Who Should I Draft?

Jose Abreu or Matt Carpenter (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jose Abreu
1B,DH - CWS
Jose Abreu
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
37 of 56 experts
34%
Recommended by
19 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 41# 50
Best Rank# 30# 12
Worst Rank# 67# 100
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 74# 65
Best Rank# 52# 58
Worst Rank# 82# 72
   
Projections 
   
Runs7997
Home Runs2728
RBI9276
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.284.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 30# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 33
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 42# 47
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 50
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 63# 65
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 46# 78
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 32# 83
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 38# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 46# 50
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 43# 65
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 46# 71
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 67# 100
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 39# 59
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 35# 48
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 42# 76
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 57# 78
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 47
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 42# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 38# 58
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 46# 66
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 37# 47
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 43# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 39# 49
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 38# 72
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 62
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 41# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 39# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 40# 81
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 34# 57
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 42# 64
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 43# 61
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 39# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 58# 64
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 49# 70
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 36# 26
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 35
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 36
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 39# 37
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 40# 24
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 40# 39
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 12
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 43# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 46# 40
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 47# 29
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 50# 46
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 51# 39
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 51# 33
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 51# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 53# 50
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 51
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 53# 36
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 56# 37
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48
   
  Jose Abreu
1B,DH - CWS
Jose Abreu
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats499564
   
Runs68111
   
Hits132145
   
Singles7367
   
Doubles3642
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs2236
   
RBI7881
   
Stolen Bases24
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks37102
   
Strikeouts109158
   
Batting Average.265.257
   
On Base Pct.326.374
   
Slugging Pct.473.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.798.897
   
  Jose Abreu
1B,DH - CWS
Jose Abreu
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats564529
   
Runs7997
   
Hits160135
   
Singles9671
   
Doubles3535
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs2728
   
RBI9276
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks4095
   
Strikeouts116140
   
Batting Average.284.256
   
On Base Pct.331.369
   
Slugging Pct.497.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.828.855
   
  Jose Abreu
1B,DH - CWS
Jose Abreu
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
News 
 Chicago White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu went 1-for-5 in a 5-4 win over the Rangers on Friday.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 22nd
Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
 Chicago White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu went 3-for-4 with a solo homer in a 10-3 loss to the Yankees on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Jun 17th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
 Chicago White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu went 2-for-4 with a run in an 8-4 loss to the Yankees on Saturday.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jun 16th
Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
 Chicago White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu went 0-for-4 in a 12-1 loss to the Nationals on Monday.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Jun 11th
Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
 Chicago White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu went 2-for-4 with a two-run homer in a 6-4 loss to the Nationals on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit, solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 30th
Notes 
 Since Abreu joined the league, he is fifth in the majors with 288 RBIs and #1 among that group with a .295 batting average. As you know, he provides plenty of homers and runs as well. It may not feel interesting to draft Abreu, but with first base more shallow than years past, he is an excellent 6th round pick
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Abreu had the worst season of his career in 2018, but that was largely due to a low BABIP and a couple unusual injuries (a testicular torsion issue and thigh infection) that together cost him about 30 games of action. Abreu's batted ball indicators remained right in line with past seasons, so he should be expected to rebound to his typical .290-30-100 level of production. He's a great pick if you can get him at a discount, particularly considering the lack of dependable options at first base this year.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 The always reliable Abreu fell short of a .290 batting average (.265) and 100 RBI (78) for the first time in his five-year MLB tenure. Just as he was kicking into high gear in August (.338/.380/.676), a thigh injury ended his season early. His .294 BABIP plummeted below his .329 career norm without any accompanying dips in contact and strikeouts, so it's easy envisioning an average rebound to at least .280. Although he may not return to 30 homers, he shouldn't miss by much if healthy. This could be a chance to buy a steady producer at a discount.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros