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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Nick Castellanos (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
35 of 55 experts
36%
Recommended by
20 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 57# 62
Best Rank# 34# 32
Worst Rank# 130# 95
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 74
Best Rank# 43# 58
Worst Rank# 65# 86
   
Projections 
   
Runs92
Home Runs2730
RBI86
Stolen Bases2
Batting Avg.269
Strikeouts198158
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.95
WHIP1.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 69# 80
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 45# 91
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 81# 90
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 54# 86
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 59# 66
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 64# 66
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 44# 59
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 79
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 51# 64
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 62# 72
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 39# 85
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 58# 73
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 59
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 53# 74
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 57# 83
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 57# 59
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 47# 71
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 55# 63
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 47# 62
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 95
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 34# 84
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 65# 71
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 48# 60
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 69# 75
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 54# 85
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 52# 77
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 54# 71
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 67
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 55# 70
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 58# 69
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 81# 90
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 47# 57
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 50# 94
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 54# 65
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 49# 71
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 49# 43
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 52# 42
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 54# 32
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 60# 59
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 62# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 63# 61
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 65# 58
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 68# 56
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 68# 55
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 72# 38
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 72# 70
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 74# 56
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 76# 61
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 84# 69
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 88# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 88# 54
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 90# 71
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 113# 63
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 130# 42
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs37
   
Home Runs1314
   
RBI34
   
Stolen Bases0
   
Batting Avg.225
   
Strikeouts8969
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.32
   
WHIP1.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs92
   
Home Runs2730
   
RBI86
   
Stolen Bases2
   
Batting Avg.269
   
Strikeouts198158
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.95
   
WHIP1.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Nick Castellanos
LF,RF - CIN
Nick Castellanos
News 
 Lance Lynn (hand) underwent X-rays on his right hand/forearm after Thursday's win over the Twins that came back negative. He allowed one run (zero earned) on two hits and three walks while striking out nine across five innings earning the win during Thursday’s 4-2 victory over the Tigers.
Brad Camara
Thu, May 13th
Nick Castellanos went 3-for-5 with a home run, a double, three RBI, two runs, and a walk in Saturday's win over the Rockies.
Connor Rooney
Sun, May 16th
 Lance Lynn (3-1) allowed one hit and four walks while striking out six across five scoreless innings in Saturday’s 9-1 win over the Royals. He picked up his third win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 9th
Nick Castellanos went 1-for-4 with a walk, a run scored, and a two-RBI double in Monday's win over the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Tue, May 11th
 Lance Lynn (2-1) allowed three runs on four hits and two walks while striking out two across five innings during Saturday’s 7-3 win over Cleveland. He picked up his second win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, May 1st
Reds outfielder Nick Castellanos was scratched from Wednesday's game due to back tightness. He left Tuesday's game for that reason.
Corbin Young
Wed, May 5th
 The White Sox activated RHP Lance Lynn (trapezius) from the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 1st
Nick Castellanos went 5-for-6 with two home runs, four RBI, and four runs scored in Sunday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Sun, May 2nd
 RHP Lance Lynn, who's on the injured list with a right trapezius strain, is scheduled to start on Saturday vs. the Cleveland Indians.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Apr 27th
Nick Castellanos went 1-for-5 with an RBI single in Saturday's loss to the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Sat, May 1st
Notes 
 Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Castellanos hit for plenty of power last season with the Reds, but it was far from the full breakout season many expected. His strikeout rate jumped to 28.5%, his batting average cratered to a career-low .225, and his wOBA was his worst mark since 2015. But Castellanos was also the victim of some pretty terrible luck, given that he had an expected batting average of .273 and a strong 46.7% hard-hit rate. With a full year in Great American Ballpark, Castellanos should fully live up to the hype he had coming into the 2020 season if he can just have even normal luck. Draft him with confidence as a likely strong four-category contributor.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Castellanos posted a career-high ISO in 2020, but it hardly mattered due to a career-worst .257 BABIP. His previous career-low was .294 back in 2013. That number was above .300 in every other season of his career. We saw a glimpse of what he looked like when everything was clicking, and Castellanos appeared to be one of the best hitters in baseball early on in 2020. The expected stats still look great, which makes him someone to invest in come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros