Who Should I Draft?

Daniel Murphy or Matt Carpenter (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Expert
Recommendation
70%
Recommended by
39 of 56 experts
30%
Recommended by
17 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 42# 50
Best Rank# 21# 12
Worst Rank# 92# 100
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 67# 65
Best Rank# 59# 58
Worst Rank# 100# 72
   
Projections 
   
Runs8197
Home Runs2228
RBI8376
Stolen Bases43
Batting Average.311.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 51
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 35
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 37
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 21# 47
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 47# 50
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 65
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 83
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 50# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 45# 50
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 34# 65
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 71
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 58# 100
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 44# 59
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 44# 48
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 39# 76
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 78
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 47
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 45# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 44# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 35# 58
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 45# 47
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 24# 48
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 46# 50
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 44# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 40# 49
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 51
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 43# 72
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 38# 62
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 49# 51
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 26# 81
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 46# 57
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 55# 64
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 50# 61
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 47# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 41# 64
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 33# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 37# 70
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 38
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 38# 33
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 38# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 42# 40
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 42# 37
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 45# 37
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 36
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 48# 26
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 48# 37
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 55# 29
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 56# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 58# 46
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 59# 36
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 62# 54
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 68# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 86# 66
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 92# 78
   
  Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats328564
   
Runs40111
   
Hits98145
   
Singles7167
   
Doubles1542
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs1236
   
RBI4281
   
Stolen Bases34
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks20102
   
Strikeouts40158
   
Batting Average.299.257
   
On Base Pct.336.374
   
Slugging Pct.454.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.791.897
   
  Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529529
   
Runs8197
   
Hits165135
   
Singles10571
   
Doubles3535
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs2228
   
RBI8376
   
Stolen Bases43
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks4195
   
Strikeouts69140
   
Batting Average.311.256
   
On Base Pct.360.369
   
Slugging Pct.517.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.876.855
   
  Daniel Murphy
1B,2B - COL
Daniel Murphy
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
News 
 Daniel Murphy is absent from Tuesday's lineup versus the Giants.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 25th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-5 with a two-run triple and a run scored in the Cardinals' 7-3 loss to the Athletics on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 26th
 Daniel Murphy went 0-for-5 with an RBI in the Rockies' 5-4 loss to the Dodgers on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 23rd
Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
 Daniel Murphy went 0-for-3 with a walk and a run scored in the Rockies' 8-1 win over the Diamondbacks on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
 Daniel Murphy went 1-for-6 with a double and two RBI in the Rockies' 16-12 loss to the Padres on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
 Daniel Murphy went 3-for-4 with a double and two RBI in the Rockies' 10-3 win over the Cubs on Tuesday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 12th
Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
Notes 
 Murphy's overall stat line wasn't all that impressive last year, but once he was healthy in the second half, he returned to hittin .315 with a 25 HR pace. Move that to Coors Field and we may be looking at the NL Batting Champion with plenty of homers, RBI and runs. Be mindful that he rarely plays a full season, but when he is on the field we are looking at a top 30 fantasy asset
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Murphy took a long time to return from microfracture knee surgery in 2018, but it was worth the wait for his fantasy owners, as he produced a .299/40/12/42/3 line over 328 at-bats from June on. He's always been a good hitter, but has blossomed into a truly potent fantasy asset over the last three seasons, demonstrating the ability to knock 25 home runs with a batting average well north of .300. And that was before he played his home games at Coors Field, where he owns a .330 lifetime batting average. Murphy may be discounted in drafts on account of his increasing age, but it would not be shocking if he finished as a top-20 overall hitter in his first season in Colorado.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Murphy's draft stock hasn't soared nearly enough for a career .299/.344/.458 hitter moving to Coors Field. One of baseball's top sluggers in 2016 and 2017, his 2018 returns were contaminated by a brutal return from offseason knee injury. From July 1 onward, removing 15 games from his 91-game season, he batted .317/.355/.493 with 12 homers. Steamer's projected .307 average and 22 homers seem more than reasonable with the Rockies, and he's capable of bringing home another batting title.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros