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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Jesus Luzardo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 33
Best Rank# 5# 20
Worst Rank# 36# 66
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 101
Best Rank# 45# 85
Worst Rank# 61# 112
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts177144
Wins129
Saves00
ERA3.833.73
WHIP1.131.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 33
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 49
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 50
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 30
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 51
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 37
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 46
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 33
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 57
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 44
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 38
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 24
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 35
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 34
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 27
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 24
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 39
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 19# 42
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 30
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 40
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 38
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 31
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 35
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 29
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 38
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 24
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 45
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 23
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 33
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 66
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 29
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 28
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 5# 35
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started119
   
Innings Pitched67.159.2
   
Wins63
   
Losses12
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4057
   
Earned Runs2025
   
Home Runs Allowed99
   
Strikeouts8059
   
Walks1017
   
ERA2.703.81
   
WHIP0.751.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3027
   
Games Started2926
   
Innings Pitched160.7141.6
   
Wins129
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136130
   
Earned Runs6859
   
Home Runs Allowed2319
   
Strikeouts177144
   
Walks4641
   
ERA3.833.73
   
WHIP1.131.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out two over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Monday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Sep 21st
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed four earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out just one over 4 1/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed two earned runs on two hits and four walks while striking out eight over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Mets on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed three earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 4th
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out three over 4 2/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Aug 25th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros