Who Should I Draft?
Fernando Tatis Jr. or Juan Soto (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Fernando Tatis Jr. CF,RF,SS - SD  | Juan Soto LF,RF - WSH  | |
Expert |
59% Recommended by 30 of 51 experts |
41% Recommended by 21 of 51 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 3 | # 4 |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 1 |
| Worst Rank | # 6 | # 7 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 2 | # 4 |
| Best Rank | # 2 | # 3 |
| Worst Rank | # 4 | # 6 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 108 | 111 |
| Home Runs | 36 | 38 |
| RBI | 97 | 112 |
| Stolen Bases | 25 | 13 |
| Batting Average | .286 | .305 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 2 | # 4 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 1 | # 4 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 4 | # 6 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 2 | # 3 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 2 | # 4 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 2 | # 4 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 3 | # 4 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 1 | # 5 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 3 | # 4 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 2 | # 3 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 2 | # 4 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 2 | # 3 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 2 | # 4 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 3 | # 4 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 3 | # 5 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 2 | # 3 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 3 | # 4 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 3 | # 4 |
| Jorge B. Edwards Fantasy In Frames | # 4 | # 5 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 3 | # 4 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 2 | # 4 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 4 | # 5 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 1 | # 4 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 4 | # 7 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 1 | # 3 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 4 | # 5 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 5 | # 6 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 2 | # 3 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 3 | # 4 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 2 | # 4 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 3 | # 2 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 3 | # 2 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 3 | # 2 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 3 | # 2 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 3 | # 1 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 3 | # 2 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 3 | # 2 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 4 | # 3 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 4 | # 1 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 4 | # 3 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 4 | # 3 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 4 | # 3 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 4 | # 2 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 4 | # 2 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 4 | # 3 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 4 | # 2 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 5 | # 3 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 5 | # 2 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 5 | # 3 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 5 | # 2 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 6 | # 5 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. CF,RF,SS - SD | Juan Soto LF,RF - WSH | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 224 | 154 |
| Runs | 50 | 39 |
| Hits | 62 | 54 |
| Singles | 32 | 27 |
| Doubles | 11 | 14 |
| Triples | 2 | 0 |
| Home Runs | 17 | 13 |
| RBI | 45 | 37 |
| Stolen Bases | 11 | 6 |
| Caught Stealing | 3 | 2 |
| Walks | 27 | 41 |
| Strikeouts | 61 | 28 |
| Batting Average | .277 | .351 |
| On Base Pct | .366 | .490 |
| Slugging Pct | .571 | .695 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .937 | 1.185 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. CF,RF,SS - SD | Juan Soto LF,RF - WSH | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 568 | 534 |
| Runs | 108 | 111 |
| Hits | 161 | 161 |
| Singles | 91 | 86 |
| Doubles | 28 | 34 |
| Triples | 6 | 3 |
| Home Runs | 36 | 38 |
| RBI | 97 | 112 |
| Stolen Bases | 25 | 13 |
| Caught Stealing | 8 | 4 |
| Walks | 61 | 109 |
| Strikeouts | 165 | 119 |
| Batting Average | .286 | .305 |
| On Base Pct | .357 | .424 |
| Slugging Pct | .544 | .586 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .901 | 1.011 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. CF,RF,SS - SD | Juan Soto LF,RF - WSH | |
| News | ||
| Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-4 on the day, driving in a run with an RBI-double in the third inning. He also struck out once. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Tue, Sep 14th | Juan Soto doubled and walked on Saturday. Soto went 1-for-3 with his 18th double of the season. Corbin Young Sat, Sep 18th | |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. went 3-for-4 on the day, hitting a two-run homer and driving in three runs in total in the game. He also struck out once. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Sun, Sep 12th | Juan Soto singled and walked three times on Friday. Soto went 1-for-2 with one run scored. Corbin Young Fri, Sep 17th | |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-for-4 on Friday, hitting two singles and striking out two times. He also stole a base, his 25th of the year. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Sat, Sep 11th | Juan Soto recorded two hits on Wednesday after going 2-for-4 with one run scored and one RBI. Corbin Young Wed, Sep 15th | |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-2 on Wednesday, hitting a single and drawing two walks. He drove in a run and scored another. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Thu, Sep 9th | Juan Soto recorded three hits on Tuesday against the Marlins after going 3-for-4 with one RBI and one walk. Corbin Young Wed, Sep 15th | |
| Padres SS/OF Fernando Tatis Jr. said Tuesday that he doesn't anticipate undergoing shoulder surgery after the season. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Sep 8th | Juan Soto went hitless in three at-bats on Monday in their 3-0 loss to the Marlins. Corbin Young Mon, Sep 13th | |
| Notes | ||
| Tatis Jr. has a bit of a shoulder issue, but nothing suggests he'll need to miss any time. He had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his Statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers, so long a there are no further developments with his shoulder. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | There aren't enough superlatives in the English language to describe what Soto has done in his career given his young age. Had he merely repeated his incredible 2019 numbers last season, fantasy managers would have been ecstatic. Instead, he upped his walk rate from an elite 16.4% to a truly remarkable 20.9%, cut his strikeout rate down to just 14.3%, and batted .351. Soto does not have the speed or baserunning chops to steal 30 bases in a season, which is the only thing keeping him from being considered worthy of drafting first overall. But given what he's accomplished through his age-21 season, it's truly scary to think of how high his ceiling may be. Draft him as a top-five pick and enjoy the ridiculous production. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | There isn't a single negative thing to say about the second coming of Ted Williams. Soto get even better last year, his age-21 season, and wound up leading baseball in OBP. The fact that he was limited to 47 games wound up costing him NL MVP honors, as Soto was the best hitter in baseball on a per-game basis in 2020. The floor here is so high. Soto isn't a zero in stolen bases either. He swiped 12 in 2019 and six last summer. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | |
