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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Lance Lynn (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
33 of 50 experts
34%
Recommended by
17 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 17
Best Rank# 5# 12
Worst Rank# 36# 38
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 52
Best Rank# 45# 43
Worst Rank# 61# 65
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts177198
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.833.95
WHIP1.131.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 21
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 24
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 18
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 38
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 16
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 20
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 28
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 15
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 16
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 23
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 16
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 30
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 20
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 18
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 26
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 17
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 15
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 17
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 17
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 21
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 5# 28
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 12
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 15
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 14
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 18
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 20
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 20
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 23
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 17
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1113
   
Games Started1113
   
Innings Pitched67.184.0
   
Wins66
   
Losses13
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4064
   
Earned Runs2031
   
Home Runs Allowed913
   
Strikeouts8089
   
Walks1025
   
ERA2.703.32
   
WHIP0.751.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3030
   
Games Started2930
   
Innings Pitched160.7184.1
   
Wins1212
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136167
   
Earned Runs6881
   
Home Runs Allowed2327
   
Strikeouts177198
   
Walks4657
   
ERA3.833.95
   
WHIP1.131.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
News 
 Kenta Maeda is dealing with minor groin tightness and is getting treatment, according to Rocco Baldelli.
Dan Harris
Sun, May 16th
Lance Lynn (hand) underwent X-rays on his right hand/forearm after Thursday's win over the Twins that came back negative. He allowed one run (zero earned) on two hits and three walks while striking out nine across five innings earning the win during Thursday’s 4-2 victory over the Tigers.
Brad Camara
Thu, May 13th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda allowed five runs (three earned) over four innings in a 7-6 loss to Oakland on Sunday. Maeda struck out two and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, May 16th
Lance Lynn (3-1) allowed one hit and four walks while striking out six across five scoreless innings in Saturday’s 9-1 win over the Royals. He picked up his third win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 9th
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda allowed three runs over five innings in a 9-3 loss to the White Sox on Tuesday. Maeda struck out three and walked two in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, May 12th
Lance Lynn (2-1) allowed three runs on four hits and two walks while striking out two across five innings during Saturday’s 7-3 win over Cleveland. He picked up his second win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, May 1st
 Sunday’s game between the Twins and Tigers has been postponed due to rain.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 9th
The White Sox activated RHP Lance Lynn (trapezius) from the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 1st
 Minnesota Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings in a 6-5 win over the Rangers on Monday. Maeda struck out eight and walked two in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, May 4th
RHP Lance Lynn, who's on the injured list with a right trapezius strain, is scheduled to start on Saturday vs. the Cleveland Indians.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Apr 27th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros