Who Should I Draft?
Kenta Maeda or Lance Lynn (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN  | Lance Lynn SP - CWS  | |
Expert |
73% Recommended by 16 of 22 experts |
27% Recommended by 6 of 22 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 17 | # 19 |
| Best Rank | # 10 | # 13 |
| Worst Rank | # 37 | # 41 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 52 | # 55 |
| Best Rank | # 47 | # 41 |
| Worst Rank | # 66 | # 73 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 182 | 199 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.87 | 3.95 |
| WHIP | 1.16 | 1.24 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 19 | # 20 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 17 | # 24 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 20 | # 33 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 19 | # 21 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 16 | # 17 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 19 | # 33 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 17 | # 18 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 16 | # 18 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 11 | # 17 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 13 | # 21 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 37 | # 41 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 16 | # 17 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 25 | # 26 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 19 | ‐ |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 10 | # 25 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 14 | # 19 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 16 | # 13 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 18 | # 17 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 21 | # 20 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 23 | # 17 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 24 | # 14 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 37 | # 15 |
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN | Lance Lynn SP - CWS | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 11 | 13 |
| Games Started | 11 | 13 |
| Innings Pitched | 67.1 | 84.0 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 40 | 64 |
| Earned Runs | 20 | 31 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 9 | 13 |
| Strikeouts | 80 | 89 |
| Walks | 10 | 25 |
| ERA | 2.70 | 3.32 |
| WHIP | 0.75 | 1.06 |
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN | Lance Lynn SP - CWS | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 30 | 30 |
| Games Started | 29 | 30 |
| Innings Pitched | 165.6 | 185.6 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 142 | 169 |
| Earned Runs | 71 | 82 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 24 | 28 |
| Strikeouts | 182 | 199 |
| Walks | 50 | 62 |
| ERA | 3.87 | 3.95 |
| WHIP | 1.16 | 1.24 |
| Kenta Maeda SP,RP - MIN | Lance Lynn SP - CWS | |
| News | ||
| There are no recent news for these players | ||
| Notes | ||
| Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
