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Who Should I Draft?

Corbin Burnes or Hyun Jin Ryu (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
35 of 51 experts
31%
Recommended by
16 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 21
Best Rank# 14# 13
Worst Rank# 46# 121
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 62
Best Rank# 51# 56
Worst Rank# 60# 69
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts174158
Wins912
Saves00
ERA3.633.64
WHIP1.201.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 26
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 29
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 23
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 121
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 34
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 22
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 23
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 28
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 21
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 33
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 24
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 20
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 21
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 19
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 41
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 24
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 19
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 25
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 28
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 25
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 16
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 37
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 37
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 22
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 25
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 34
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 19# 29
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 18
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 19# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 19
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 17
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 21
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 13
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 26# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 21
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 19
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 26
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 21
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 40# 24
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 15
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started912
   
Innings Pitched60.367.1
   
Wins45
   
Losses12
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3761
   
Earned Runs1421
   
Home Runs Allowed26
   
Strikeouts8872
   
Walks2417
   
ERA2.112.82
   
WHIP1.021.16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2929
   
Games Started2729
   
Innings Pitched142.1167.5
   
Wins912
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed120161
   
Earned Runs5768
   
Home Runs Allowed1823
   
Strikeouts174158
   
Walks5138
   
ERA3.633.64
   
WHIP1.201.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Hyun Jin Ryu
SP - TOR
Hyun Jin Ryu
News 
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
The Toronto Blue Jays placed pitcher Hyun Jin Ryu (neck) on the 10-day injured list Sunday with a neck strain.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 20th
 Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Hyun Jin Ryu allowed five runs on five hits and a walk with two strikeouts in two innings, taking the loss Friday versus Minnesota.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 18th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Hyun Jin Ryu allowed seven runs on eight hits and a walk with four strikeouts in a no-decision in Game 1 of Saturday's doubleheader versus Baltimore.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
 Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
Hyun Jin Ryu revealed after Monday's start versus the Yankees that he was removed early due to some arm stiffness according to Rob Longley of the Toronto Sun.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 6th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's win over Cincinnati, allowing four runs on seven hits and three walks in six innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 25th
Hyun-Jin Ryu gave up three runs on three hits with three walks and six strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings Tuesday in a loss to the Orioles.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Fantasy managers expected some regression from Ryu after his career season in 2019 and with him moving to the Blue Jays, but it really didn't come. He continued to be among the best in the game at limiting opposing batters' quality of contact, and upped his strikeout rate to 26.2%, second best of his career. Ryu's 2.69 ERA was a bit higher than the 2.32 mark he put up in in 2019, but his FIP, xFIP, SIERA, and xERA were all the same or better than the previous year. In short, other than the potential for injury, which hasn't been a factor in the last two seasons, there's no reason to doubt Ryu at this point.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Ryu fits well on certain roto builds. His elite ERA and WHIP numbers give fantasy managers a very strong base at those rate stats. It's much easier to find high-upside strikeout arms later in drafts, which pair well with Ryu's floor. Over the past three seasons only Jacob deGrom (2.10) has a lower ERA than Ryu (2.30).
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros