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Who Should I Draft?

Ketel Marte or Adalberto Mondesi (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
29 of 52 experts
44%
Recommended by
23 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 28# 29
Best Rank# 19# 7
Worst Rank# 79# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 39# 44
Best Rank# 32# 36
Worst Rank# 44# 96
   
Projections 
   
Runs3328
Home Runs96
RBI3025
Stolen Bases317
Batting Average.296.254
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 41
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 35
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 32
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 33# 34
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 31
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 22# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 39
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 28# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 24# 27
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 51
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 36# 118
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 22# 30
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 30# 32
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 20# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 36
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 39
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 21
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 40
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 36
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 34# 50
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 34# 48
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 26
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 54# 75
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 33# 79
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 28# 31
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 23# 45
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 27# 29
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 25# 18
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 26# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 26# 23
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 23
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 28# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 29# 28
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 29# 23
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 30# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 29
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 32# 14
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 32# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 25
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 33# 25
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 33# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 34# 16
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 36# 24
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 38# 31
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 38# 12
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 39# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 24
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 44# 7
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 75# 73
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 79# 25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats569416
   
Runs9758
   
Hits187110
   
Singles11071
   
Doubles3620
   
Triples910
   
Home Runs329
   
RBI9262
   
Stolen Bases1043
   
Caught Stealing27
   
Walks5319
   
Strikeouts86132
   
Batting Average.329.264
   
On Base Pct.389.293
   
Slugging Pct.592.426
   
On-base Plus Slugging.981.718
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats210198
   
Runs3328
   
Hits6250
   
Singles3831
   
Doubles1310
   
Triples33
   
Home Runs96
   
RBI3025
   
Stolen Bases317
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks2010
   
Strikeouts3360
   
Batting Average.296.254
   
On Base Pct.358.291
   
Slugging Pct.505.434
   
On-base Plus Slugging.863.725
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Ketel Marte
2B,SS,OF - ARI
Ketel Marte
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
News 
 Ketel Marte went 2-for-3 with a double, two-run single, and a sacrifice fly in Sunday's win over Colorado.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 28th
Kansas City Royals shortstop Adalberto Mondesi went 3-for-4 with a double, a homer, and two RBI in a 3-1 win over the Tigers in the regular-season finale on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Sep 28th
 The Diamondbacks activated Ketel Marte (wrist) off the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 22nd
Kansas City Royals shortstop Adalberto Mondesi went 2-for-3 with a homer, a walk, two runs, and two RBI in a 4-3 loss to Detroit on Saturday.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 27th
 Ketel Marte (wrist) is scheduled to take batting practice on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 19th
Kansas City Royals shortstop Adalberto Mondesi went 3-for-3 with a double, a triple, a run, an RBI, and two steals in a 3-2 win over the Tigers on Friday.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 26th
 Ketel Marte went 4-for-5 with a double, a home run, and two RBI in Friday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 5th
Kansas City shortstop Adalberto Mondesi went 4-for-4 with two runs, two RBI, and two steals in an 8-7 win over the Tigers.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Sep 25th
 Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo says Ketel Marte will see time in center field moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 2nd
Kansas City Royals shortstop Adalberto Mondesi went 1-for-4 with a steal in a 4-1 win over the Cardinals on Monday.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 22nd
Notes 
 With second base being as weak as it is, it's kind of shocking that Ketel Marte is going this low in drafts. Sure, the breakout was out of nowhere - despite being a popular breakout pick for three years in a row - but he actually was stronger down the stretch than he was in the first half, and there are very few concerns with his underlying numbers. A change to the baseball could see his home runs come down, but not enough so that he won't return draft-day value.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Bold prediction time: Mondesi won't be a thing in 2021. Mondesi showed last year that he wasn't worth grabbing in the first three to four rounds of your draft, yet here we are again, with Mondesi going off the board 40th overall per FantasyPros' ADP. He's not a complete zero at power, but you're drafting him for speed only, essentially. If you look at his xwOBA (6th percentile), xSLG (16th percentile), and xBA (14th percentile) and pair that with his 29.8 K% and 4.3 BB% (both bottom 6 percent of baseball), what's to like? Oh, that's not to mention that he's recovering from offseason shoulder surgery. Unless you're in a big tournament-style league where you need to look for the splash play, avoid Mondesi this year and find your steals elsewhere where you don't have to make quite the investment.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Marte suddenly went from being a career .263 hitter with 22 home runs in 1,548 plate appearances to batting .329 with 32 home runs in 628 plate appearances. And while he made many overall gains, such as a massive increase in launch angle, his expected batting average was just .299 and that .030 difference was 10th-highest in MLB. He also upped his pull percentage by a significant amount, and pulled all but one of his home runs, which should be something that pitchers can exploit in 2020. Buy some of the gains, but consider Marte closer to a .290-25 type of hitter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Currently rehabbing major shoulder surgery. Easy fade at current ADP
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 In the Era of the Juiced ball (and I am sure some juiced bodies too) I am not buying Marte's 2019 power surge and he doesn't run as much as you might think he does. I am not paying for 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases when regression suggests 15-20 HRs and five SBs. Marte won't fall this far and I am fine with that. I will be owning ZERO shares of the 2019 shocker of the year in Fantasy baseball.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 
 Marte earned every bit of his 32 HRs last year. His average is almost certain to come down a bit, but his breakout was real, and similar numbers are certainly not out of reach. He is being discounted out of fear for massive regression. I am happy to take the discount.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 
 Advanced stats back up last year's breakout
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros