over the last three seasons. He has collected a 3.64 FIP and 3.54 SIERA during that span. His ERA also ballooned above 4.00 each year. How many times can we keep putting our hand on the hot stove? Archer's fastball has ceded a slugging percentage above .500 in each campaign, so he wields no other effective pitch beyond his slider. He's an elite source of strikeouts, but don't expect a positive ERA contribution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Most metrics paint Pivetta as the perfect breakout pick. On the strength of a stellar 19.7 K-BB%, he posted a 3.80 FIP and 3.51 SIERA despite a bloated 4.77 ERA. He possesses an excellent curveball and slider combination that each induced swinging-strike rates above 15.0%. Before going all in on a Cy Young Award dark horse, beware an abysmal fastball that surrendered a .302/.385/.516 slash line. His ups and downs also weren't predictable, as he went from silencing the Red Sox to getting stuffed by the Mets in consecutive August outings. There's enough upside to draft him as a top-40 hurler. Just don't assume he's a sure thing to slice his ERA by at least a full run.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros