Who Should I Draft?

David Price or Madison Bumgarner (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  David Price
SP - BOS
David Price
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Expert
Recommendation
79%
Recommended by
44 of 56 experts
21%
Recommended by
12 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 31# 38
Best Rank# 19# 18
Worst Rank# 66# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 84# 96
Best Rank# 79# 67
Worst Rank# 99# 108
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts176164
Wins1310
Saves00
ERA3.783.70
WHIP1.211.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 29# 34
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 39
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 27# 35
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 54
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 23# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 32# 48
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 28# 42
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 39
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 30# 42
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 46
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 34# 35
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 19# 52
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 43# 47
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 32# 56
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 30# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 30# 37
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 26# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 34# 49
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 33# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 44# 58
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 34
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 27# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 35# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 28# 63
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 35# 48
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 28# 34
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 21# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 36
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 23# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 26# 67
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 36# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 31# 44
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 19# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 36# 52
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 34# 54
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 24# 29
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 31# 40
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 33# 36
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 36# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 32# 45
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 29# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 43
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 26# 22
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 21
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 31# 26
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 32# 31
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 33# 32
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 34# 33
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 32
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 39# 36
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 47# 37
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 51# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 57# 18
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 66# 21
   
  David Price
SP - BOS
David Price
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3021
   
Games Started3021
   
Innings Pitched176.2130.1
   
Wins166
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed151118
   
Earned Runs7047
   
Home Runs Allowed2514
   
Strikeouts177109
   
Walks5043
   
ERA3.583.26
   
WHIP1.141.24
   
  David Price
SP - BOS
David Price
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2929
   
Games Started3029
   
Innings Pitched176.9181.9
   
Wins1310
   
Losses811
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed164170
   
Earned Runs7475
   
Home Runs Allowed2324
   
Strikeouts176164
   
Walks5051
   
ERA3.783.70
   
WHIP1.211.22
   
  David Price
SP - BOS
David Price
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
News 
 David Price lasted just 1 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Rangers on Thursday, giving up six earned runs on five hits, striking out two and walking one as the Red Sox eventually pulled out a 7-6 victory.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 14th
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Saturday versus Milwaukee, surrendering five runs (three earned) on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 David Price went six innings giving up one run on five hits with a walk and 10 strikeouts on Saturday in a 5-1 victory over the Rays in game two of a doubleheader.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
Madison Bumgarner fell to 3-6 on Sunday versus the Dodgers, spinning seven innings of one-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 David Price (3-2) earned the win Sunday over by holding the Yankees to two runs on six hits and a walk while striking out six through 6 1/3 innings of work.
John Aubin
Mon, Jun 3rd
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Tuesday versus the Mets, throwing six innings of three-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
 David Price pitched six scoreless innings, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out six in a no-decision against the Indians on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, May 29th
Madison Bumgarner fell to 3-5 on Wednesday in Miami, giving up two runs on six hits over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
 David Price (illness) will start on Tuesday versus Cleveland.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 27th
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Thursday versus Atlanta, allowing two runs on six hits over six solid innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 23rd
Notes 
 Price isn't going to thrill anyone as a workhorse ace anymore, but he still posts plenty of Ks to go with useful ratios each and every season. With Boston's lineup behind him, we can expect plenty of wins as well, making him one of the most appealing third-tier starting pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Bumgarner was one of the best fantasy starters out there until a couple of years ago, but he hasn't been quite the same since his 2017 dirt bike accident. He has remained a help in ERA thanks to his ability to limit base hits, but his strikeout rate has plummeted and last year his walk rate rose as well. Bumgarner's peripherals suggest he is playing with fire, even in a very pitcher-friendly environment in San Francisco. Still just 29 years old, a big bounce back season cannot be completely discounted, but there is no question that Bumgarner is a risk-reward choice on draft day.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 In 2018, Price completed his ninth straight season with a sub-4.00 ERA and WHIP of 1.20 or better. He's also averaged right around a strikeout per inning over the last five seasons, and his win potential in Boston is always good. While he's not the dominant fantasy ace it once looked like he would become, Price is a perfectly solid second or third fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
A dirt-bike accident in 2017 and broken hand suffered last spring limited Bumgarner to 240.2 combined innings in the past two seasons. He had previously exceeded 200 in each of the last six seasons. While he could regain his workhorse label in 2019, the 29-year-old must combat declines in velocity, swinging strikes (9.2%), and strikeouts (19.8%). Don't pay for past success, but take him as a stable, high-floor SP3 if everyone else is fading the owner of a career 3.03 ERA.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Despite posting a 3.58 ERA and 177 strikeouts in 176 innings, Price showed some alarming signs of decline. His average fastball velocity dropped over a full tick, leading to his worst swinging-strike rate (9.6%) since 2013. His expected run-prevention metrics (4.02 FIP, 3.82 SIERA) also say he's no longer an ace. Yet he also recorded a 2.25 ERA after the All-Star break before vanquishing his postseason demons. The public seems well aware of the warning signs, so he won't make the worst SP2/3 if snagged beyond the top-20 starters.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros