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Who Should I Draft?

Edwin Diaz or Max Fried (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
28 of 51 experts
45%
Recommended by
23 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 26
Best Rank# 17# 18
Worst Rank# 61# 58
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 64# 81
Best Rank# 55# 71
Worst Rank# 89# 90
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts159102
Wins124
Saves030
ERA3.823.04
WHIP1.271.12
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 31
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 38
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 21# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 26
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 31# 34
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 28
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 33# 36
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 23# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 26# 27
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 24
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 22# 24
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 25# 27
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 21# 58
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 29# 32
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 33
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 28# 30
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 25# 36
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 27
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 23# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 22# 37
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 29# 30
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 21# 24
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 23# 31
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 30# 38
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 52# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 30# 20
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 21
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 47# 22
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 40# 22
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 39# 23
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 30# 23
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 24
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 39# 24
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 25
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 25
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 61# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 26
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 27# 26
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 46# 27
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 34# 28
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 33# 28
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 31# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 32# 30
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 31# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 32
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1126
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched56.226.2
   
Wins72
   
Losses01
   
Saves06
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed4218
   
Earned Runs145
   
Home Runs Allowed22
   
Strikeouts5050
   
Walks1914
   
ERA2.251.75
   
WHIP1.091.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2964
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched161.362.9
   
Wins124
   
Losses73
   
Saves030
   
Blown Saves011
   
Holds03
   
Hits Allowed15347
   
Earned Runs6821
   
Home Runs Allowed188
   
Strikeouts159102
   
Walks5223
   
ERA3.823.04
   
WHIP1.271.12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Fried
SP - ATL
Max Fried
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
News 
 Max Fried pitched six innings against the Marlins Sunday, allowing four hits, three runs (all earned), and one walk while striking out seven batters. He was not a factor in the decision, a 5-3 Braves victory, but did earn a quality start. Fried threw 89 pitches, 67 for strikes, and carries a 3.47 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 12th
Edwin Diaz allowed two runs on two hits, one walk, and two strikeouts in one inning. He blew the win for starter Rich Hill on Friday, but the Mets scored four runs in the top of the tenth to take the lead and redeem Diaz.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
 Max Fried pitched six innings against the Nationals Tuesday, allowing six hits, one run (earned), and four walks while striking out five batters. He was not a factor in the decision but did earn a quality start. He threw 96 pitches, 56 for strikes, and carries a 3.42 ERA.
Steve Painter
Wed, Sep 8th
Edwin Diaz was perfect in the ninth inning with two strikeouts Thursday. The Mets won 4-3 and are one game under .500 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Sep 3rd
 Max Fried pitched six innings against the Dodgers Wednesday, allowing three hits, two runs (both earned), and one walk while striking out nine batters. He did not factor in the decision. Fried threw 99 pitches, 59 for strikes, and carries a 3.51 ERA.
Steve Painter
Thu, Sep 2nd
Edwin Diaz struck out two in a perfect inning for his 27th save. The Mets won 3-1 and swept an unconventional doubleheader on Tuesday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 1st
 Max Fried pitched six innings against the Giants Friday, allowing five hits and four runs (three earned) while striking out five batters. He did not factor into the decision, a 6-5 Braves win. He threw 93 pitches, 65 for strikes, and carries a 3.54 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Aug 28th
Edwin Diaz pitched a perfect ninth inning to record the save in Saturday's affair against the Nationals. The Mets improved to 62-67 with the win.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Aug 31st
 Max Fried pitched the first complete-game shutout of his career against the Orioles Friday, allowing four hits while striking out four batters. With the Braves 3-0 win, Fried's record improved to 11-7, and he also collected another quality start. He threw 90 pitches, 66 for strikes, and carries a 3.49 ERA.
Steve Painter
Fri, Aug 20th
Edwin Diaz allowed one hit in one inning to shut the door on the Nationals.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Aug 13th
Notes 
 In many ways, Fried regressed during his 2020 season. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate increased, and his xFIP and SIERA jumped significantly. Nevertheless, thanks to his ability to limit hard contact (his 83.4 MPH average exit velocity and 23.8% hard hit rate allowed were among the best in MLB) led to a massive drop in BABIP allowed, and kept both his ERA and WHIP in check. It's hard to buy a pitcher without an elite strikeout rate whose underlying numbers don't fully support his gains. Nevertheless, Fried was an elite prospect playing on an excellent team, and is just 27 years old. Don't pay for last year's numbers, but don't run away from him in drafts either.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Diaz's overall numbers bounced back in a monstrous way last season. He dropped his ERA from a bloated 5.59 in 2019 to a 1.75, and upped his strikeout rate to a career-best 45.5%. He was among the league leaders in nearly every expected statistic (batting average, slugging percentage wOBA, and ERA), and he cut his HR/9 rate from 2.33 to just 0.70. Diaz's walk rate actually regressed, however, as he issued free passes to nearly five batters per nine innings. That's not often a recipe for success from a closer, but Diaz can survive at that rate if he continues to keep the strikeouts up and limit the long balls. In the end, Diaz does carry some risk given his history, but he should be drafted as one of the upper echelon closers in the game, if not a touch behind the truly elite options.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros