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Who Should I Draft?

J.D. Martinez or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
33 of 52 experts
37%
Recommended by
19 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 13# 14
Best Rank# 6# 6
Worst Rank# 29# 26
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 21# 19
Best Rank# 16# 14
Worst Rank# 23# 34
   
Projections 
   
Runs3534
Home Runs1410
RBI4128
Stolen Bases18
Batting Average.304.281
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 10# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 12# 16
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 12# 19
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 26
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 15
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 9# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 12
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 14# 16
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 13# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 12# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 15
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 13# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 16
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 19# 20
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 13# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 17
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 9# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 13# 16
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 7# 24
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 12# 20
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 13# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 18# 20
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 20
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 6# 18
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 12# 10
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 13# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 13# 12
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 14# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 15
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 10
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 16# 12
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 16
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 18# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 11
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 19# 13
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 20# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 10
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 26# 21
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 29# 21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats575334
   
Runs9861
   
Hits175106
   
Singles10465
   
Doubles3313
   
Triples26
   
Home Runs3622
   
RBI10553
   
Stolen Bases216
   
Caught Stealing06
   
Walks7230
   
Strikeouts138110
   
Batting Average.304.317
   
On Base Pct.383.379
   
Slugging Pct.557.590
   
On-base Plus Slugging.939.969
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats203203
   
Runs3534
   
Hits6257
   
Singles3535
   
Doubles129
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs1410
   
RBI4128
   
Stolen Bases18
   
Caught Stealing03
   
Walks2419
   
Strikeouts5362
   
Batting Average.304.281
   
On Base Pct.379.342
   
Slugging Pct.572.506
   
On-base Plus Slugging.951.848
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
News 
 J.D. Martinez went 1-for-5 at the plate with a two-run home run in Sunday's 9-1 win over the Braves.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 28th
Padres GM AJ Preller says "it sounds like there's interest on both sides" regarding a Fernando Tatis Jr. contract extension.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 15th
 J.D. Martinez went 3-for-5 with an RBI and a run scored in Tuesday's win over Baltimore by an 8-3 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 23rd
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk in the Padres 12-3 loss to the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 9th
 J.D. Martinez went 2-for-4 at the plate on Saturday in the Red Sox’ shutout loss to the Yankees.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 20th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-4 with a single, a stolen base, and three stikeouts as the Padres fell to the Dodgers 5-1 in Game 1 of the NLDS on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Oct 7th
 J.D. Martinez went 2-for-3 at the plate with a homer and three RBI in Wednesday's loss to the Marlins by an 8-4 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 17th
Fernando Tatis Jr. went 1-for-2 with a double, a run scored, and two walks in the Padres Game 3 Wild Card win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Oct 3rd
 J.D. Martinez went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts on Saturday as the Red Sox lost to the Rays by a 5-4 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 13th
Fernando Tatis Jr. was in full effect on Thursday when he went 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI as the Padres evened up the series with the Cardinals to force a Game 3 on Friday.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 2nd
Notes 
 J.D. Martinez was a first-round player in drafts last year, but as is the case with fantasy managers, there's a quick overreaction to a "down" year, which is why we see Martinez fall to the second round this year. Targeting bounce-back players at a value is vital to winning fantasy leagues. Martinez can give you first-round value, despite not having the steals or Mookie Betts in the lineup.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Seems to be overlooked every season. High end contributor in every category except SBs. Super solid 2nd round pick.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 A safe, four-category stud that might be going at a slight discount
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
.410 BABIP is unsustainable but Tatis went 22/16 in 84 games as a rookie. Immense upside
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros