Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Juan Soto (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
30 of 51 experts
41%
Recommended by
21 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 4
Best Rank# 1# 1
Worst Rank# 6# 7
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 2# 4
Best Rank# 2# 3
Worst Rank# 4# 6
   
Projections 
   
Runs108111
Home Runs3638
RBI97112
Stolen Bases2513
Batting Average.286.305
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 4
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 6
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 2# 3
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 4
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 4
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 4
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 5
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 3# 4
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 3
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 2# 4
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 3
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 2# 4
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 4
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 5
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 2# 3
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 4
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 4
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 4# 5
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 4
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 2# 4
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 4# 5
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 1# 4
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 1# 3
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 4# 5
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 2# 3
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 3# 4
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 2# 4
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 2
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 3# 2
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 3# 2
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 2
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 1
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 3# 2
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 3# 2
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 3
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 1
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 3
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 3
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 3
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 2
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 2
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 3
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 2
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 3
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 2
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 5# 3
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 2
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 5
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats224154
   
Runs5039
   
Hits6254
   
Singles3227
   
Doubles1114
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs1713
   
RBI4537
   
Stolen Bases116
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks2741
   
Strikeouts6128
   
Batting Average.277.351
   
On Base Pct.366.490
   
Slugging Pct.571.695
   
On-base Plus Slugging.9371.185
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats568534
   
Runs108111
   
Hits161161
   
Singles9186
   
Doubles2834
   
Triples63
   
Home Runs3638
   
RBI97112
   
Stolen Bases2513
   
Caught Stealing84
   
Walks61109
   
Strikeouts165119
   
Batting Average.286.305
   
On Base Pct.357.424
   
Slugging Pct.544.586
   
On-base Plus Slugging.9011.011
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Juan Soto
LF,RF - WSH
Juan Soto
News 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-4 on the day, driving in a run with an RBI-double in the third inning. He also struck out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
Juan Soto doubled and walked on Saturday. Soto went 1-for-3 with his 18th double of the season.
Corbin Young
Sat, Sep 18th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 3-for-4 on the day, hitting a two-run homer and driving in three runs in total in the game. He also struck out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 12th
Juan Soto singled and walked three times on Friday. Soto went 1-for-2 with one run scored.
Corbin Young
Fri, Sep 17th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-for-4 on Friday, hitting two singles and striking out two times. He also stole a base, his 25th of the year.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
Juan Soto recorded two hits on Wednesday after going 2-for-4 with one run scored and one RBI.
Corbin Young
Wed, Sep 15th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-2 on Wednesday, hitting a single and drawing two walks. He drove in a run and scored another.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 9th
Juan Soto recorded three hits on Tuesday against the Marlins after going 3-for-4 with one RBI and one walk.
Corbin Young
Wed, Sep 15th
 Padres SS/OF Fernando Tatis Jr. said Tuesday that he doesn't anticipate undergoing shoulder surgery after the season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 8th
Juan Soto went hitless in three at-bats on Monday in their 3-0 loss to the Marlins.
Corbin Young
Mon, Sep 13th
Notes 
 Tatis Jr. has a bit of a shoulder issue, but nothing suggests he'll need to miss any time. He had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his Statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers, so long a there are no further developments with his shoulder.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There aren't enough superlatives in the English language to describe what Soto has done in his career given his young age. Had he merely repeated his incredible 2019 numbers last season, fantasy managers would have been ecstatic. Instead, he upped his walk rate from an elite 16.4% to a truly remarkable 20.9%, cut his strikeout rate down to just 14.3%, and batted .351. Soto does not have the speed or baserunning chops to steal 30 bases in a season, which is the only thing keeping him from being considered worthy of drafting first overall. But given what he's accomplished through his age-21 season, it's truly scary to think of how high his ceiling may be. Draft him as a top-five pick and enjoy the ridiculous production.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
There isn't a single negative thing to say about the second coming of Ted Williams. Soto get even better last year, his age-21 season, and wound up leading baseball in OBP. The fact that he was limited to 47 games wound up costing him NL MVP honors, as Soto was the best hitter in baseball on a per-game basis in 2020. The floor here is so high. Soto isn't a zero in stolen bases either. He swiped 12 in 2019 and six last summer.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros