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Who Should I Draft?

Cody Bellinger or Bryce Harper (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
10 of 10 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 10 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 11# 13
Best Rank# 8# 12
Worst Rank# 14# 21
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 19
Best Rank# 14# 17
Worst Rank# 14# 20
   
Projections 
   
Runs101102
Home Runs3836
RBI106103
Stolen Bases1414
Batting Average.280.266
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 13
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 14# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 14
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 10# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 12
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 11# 12
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 16
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 10# 13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats213190
   
Runs3341
   
Hits5151
   
Singles2927
   
Doubles109
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs1213
   
RBI3033
   
Stolen Bases68
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks3049
   
Strikeouts4243
   
Batting Average.239.268
   
On Base Pct.333.420
   
Slugging Pct.455.542
   
On-base Plus Slugging.789.962
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats547530
   
Runs101102
   
Hits153141
   
Singles8173
   
Doubles3029
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs3836
   
RBI106103
   
Stolen Bases1414
   
Caught Stealing44
   
Walks84112
   
Strikeouts122157
   
Batting Average.280.266
   
On Base Pct.376.395
   
Slugging Pct.547.520
   
On-base Plus Slugging.922.914
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Cody Bellinger
1B,CF,RF - LAD
Cody Bellinger
Bryce Harper
RF - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 Cody Bellinger and the Dodgers avoid arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $16.1 million deal.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
 Bellinger was unable to replicate the magic of his 2019 breakout during last year's shortened season. His average dipped to .239, the worst mark of his career, his power dropped significantly, and he didn't make the same quality of contact. But although he slid backwards in his walk and strikeout rates, his regression there was minimal, and his expected batting average was .284. In other words, Bellinger got worse in 2020, but it wasn't quite as bad as the surface numbers suggest. He did have offseason shoulder surgery after getting injured during a post-season celebration, and that's always a bit worrisome for a hitter. But given that a "down" year for Bellinger at this point is a 30-15 season, he warrants being selected early in the second round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros