Who Should I Draft?

Chris Archer or Nick Pivetta (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
40 of 56 experts
29%
Recommended by
16 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 43# 50
Best Rank# 13# 31
Worst Rank# 78# 247
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 124# 151
Best Rank# 96# 147
Worst Rank# 128# 168
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts198177
Wins1110
Saves00
ERA3.774.15
WHIP1.261.29
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 58
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 35# 62
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 54# 247
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 45# 78
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 35# 51
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 103
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 43# 62
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 32# 52
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 40# 49
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 52
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 47# 51
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 24# 50
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 25# 55
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 27# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 64
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 27# 66
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 13# 103
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 22# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 41# 46
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 54
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 59
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 53
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 40# 42
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 45# 56
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 55
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 75# 107
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 43# 55
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 78# 122
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 42# 52
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 39# 52
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 52# 54
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 23# 53
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 43# 57
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 44# 60
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 56# 62
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 36# 42
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 34# 53
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 47# 51
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 47# 63
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 40
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 43# 35
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 43# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 48# 43
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 49# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 53# 47
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 54# 44
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 57# 49
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 58# 49
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 59# 51
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 52
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 60# 31
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 61# 46
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 62# 41
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 63# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 64# 41
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2733
   
Games Started2732
   
Innings Pitched148.1164.2
   
Wins67
   
Losses814
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed155163
   
Earned Runs7187
   
Home Runs Allowed1924
   
Strikeouts162188
   
Walks4951
   
ERA4.314.77
   
WHIP1.381.30
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3130
   
Games Started3130
   
Innings Pitched179.7162.2
   
Wins1110
   
Losses1010
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed169154
   
Earned Runs7575
   
Home Runs Allowed2223
   
Strikeouts198177
   
Walks5855
   
ERA3.774.15
   
WHIP1.261.29
   
  Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Nick Pivetta
SP - PHI
Nick Pivetta
News 
 Chris Archer allowed one run on two hits and three walks over five innings on Saturday against the Padres. He struck out five and did not factor into the decision.
Dan Harris
Mon, Jun 24th
Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed six earned runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out two over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the Washington Nationals on Thursday. The loss drops him to 4-2 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 21st
 Chris Archer allowed four runs on seven hits over five innings in the Pirates' 5-4 win over the Marlins on Sunday. He walked three and struck out eight in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed four earned runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
 Chris Archer allowed seven runs on six hits over six innings in the Pirates' 7-5 loss to the Braves on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out eight while falling to 3-6.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out six over nine innings in a complete game win over the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday. The win brings him to 4-1 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 9th
 Chris Archer allowed one run on six hits over six innings in the Pirates' 6-1 win over the Braves on Thursday. He walked two and struck out six while improving to 3-5.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 6th
Phillies starter Nick Pivetta tossed six shutout innings on Sunday, allowing three hits and no walks while striking out nine.
Mike Maher
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Chris Archer allowed four runs on five hits over seven innings in the Pirates' 9-4 win over the Brewers on Friday. He walked two and struck out seven while improving to 2-5.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Phillies starter Nick Pivetta allowed three earned runs on three hits and two walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday’s win over the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Wed, May 29th
Notes 
 Archer has proven to be a pitcher who consistently posts a higher ERA than his advanced metrics suggest he deserves. At this point, we should no longer be expecting that to suddenly change. Until we see otherwise, expect Archer to post an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP in the 1.20s, and a fairly strong strikeout rate.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Pivetta's peripherals say that his ERA should have been much better than 4.77 last year, but he was victimized by a high BABIP, low strand rate, and lots and lots of home runs. This is an elite bat misser who has thrown fewer than 300 innings at the Major League level, so there is some breakout potential here. We'll learn this season whether Pivetta is ready to take a step forward or if he's the next in a line of pitchers who don't quite live up to their peripherals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, well, look at all those strikeouts. Fool me three times … but his FIP is still lower. Even though he missed over a month with an abdominal strain last year, Archer has amassed the sixth-most strikeouts (644) over the last three seasons. He has collected a 3.64 FIP and 3.54 SIERA during that span. His ERA also ballooned above 4.00 each year. How many times can we keep putting our hand on the hot stove? Archer's fastball has ceded a slugging percentage above .500 in each campaign, so he wields no other effective pitch beyond his slider. He's an elite source of strikeouts, but don't expect a positive ERA contribution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Most metrics paint Pivetta as the perfect breakout pick. On the strength of a stellar 19.7 K-BB%, he posted a 3.80 FIP and 3.51 SIERA despite a bloated 4.77 ERA. He possesses an excellent curveball and slider combination that each induced swinging-strike rates above 15.0%. Before going all in on a Cy Young Award dark horse, beware an abysmal fastball that surrendered a .302/.385/.516 slash line. His ups and downs also weren't predictable, as he went from silencing the Red Sox to getting stuffed by the Mets in consecutive August outings. There's enough upside to draft him as a top-40 hurler. Just don't assume he's a sure thing to slice his ERA by at least a full run.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros