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Who Should I Draft?

Keston Hiura or Michael Conforto (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Keston Hiura
1B,2B,DH - MIL
Keston Hiura
Expert
Recommendation
72%
Recommended by
36 of 50 experts
28%
Recommended by
14 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 42# 48
Best Rank# 29# 35
Worst Rank# 60# 74
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 67# 69
Best Rank# 56# 65
Worst Rank# 79# 94
   
Projections 
   
Runs9079
Home Runs2929
RBI9084
Stolen Bases611
Batting Average.264.254
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 57
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 52
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 29# 42
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 47# 54
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 44
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 51# 62
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 38# 50
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 40# 52
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 39
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 42
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 40# 45
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 47# 59
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 54
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 48
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 47
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 44# 47
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 39# 57
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 68
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 41# 54
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 41# 62
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 44# 47
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 52# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 36# 41
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 47# 55
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 43# 55
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 55
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 45# 47
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 40# 59
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 43# 74
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 60
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 33# 55
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 42# 47
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 56# 69
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 41# 42
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 36# 70
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 40# 62
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 44# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 42# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 45# 38
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 43# 40
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 40
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 55# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 42
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 45# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 47# 46
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 47
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 51# 48
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 54# 48
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 55# 49
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Keston Hiura
1B,2B,DH - MIL
Keston Hiura
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats202217
   
Runs4030
   
Hits6546
   
Singles4429
   
Doubles124
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs913
   
RBI3132
   
Stolen Bases33
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks2416
   
Strikeouts5785
   
Batting Average.322.212
   
On Base Pct.412.297
   
Slugging Pct.515.410
   
On-base Plus Slugging.927.707
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Keston Hiura
1B,2B,DH - MIL
Keston Hiura
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats541543
   
Runs9079
   
Hits141137
   
Singles8278
   
Doubles2827
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs2929
   
RBI9084
   
Stolen Bases611
   
Caught Stealing35
   
Walks7743
   
Strikeouts153180
   
Batting Average.264.254
   
On Base Pct.357.309
   
Slugging Pct.481.471
   
On-base Plus Slugging.839.780
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Michael Conforto
CF,RF - NYM
Michael Conforto
Keston Hiura
1B,2B,DH - MIL
Keston Hiura
News 
 Michael Conforto (hand) is playing right field and hitting sixth in Wednesday's game against the Phillies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 14th
Keston Hiura went 1-for-3 with an RBI and a steal in Monday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Apr 13th
 X-rays on Michael Conforto's wrist came back negative.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Apr 13th
Keston Hiura went 2-for-5 with a home run and three RBI in Saturday's win over the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Apr 10th
 Michael Conforto did his best Craig Biggio impersonation on Thursday, getting hit by two pitches, including one in the bottom of the ninth inning with the bases loaded during a tie game. Conforto finished 0-2 with two walks and one strikeout.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Apr 9th
Keston Hiura went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts in Monday's loss to the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Apr 6th
 Michael Conforto went 2-5 with two singles, one RBI, and one strikeout on Monday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Apr 6th
Keston Hiura will be the team’s starting first baseman for 2021, per Brewers president David Stearns.
Brad Camara
Fri, Feb 5th
 Mets president Sandy Alderson says he expects the club to soon begin extension talks with Michael Conforto and Francisco Lindor.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Mar 1st
 
Notes 
 Conforto built on his excellent 2019 season by trading off a bit of power for some batting average. Fed by a significant increase in line drive rate that led to a .412 BABIP, Conforto batted a career best .322 last year. His xBA was just .284, so don't think that he suddenly morphed into a high average bat, but he did hit above .300 against every type of pitch last year, so it was certainly more than luck. Expect some regression to closer to his .259 mark, but he should hit around 30 homers with plenty of runs and RBI and even toss in a few steals. That makes him a worthwhile OF2 in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hiura looked to be on the verge of superstardom heading into 2020, if he could just cut back on his bloated 30.7% strikeout rate. Instead, he struck out more than ever (34.6% of the time), en route to a league-leading 85 strikeouts. That led to a massive drop in production, notably in batting average, which fell from .303 in 2019 to .212 last year. Hiura was never a high-strikeout player in the minors. He never struck out more than 26.3% in any level and he had an overall strikeout rate of just 21%. If he can manage to cut down on the whiffs, he should be a top option at second base given his power and speed, but for now, drop him down your draft board a bit from where he was heading into 2020. He's still a borderline top-five option, especially since he will add first base eligibility after the Brewers signed Kolten Wong, but exercise more caution.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Keston Hiura is clearly one of the most volatile players in 2021 drafts. He had a tremendous rookie season, only to come crashing back down to earth in 2020. The main culprit of this downturn was his very high strikeout rate, which has since carried over into spring training. Hiura has always been considered a bat first prospect and has a clear path to 30+ HRs and 15+ SBs, however, he is going to need to cut down on his strikeouts and put the ball in play more often. If he is able to get back into 2019 form, or even close to it, he will be a steal at ADP, if he doesn't, well, he will be a frustrating player to trust. Risk/Reward here with Hiura, and I side with the risk.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  The case for Hiura as a fantasy player this year is entirely based on his prospect pedigree. After functioning as one of the worst defenders in baseball over the past two seasons, Hiura is moving from second base to first base in order to make room for Kolten Wong. Hopefully the new home in the field helps him get back on track at the plate. Hiura's strikeout rate and exit velocity both worsened in his sophomore campaign. Still, we all know it was a weird year and Hiura's track record is one to believe in. I'm fading at his current re-draft ADP, but it's well within the realm of possibilities that he has a strong bounce back season. He's another risk-reward player entering '21.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros