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Who Should I Draft?

J.D. Martinez or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
28 of 45 experts
38%
Recommended by
17 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 15
Best Rank# 6# 6
Worst Rank# 29# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 22# 19
Best Rank# 17# 14
Worst Rank# 23# 32
   
Projections 
   
Runs3634
Home Runs1411
RBI4228
Stolen Bases18
Batting Average.309.286
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 9# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 17
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 13# 21
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 13# 14
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 9# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 6# 11
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 14# 16
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 13# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 24
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 16
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 10# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 13# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 13# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 19# 20
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 13# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 17
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 9# 27
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 12# 20
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 13# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 18# 20
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 20
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 12# 10
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 13# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 14# 13
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 14# 8
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 15# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 15
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 10
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 17# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 11
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 20# 6
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 10
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats575334
   
Runs9861
   
Hits175106
   
Singles10465
   
Doubles3313
   
Triples26
   
Home Runs3622
   
RBI10553
   
Stolen Bases216
   
Caught Stealing06
   
Walks7230
   
Strikeouts138110
   
Batting Average.304.317
   
On Base Pct.383.379
   
Slugging Pct.557.590
   
On-base Plus Slugging.939.969
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats202203
   
Runs3634
   
Hits6358
   
Singles3636
   
Doubles129
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs1411
   
RBI4228
   
Stolen Bases18
   
Caught Stealing03
   
Walks2419
   
Strikeouts5362
   
Batting Average.309.286
   
On Base Pct.384.346
   
Slugging Pct.579.512
   
On-base Plus Slugging.962.857
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
News 
 J.D. Martinez went 2-for-3 with three-run home run in Wednesday's spring game against the Tigers.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 5th
Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
  Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
  Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
  Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
Notes 
 J.D. Martinez was a first-round player in drafts last year, but as is the case with fantasy managers, there's a quick overreaction to a "down" year, which is why we see Martinez fall to the second round this year. Targeting bounce-back players at a value is vital to winning fantasy leagues. Martinez can give you first-round value, despite not having the steals or Mookie Betts in the lineup.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Martinez won't steal any bases but with 40 homers, 100+ RBIs and a .300 batting average every year, fantasy owners are getting an absolute steal at any point in the second round of drafts. Don't be scared off by his dip in production, as underlying metrics suggest he was among the most unlucky hitters in baseball.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Seems to be overlooked every season. High end contributor in every category except SBs. Super solid 2nd round pick.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData