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Who Should I Draft?

Kyle Hendricks or Tyler Glasnow (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Expert
Recommendation
90%
Recommended by
18 of 20 experts
10%
Recommended by
2 of 20 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 27
Best Rank# 9# 20
Worst Rank# 52# 44
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 50# 79
Best Rank# 43# 73
Worst Rank# 59# 85
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts201156
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.533.92
WHIP1.181.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 33
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 18# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 30
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 18# 29
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 32
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 18# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 27
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 21
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 22# 34
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 22
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 13# 33
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 13# 44
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 20# 31
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 20
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched57.081.0
   
Wins56
   
Losses15
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4373
   
Earned Runs2626
   
Home Runs Allowed1110
   
Strikeouts9164
   
Walks228
   
ERA4.082.88
   
WHIP1.131.00
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2830
   
Games Started2830
   
Innings Pitched152.1185.2
   
Wins1112
   
Losses710
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed121183
   
Earned Runs6081
   
Home Runs Allowed2125
   
Strikeouts201156
   
Walks5837
   
ERA3.533.92
   
WHIP1.181.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
News 
 The Rays and RHP Tyler Glasnow avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $4 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
 Glasnow is really a fascinating case study. He followed up an incredible 60-inning stretch in 2019 (1.78 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 33% strikeout rate) with a bit of a step back last year (4.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP). But his xFIP in 2020 (2.75) was actually lower than in 2019 (2.94), and his strikeout rate jumped to a whopping 38.2%. The real issue for Glasnow is that he's a two-pitch pitcher, and although both his fastball and curveball are outstanding, they need to be superb at all times for him to have a dominant season. And last year, they were both just a bit worse than the season prior, particularly his fastball. With enormous strikeout upside and a spot in the rotation of one of the best and most pitching-savvy teams in the Rays, Glasnow makes a fine SP2 for a fantasy team. But his injury history, and his lack of a third pitch, make him a bit riskier than others going in his range.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hendricks is the Rodney Dangerfield of fantasy pitchers in that he never gets the respect he deserves. He's had an ERA above 3.46 once in his career and he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.19. Yes, his strikeout rate is never going to help fantasy managers, but Dave Ross let him go deeper into games last year (Hendricks' 81 innings pitched were among the most in MLB), so he should make up for his lack of strikeout rate with some additional innings. The Cubs probably won't be a great team but the NL Central has mostly weak offenses, so Hendricks should find his way to enough wins to make a difference. Ignore the fact that he outperforms his expected metrics every year. Hendricks is a reliable, high-end SP3 for a fantasy team. Just be sure to take care of strikeouts elsewhere.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Glasnow is a classic risk-reward fantasy selection where he's being drafted. A prominent strikeout artist, he has completed six full innings in just 9-of-23 regular season starts since joining the Rays. A two-pitch pitcher, Glasnow is literally un-hittable when he's "on." However, when you have just two pitches, batters can more easily guess what's coming. This is what led to the 27-year-old giving up 11 homers in 2020. The strikeouts are nice but it feels like there's too much potential downside when considering his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Hendricks is the type of fantasy player who can fit perfectly with certain roster construction. As a starting pitcher, he invites contact while suppressing damage on batted balls. This means that his strikeout rate leaves a lot to be desired. However, the ERA and WHIP are always fantastic, which makes Hendricks a perennially undervalued player. By drafting Hendricks in the middle rounds, fantasy managers can load up on high K/9 players later on.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros