Who Should I Draft?

Javier Baez or Eugenio Suarez (2019)

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Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
58 of 59 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 35
Best Rank# 6# 25
Worst Rank# 33# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 18# 55
Best Rank# 16# 52
Worst Rank# 23# 57
   
Projections 
   
Runs8783
Home Runs3030
RBI9695
Stolen Bases174
Batting Average.276.268
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertDTD-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic		# 15# 48
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports		# 13# 52
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports		# 15# 37
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy		# 16# 64
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay		# 10# 36
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic		# 14# 28
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix		# 16# 46
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today		# 18# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp		# 16# 57
   
Grey Albright
Razzball		# 6# 38
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball		# 20# 39
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat		# 11# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire		# 19# 37
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic		# 19# 28
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome		# 9# 50
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic		# 18# 56
   
Scott White
CBS Sports		# 20# 42
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports		# 24# 53
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports		# 11# 42
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice		# 17# 35
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic		# 9# 29
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet		# 21# 37
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain		# 22# 37
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros		# 19# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball		# 13# 65
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall		# 29# 47
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic		# 15# 60
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack		# 18# 30
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic		# 17# 32
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore		# 16# 41
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports		# 7# 47
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball		# 23# 48
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio		# 33# 52
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs		# 33# 54
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List		# 21# 35
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller		# 18# 31
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller		# 21# 29
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros		# 15# 32
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs		# 22# 35
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack		# 21# 36
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball		# 15# 57
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball		# 6# 31
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros		# 22# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller		# 22# 30
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros		# 14# 43
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats		# 20# 36
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball		# 11# 35
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners		# 18# 35
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack		# 23# 38
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine		# 22# 42
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football		# 18# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax		# 19# 50
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy		# 18# 50
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy		# 13# 37
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams		# 29# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs		# 18# 42
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List		# 19# 25
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix		# 15# 39
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams		# 32# 31
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats606527
   
Runs10179
   
Hits176149
   
Singles9391
   
Doubles4022
   
Triples92
   
Home Runs3434
   
RBI111104
   
Stolen Bases211
   
Caught Stealing91
   
Walks2964
   
Strikeouts167142
   
Batting Average.290.283
   
On Base Pct.326.366
   
Slugging Pct.555.526
   
On-base Plus Slugging.881.892
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats582547
   
Runs8783
   
Hits161146
   
Singles9389
   
Doubles3326
   
Triples52
   
Home Runs3030
   
RBI9695
   
Stolen Bases174
   
Caught Stealing62
   
Walks3366
   
Strikeouts159143
   
Batting Average.276.268
   
On Base Pct.315.347
   
Slugging Pct.507.488
   
On-base Plus Slugging.822.835
   
  Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Eugenio Suarez
3B - CIN
Eugenio Suarez
News 
 Cubs manager Joe Maddon says Javier Baez (thumb) remains available off the bench as a pinch-runner.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 20th		Eugenio Suarez went 2-for-5 with a solo home run in Wednesday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 19th
 An MRI revealed a hairline fracture on Javier Baez’s thumb Saturday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th		Eugenio Suarez went 2-for-3 with a pair of solo home runs in Sunday's win over the Diamondbacks.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 16th
 Javier Baez is not in the lineup for Saturday’s game against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th		Eugenio Suarez went 2-for-4 with a home run, a double, a walk and three RBI in Thursday’s 11-5 win over the Mariners.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 13th
 Javier Baez (thumb) is not in Friday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th		Eugenio Suarez went 3-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI in Sunday's win over Arizona.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 8th
 Javier Baez was scratched from Thursday’s lineup against the Brewers due to soreness in his left thumb.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 5th		Eugenio Suarez went 3-for-4 with a homer and four RBI in Friday's loss to Arizona.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 7th
Notes 
 Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros		In the first half last year, Suarez was sensational, hitting 19 homers with 71 RBIs while batting .312. The second half wasn't as pretty, so we may see him take a step back in 2019, but you can still bank on 30+ homers and around 100 RBIs with a decent batting average
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros		Suarez was among the league leaders in hard contact rate last season, and the result was a career high .283 batting average, 34 home runs, and 104 RBIs. His BABIP and HR/FB rate were both a little inflated, so some regression should be expected to his average and power output. Look for him to hit closer to his .264 career mark, while hitting around 30 homers and again driving in plenty of runs in an improved Reds lineup.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros		One of the game's most underappreciated stars, Suarez leveraged a massive hard-hit uptick into a career-high 34 homers. Yet his fly-ball rate (37.1%) stayed exactly the same as 2017, when he circled the bases 26 times. He's likely to split the difference, and a subpar second half (.245/.322/.463) will only fuel more skepticism. Yet it'd be foolish to ignore the other MVP-caliber half (.312/.399/.574). The 27-year-old third baseman could still offer a .275 average with around 30 homers and strong counting numbers around pick 50.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros