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Who Should I Draft?

Fernando Tatis Jr. or Rafael Devers (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
29 of 52 experts
44%
Recommended by
23 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 15
Best Rank# 6# 7
Worst Rank# 26# 63
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 26
Best Rank# 14# 20
Worst Rank# 34# 27
   
Projections 
   
Runs3438
Home Runs1012
RBI2837
Stolen Bases83
Batting Average.281.294
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 14
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 21# 35
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 19
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 10# 18
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 8# 9
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 63
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 15
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 17
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 17
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 15
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 17
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 14# 22
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 8# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 19
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 16# 17
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 16# 17
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 15
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 10# 18
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 11# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 16
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 14
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 10# 19
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 24# 26
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 13# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 14
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 14
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 15
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 16# 14
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 13
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 17# 7
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 17
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 18# 16
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 14
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 13
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 18
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 20# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 14
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 20# 13
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 17
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 17
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats334647
   
Runs61129
   
Hits106201
   
Singles65111
   
Doubles1354
   
Triples64
   
Home Runs2232
   
RBI53115
   
Stolen Bases168
   
Caught Stealing68
   
Walks3048
   
Strikeouts110119
   
Batting Average.317.311
   
On Base Pct.379.361
   
Slugging Pct.590.555
   
On-base Plus Slugging.969.916
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats203219
   
Runs3438
   
Hits5764
   
Singles3536
   
Doubles916
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs1012
   
RBI2837
   
Stolen Bases83
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks1918
   
Strikeouts6245
   
Batting Average.281.294
   
On Base Pct.342.346
   
Slugging Pct.506.532
   
On-base Plus Slugging.848.879
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
News 
 Padres GM AJ Preller says "it sounds like there's interest on both sides" regarding a Fernando Tatis Jr. contract extension.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 15th
Rafael Devers went 1-for-3 at the plate and scored a run while driving in two on Friday as the Red Sox lost 8-7 to the Braves in extra innings.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 26th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk in the Padres 12-3 loss to the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 9th
Rafael Devers went 1-for-5 with a double and drove in three runs on Wednesday as the Red Sox beat the Orioles by a 9-1 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 24th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-4 with a single, a stolen base, and three stikeouts as the Padres fell to the Dodgers 5-1 in Game 1 of the NLDS on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Oct 7th
Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with a three-run home run and two runs scored in Thursday's 5-3 victory over the Marlins.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 18th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-2 with a double, a run scored, and two walks in the Padres Game 3 Wild Card win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Oct 3rd
Rafael Devers went 3-for-5 and drove in a run on Sunday in a 6-3 win for the Red Sox over the Rays.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 14th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. was in full effect on Thursday when he went 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI as the Padres evened up the series with the Cardinals to force a Game 3 on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 2nd
Rafael Devers went 3-for-4 at the plate with a home run, three RBI and a run scored Thursday in the win against the Rays.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 11th
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
8 SBs in 2019 were a surprise. Don't expect it or even considerate them for 2020 in only 60 games. He may have another gear after 30+ in 2019, that's an impressive piece of machinery if he gets there.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
This is why you don't give up on a player - and why you should bet on track record. After Devers' disappointing sophomore campaign, the price sunk on him in 2019 drafts. He responded to the tune of .311/.361/.555 with 32 home runs, 129 runs, 115 RBIs, and eight steals.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 .410 BABIP is unsustainable but Tatis went 22/16 in 84 games as a rookie. Immense upside
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Hit .311 with 32 homers, 115 RBI, 129 runs scored, and even eight steals as a 22-year-old in 2019
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros