Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

James Karinchak or Corbin Burnes (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
49 of 51 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 49
Best Rank# 14# 28
Worst Rank# 46# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 102
Best Rank# 51# 94
Worst Rank# 60# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17499
Wins93
Saves022
ERA3.633.23
WHIP1.201.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 58
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 68
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 55
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 51
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 40
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 60
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 44
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 47
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 56
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 43
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 45
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 49
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 55
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 26# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 49
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 61
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 40
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 58
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 36
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 100
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 40
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 82
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 43
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 43
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 19# 117
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 53
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 47
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 92
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 62
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 56
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 43
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 45
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 33
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 35
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 28
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 43
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 40
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 31
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 61
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 48
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 34
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 47
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 37
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 60
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 19# 98
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 65
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 32
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 40# 37
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1227
   
Games Started90
   
Innings Pitched60.327.0
   
Wins41
   
Losses12
   
Saves01
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds08
   
Hits Allowed3714
   
Earned Runs148
   
Home Runs Allowed21
   
Strikeouts8853
   
Walks2416
   
ERA2.112.67
   
WHIP1.021.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2961
   
Games Started270
   
Innings Pitched142.161.3
   
Wins93
   
Losses73
   
Saves022
   
Blown Saves09
   
Holds06
   
Hits Allowed12040
   
Earned Runs5722
   
Home Runs Allowed187
   
Strikeouts17499
   
Walks5132
   
ERA3.633.23
   
WHIP1.201.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
James Karinchak
RP - CLE
James Karinchak
News 
 Corbin Burnes (11-4) earned the win Saturday against the Mets, allowing one run on five hits in seven innings. He walked one and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
The Cleveland Indians have optioned reliever James Karinchak to Triple-A Columbus. His roster spot will go to first baseman Bobby Bradley, who was activated from the IL.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak threw 1 1/3 scoreless innings in a 7-2 win over the Rangers on Wednesday. He struck out two and allowed just one hit.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 26th
 Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak allowed a run in his lone inning of work in a 4-3 loss to Oakland on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Aug 11th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak allowed three runs in 1/3 of an inning in a 12-11 win over the White Sox on Saturday. He walked one and gave up two hits, including a two-run homer.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Aug 1st
 Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
Cleveland right-hander James Karinchak threw a scoreless eighth inning in a 3-2 win over the Rays on Sunday. He worked around one walk in the frame.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jul 25th
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Karinchak is expected to be Cleveland's closer after Brad Hand moved on to the Nationals, though it's not a sure thing yet. Yes, he walks too many batters (5.33 per nine innings), but you can get away with it when you strike out nearly half the batters you face and hitters bat .151 against you overall. Karinchak has two absolutely devastating pitches: a mid-90's fastball (.184 batting average against, .151 xBA) and a power curveball (.140 batting average against, .114 xBA). Cleveland may not have a ton of success this year and hence save opportunities may be limited, but Karinchak can be a dominant fantasy reliever if he gets the job. Monitor reports out of the spring to see when and if Terry Francona formerly anoints him as the closer. If he does, he should vault to being a top-6 or 7 reliever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
"Special K" used the third-highest rate of elevated four seamers to produce a dominant season out of the bullpen. 53 strikeouts in 27 innings led to the second-highest strikeout rate in baseball (behind only Devin Williams). Karinchak was blocked for saves by Brad Hand during the 2020 season, but his departure this offseason opens the door for Karinchak to handle ninth inning duties. Assuming Cleveland doesn't sign a "traditional" veteran closer, then I'd aggressively draft Karinchak as a top-three reliever for fantasy baseball purposes.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros