Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Joe Musgrove or Dinelson Lamet (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
27 of 51 experts
47%
Recommended by
24 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 38# 40
Best Rank# 16# 19
Worst Rank# 77# 262
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 130# 106
Best Rank# 115# 71
Worst Rank# 140# 113
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts158169
Wins119
Saves00
ERA3.923.42
WHIP1.191.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 42
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 47
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 53
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 38
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 62
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 57
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 16# 31
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 42# 44
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 39# 50
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 35
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 38# 64
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 33# 54
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 29# 55
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 33# 62
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 37# 55
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 39# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 52
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 40# 43
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 26# 32
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 43# 56
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 34# 39
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 43# 47
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 38# 39
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 30# 262
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 43# 66
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 29# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 22
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 28# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 33# 25
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 38# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 38# 30
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 40# 37
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 40# 29
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 40# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 31
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 42# 33
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 43# 22
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 44# 34
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 44# 43
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 45# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 51# 23
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 52# 33
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 54# 22
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 55# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 55# 33
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 56# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 56
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 61# 54
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 66# 38
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 77# 19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played812
   
Games Started812
   
Innings Pitched40.169.0
   
Wins13
   
Losses51
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3339
   
Earned Runs1716
   
Home Runs Allowed55
   
Strikeouts5593
   
Walks1620
   
ERA3.862.09
   
WHIP1.240.86
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2924
   
Games Started2924
   
Innings Pitched154.4130.4
   
Wins119
   
Losses86
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed145101
   
Earned Runs6749
   
Home Runs Allowed2117
   
Strikeouts158169
   
Walks3944
   
ERA3.923.42
   
WHIP1.191.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
News 
 Joe Musgrove went just 5.2 innings on Tuesday, allowing five earned runs on eight hits and three walks. He did salvage some of his day with six strikeouts and two hits of his own in the game.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 22nd
Dinelson Lamet has been activated from the 10-day IL. He hasn't pitched since June 26th due to a couple of injuries.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Sep 1st
 Joe Musgrove went six innings on Friday, allowing three earned runs on four hits and five walks. He did still manage to strike out seven batters though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
Padres manager Jayce Tingler noted that Dinelson Lamet had a hip infection "cleaned out." Lamet underwent a procedure that will delay his return although it's not another arm injury.
Corbin Young
Fri, Aug 13th
 Joe Musgrove went 5.1 inning on Saturday, allowing two earned runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out four batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (forearm) threw live batting practice on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 8th
 Joe Musgrove only allowed three hits and two walks in his nine innings of work while also striking out nine batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Aug 28th
San Diego pitcher Dinelson Lamet (forearm) is scheduled to throw live batting practice in the next couple of days.
Brad Camara
Mon, Jul 19th
 Joe Musgrove pitched six innings of one-run ball, allowing three hits and two walks while striking out nine batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Aug 22nd
Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (forearm) won't pitch before the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jul 9th
Notes 
 Musgrove has been a popular sleeper the last two seasons and now that he's been traded to the Padres, his ADP is surely going to rise. In 2019, Musgrove continued to improve as a pitcher, upping his strikeout rate and adding velocity. But his 2020 season looked like a step back, until he returned from the IL strong, including finishing his season with back-to-back scoreless outings while getting back some of the lost zip on his fastball. Overall, Musgrove's 2020 numbers suggest a breakout waiting to happen, as he built significantly on his gains in 2019, increasing his strikeout rate to 33.1%. His chances for wins should improve dramatically in San Diego, and he's a fine fourth starter with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lamet had a dominant curveball in 2019 which he threw 31.7% of the time. Batters hit just .105 against it that year with a .193 wOBA. But Lamet ditched it entirely in 2020, and instead replaced it by greatly upping his slider usage, from 12.2% in 2019 to 53.4% in 2020. And somehow, his slider was even better than his curveball ever was. Batters hit 0.80 against it with a .120 slugging percentage and a .141 wOBA. It was, simply put, the best pitch in baseball last year. Unfortunately, Lamet's arm couldn't hold up to the stress, and he missed the end of the regular season and the playoffs because of an elbow injury. He underwent PRP therapy on his elbow in October and is progressing well, but the Padres' focus on adding starting pitching this offseason suggests that they are not expecting to have Lamet for the full season. Monitor his health this spring, but understand that even if he begins the year healthy, there are plenty of injury concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Over his final four starts of the 2020 season Musgrove posted an exceptional 34:5 K:BB ratio in just 22 innings. In 34 starts from the beginning of 2019 through August 2020 his swinging strike rate sat at 11.9%. In September 2020 that figure jumped to 16.3%. So here we are again. Musgrove is an annual breakout candidate among fantasy analysts, and last year's hot finish combined with the move to San Diego won't temper expectations at all. Musgrove is an upside starting pitcher option come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros