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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Lance Lynn (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
16 of 22 experts
27%
Recommended by
6 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 19
Best Rank# 10# 13
Worst Rank# 37# 41
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 55
Best Rank# 47# 41
Worst Rank# 66# 73
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts182199
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.873.95
WHIP1.161.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 24
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 20# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 21
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 17
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 19# 33
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 11# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 21
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 37# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 26
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 19
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 25
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 14# 19
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 17
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 23# 17
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 24# 14
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 37# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1113
   
Games Started1113
   
Innings Pitched67.184.0
   
Wins66
   
Losses13
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4064
   
Earned Runs2031
   
Home Runs Allowed913
   
Strikeouts8089
   
Walks1025
   
ERA2.703.32
   
WHIP0.751.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3030
   
Games Started2930
   
Innings Pitched165.6185.6
   
Wins1212
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed142169
   
Earned Runs7182
   
Home Runs Allowed2428
   
Strikeouts182199
   
Walks5062
   
ERA3.873.95
   
WHIP1.161.24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
News 
There are no recent news for these players
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros