Who Should I Draft?

Kris Bryant or Matt Carpenter (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
54 of 56 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 22# 50
Best Rank# 6# 12
Worst Rank# 37# 100
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 33# 65
Best Rank# 26# 58
Worst Rank# 34# 72
   
Projections 
   
Runs9797
Home Runs2828
RBI8776
Stolen Bases63
Batting Average.281.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 18# 51
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 35
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 36
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 26
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 14# 47
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 9# 39
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 32# 65
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 23# 78
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 83
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 26# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 23# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 27# 36
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 22# 65
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 31# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 70
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 29# 71
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 7# 100
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 59
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 23# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 40
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 76
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 37
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 78
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 47
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 26# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 23# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 47
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 21# 58
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 66
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 21# 47
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 27# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 37
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 23# 29
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 50
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 29# 49
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 51
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 28# 72
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 35# 62
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 81
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 26# 57
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 20# 64
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 13# 61
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 20# 55
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 21# 64
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 22# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 33# 70
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 21# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 12
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 37# 26
   
  Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats389564
   
Runs59111
   
Hits106145
   
Singles6267
   
Doubles2842
   
Triples30
   
Home Runs1336
   
RBI5281
   
Stolen Bases24
   
Caught Stealing41
   
Walks48102
   
Strikeouts107158
   
Batting Average.273.257
   
On Base Pct.374.374
   
Slugging Pct.460.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.834.897
   
  Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats552529
   
Runs9797
   
Hits155135
   
Singles8871
   
Doubles3535
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs2828
   
RBI8776
   
Stolen Bases63
   
Caught Stealing42
   
Walks7795
   
Strikeouts140140
   
Batting Average.281.256
   
On Base Pct.369.369
   
Slugging Pct.510.486
   
On-base Plus Slugging.879.855
   
  Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
News 
 Kris Bryant went 3-for-4 with a solo home run in the Cubs' 5-3 loss to the Dodgers on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 15th
Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
 Kris Bryant went 1-for-2 with a solo home run, two walks, and two runs scored in the Cubs' 7-3 loss to the Dodgers on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Jun 14th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
 Rogers reports that Bryant will miss Monday's game against the Colorado Rockies with a right ankle injury.
James Bisson
Mon, Jun 10th
Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
 Kris Bryant went 2-for-4 with a pair of singles in the Cubs' 5-1 win over the Cardinals on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 10th
Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
 Kris Bryant went 1-for-4 with a double and a run scored in the Cubs' 6-3 win over the Rockies on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 4th
Matt Carpenter went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit, solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 30th
Notes 
 Bryant missed 60 games last year and had his least efficient season of his career by quite a bit. There is some risk in drafting Bryant in the 3rd round, but he also comes with 40 homer upside, a batting average near .300 and both 100+ runs and RBIs
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Bryant appeared to be on the verge of establishing himself as a perennial first round fantasy pick following his MVP 2016 season. Then his home run total dropped from 39 to 29 in 2017, but it seemed like an outlier as his production remained otherwise excellent. But the bottom really fell out last season, as Bryant struggled through a shoulder injury while producing a paltry 13 homers over 102 games. Bryant's strikeout rate grew and his hard contact rate declined, but he simply wasn't healthy -- he was actually off to a strong start before suffering the injury in mid-May. Bryant has pronounced himself fully healthy, and the fact the injury was a bone bruise rather than ligament damage is reason to believe he can make a full recovery. It wouldn't be the least bit surprising to see him rocket back into the first round of fantasy drafts by this time next year.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Everyone kept waiting for Bryant to turn the corner last season. They're still waiting. He hit a pedestrian .272/.374/.460 and continued a concerning power slide with 13 homers. The former MVP, who is only 27, was dealing with a shoulder injury. He could easily bounce back and deliver near first-round value, but drafters won't receive much of a discount at his third-round going rate. It's a fair price given his batting average and power upside, but the lack of speed and health certainty makes him far from a lock.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros