Who Should I Draft?
Kenta Maeda or Lance Lynn (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN  | Lance Lynn SP - CWS  | |
Expert |
65% Recommended by 33 of 51 experts |
35% Recommended by 18 of 51 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 16 | # 17 |
| Best Rank | # 5 | # 12 |
| Worst Rank | # 36 | # 38 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 47 | # 52 |
| Best Rank | # 45 | # 43 |
| Worst Rank | # 61 | # 65 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 177 | 198 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.83 | 3.95 |
| WHIP | 1.13 | 1.22 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | IL60 | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 17 | # 18 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 15 | # 21 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 16 | # 24 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 15 | # 16 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 17 | # 18 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 17 | # 38 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 15 | # 16 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 18 | # 20 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 16 | # 17 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 16 | # 18 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 13 | # 28 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 14 | # 18 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 14 | # 15 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 16 | # 17 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 18 | # 20 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 15 | # 16 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 15 | # 23 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 24 | # 25 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 15 | # 16 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 15 | # 18 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 16 | # 17 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 26 | # 30 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 22 | # 24 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 16 | # 17 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 13 | # 20 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 17 | # 18 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 10 | # 26 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 15 | # 17 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 11 | # 15 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 16 | # 17 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 16 | # 17 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 15 | # 21 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 5 | # 28 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 15 | # 12 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 15 | # 12 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 16 | # 15 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 17 | # 14 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 19 | # 18 |
| Jorge B. Edwards Fantasy In Frames | # 19 | # 14 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 20 | # 18 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 20 | # 17 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 21 | # 17 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 22 | # 19 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 22 | # 18 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 22 | # 20 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 23 | # 15 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 23 | # 19 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 28 | # 20 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 33 | # 23 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 34 | # 17 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 36 | # 18 |
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN | Lance Lynn SP - CWS | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 11 | 13 |
| Games Started | 11 | 13 |
| Innings Pitched | 67.1 | 84.0 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 40 | 64 |
| Earned Runs | 20 | 31 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 9 | 13 |
| Strikeouts | 80 | 89 |
| Walks | 10 | 25 |
| ERA | 2.70 | 3.32 |
| WHIP | 0.75 | 1.06 |
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN | Lance Lynn SP - CWS | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 30 | 30 |
| Games Started | 29 | 30 |
| Innings Pitched | 160.7 | 184.1 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 136 | 167 |
| Earned Runs | 68 | 81 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 23 | 27 |
| Strikeouts | 177 | 198 |
| Walks | 46 | 57 |
| ERA | 3.83 | 3.95 |
| WHIP | 1.13 | 1.22 |
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN | Lance Lynn SP - CWS | |
| News | ||
| Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli. Ari Koslow Fri, Aug 27th | Lance Lynn pitched five strong innings on Friday, allowing one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out four batters. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Sat, Oct 2nd | |
| Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network. Jack Mannis Tue, Aug 24th | Lance Lynn allowed just two hits in his five innings of work, striking out nine and not allowing a single earned run. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Mon, Sep 13th | |
| Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back. Kamran Hoda Mon, Aug 23rd | The White Sox reinstated RHP Lance Lynn (knee) from the 10-day injured list. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sat, Sep 11th | |
| Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness. Chris Schommer Sat, Aug 21st | White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn is expected to start on Sunday against Boston. It will be his first outing since landing on the 10-day injured list with right knee inflammation at the end of August. Andersen Pickard Thu, Sep 9th | |
| The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Aug 18th | Lance Lynn is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Friday. Ari Koslow Wed, Sep 8th | |
| Notes | ||
| Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
