Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Charlie Blackmon (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Charlie Blackmon
CF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
31 of 59 experts
47%
Recommended by
28 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 19
Best Rank# 6# 5
Worst Rank# 33# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 26
Best Rank# 16# 25
Worst Rank# 23# 28
   
Projections 
   
Runs87109
Home Runs3028
RBI9678
Stolen Bases1712
Batting Average.276.296
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertDTD-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 19
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 16# 17
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 14# 26
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 20
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 26
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 11# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 14
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 18# 26
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 23
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 9# 13
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 13# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 19
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 17# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 19
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 7# 10
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 18# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 15# 21
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 31
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 24
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 11# 21
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 21
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 18# 25
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 19# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 22
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 23
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 18
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 10# 9
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 8
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 15# 12
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 14
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 6
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 13
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 16
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 18
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 18
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 19# 18
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 17
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 18
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 22# 21
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 22# 14
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 18
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 20
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 11
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 24# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 25
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 29# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 18
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 33# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 5
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Charlie Blackmon
CF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats606626
   
Runs101119
   
Hits176182
   
Singles93115
   
Doubles4031
   
Triples97
   
Home Runs3429
   
RBI11170
   
Stolen Bases2112
   
Caught Stealing94
   
Walks2959
   
Strikeouts167134
   
Batting Average.290.291
   
On Base Pct.326.358
   
Slugging Pct.555.502
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.860
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Charlie Blackmon
CF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582593
   
Runs87109
   
Hits161176
   
Singles93109
   
Doubles3331
   
Triples57
   
Home Runs3028
   
RBI9678
   
Stolen Bases1712
   
Caught Stealing65
   
Walks3355
   
Strikeouts159122
   
Batting Average.276.296
   
On Base Pct.315.356
   
Slugging Pct.507.516
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.872
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Charlie Blackmon
CF - COL
Charlie Blackmon
News 
 Cubs manager Joe Maddon says Javier Baez (thumb) remains available off the bench as a pinch-runner.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 20th
Charlie Blackmon went 2-for-3 with a homer and a walk in the Rockies' 6-1 loss to the Mets on Tuesday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 18th
 An MRI revealed a hairline fracture on Javier Baez’s thumb Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
Charlie Blackmon went 1-for-4 with a solo homer as the Rockies beat the Padres 11-10 on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 15th
 Javier Baez is not in the lineup for Saturday’s game against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
Charlie Blackmon went 2-for-4 with a double in the Rockies' 2-1 loss to the Padres on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 9th
 Javier Baez (thumb) is not in Friday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th
Charlie Blackmon went 3-for-4 with three doubles, an RBI, and two runs scored in the Rockies' loss to the Dodgers on Labor Day.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 3rd
 Javier Baez was scratched from Thursday’s lineup against the Brewers due to soreness in his left thumb.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th
Charlie Blackmon in not in the lineup for Friday’s game against the Pirates.
Brad Camara
Fri, Aug 30th
Notes 
 Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
While Blackmon wasn't the number one fantasy asset like in 2017, he still knocked 29 homers, led the league in runs and batted .291, and don't forget, that was a down year. If that is his floor, fantasy owners are getting a steal in the late 2nd round.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Blackmon doesn't receive the fanfare of guys like Bryce Harper and Giancarlo Stanton, but he's outperformed them in standard roto/categories leagues for three years running. Even though his numbers predictably tailed off considerably from his bonkers 2017 season, Blackmon still finished as a top-six outfielder and top-14 overall hitter last season. His stolen bases are on a three-year decline, but he should still be able to reach double digits, and there's not much evidence his skills are otherwise deteriorating at age 32. As long as his skills remain constant and he remains in Colorado, last season's .291 batting average is close to the floor for Blackmon, and another year above .320 is entirely possible.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Blackmon's down year (.291, 29 HR, 119 R, 12 SB) was still far better than most players' best year. Nevertheless, 2017's 37 homers now looks like the clear outlier for a 32-year-old yet to reach 30 in another season. He has also stolen fewer bases in each of the last three seasons. Yet this is still someone who has logged over 640 plate appearances and hit at least .287 in each of his five full seasons as an everyday starter. Nobody has scored more runs (542) during that timeframe, and he's no longer a flight risk after signing an extension through 2023 with the Rockies. Blackmon remains an elite stat-stuffer with little downside as a borderline top-25 pick.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros