Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Lance McCullers Jr. or Dinelson Lamet (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
27 of 51 experts
47%
Recommended by
24 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 40# 37
Best Rank# 19# 22
Worst Rank# 262# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 106# 124
Best Rank# 71# 109
Worst Rank# 113# 132
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts169152
Wins910
Saves00
ERA3.423.72
WHIP1.111.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 46
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 20# 44
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 22# 32
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 27# 36
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 31# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 31# 51
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 44# 49
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 33# 41
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 25# 28
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 44
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 39
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 23# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 43# 51
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 29# 48
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 22# 44
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 49
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 37# 38
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 36
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 43
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 24# 32
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 34# 40
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 56# 67
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 39# 47
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 38# 49
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 39# 40
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 55# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 23
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 55# 25
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 32# 28
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 37# 30
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 38# 31
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 37# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 33# 32
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 64# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 34
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 54# 35
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 37# 36
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 66# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 52# 37
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 39# 37
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 47# 39
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 50# 40
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 53# 40
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 62# 41
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 54# 41
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 47# 44
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 262# 44
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 62# 45
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 52
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started1211
   
Innings Pitched69.055.1
   
Wins33
   
Losses13
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3944
   
Earned Runs1624
   
Home Runs Allowed55
   
Strikeouts9356
   
Walks2020
   
ERA2.093.93
   
WHIP0.861.16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2426
   
Games Started2426
   
Innings Pitched130.4144.2
   
Wins910
   
Losses67
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed101126
   
Earned Runs4960
   
Home Runs Allowed1716
   
Strikeouts169152
   
Walks4448
   
ERA3.423.72
   
WHIP1.111.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Dinelson Lamet
RP,SP - SD
Dinelson Lamet
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
News 
 Dinelson Lamet has been activated from the 10-day IL. He hasn't pitched since June 26th due to a couple of injuries.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Sep 1st
Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed three runs over six innings of work against the Angels on Thursday. His final line included two hits, four walks, five strikeouts, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Los Angeles by a score of 3-2.
Andersen Pickard
Fri, Sep 24th
 Padres manager Jayce Tingler noted that Dinelson Lamet had a hip infection "cleaned out." Lamet underwent a procedure that will delay his return although it's not another arm injury.
Corbin Young
Fri, Aug 13th
Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed three runs (two earned) over six innings of work against the Diamondbacks on Saturday. His final line included seven hits, two walks, eight strikeouts, and the no-decision. Houston ultimately fell to Arizona by a score of 6-4 in 10 innings.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Sep 19th
 Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (forearm) threw live batting practice on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 8th
Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed one run (a solo homer) over six innings of work against the Angels on Sunday. His final line included three hits, two walks, seven strikeouts, and the win. Houston ultimately defeated Los Angeles by a score of 3-1.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Sep 12th
 San Diego pitcher Dinelson Lamet (forearm) is scheduled to throw live batting practice in the next couple of days.
Brad Camara
Mon, Jul 19th
Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed two runs over six innings of work against the Mariners on Sunday evening. His final line included four hits, four walks, and seven strikeouts. Houston ultimately defeated Seattle by a score of 11-2.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 7th
 Padres RHP Dinelson Lamet (forearm) won't pitch before the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jul 9th
Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. threw five scoreless innings en route to earning the no-decision against the Mariners on Tuesday. His final line included four hits, three walks, and three strikeouts. Houston ultimately fell to Seattle by a score of 4-0.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Lamet had a dominant curveball in 2019 which he threw 31.7% of the time. Batters hit just .105 against it that year with a .193 wOBA. But Lamet ditched it entirely in 2020, and instead replaced it by greatly upping his slider usage, from 12.2% in 2019 to 53.4% in 2020. And somehow, his slider was even better than his curveball ever was. Batters hit 0.80 against it with a .120 slugging percentage and a .141 wOBA. It was, simply put, the best pitch in baseball last year. Unfortunately, Lamet's arm couldn't hold up to the stress, and he missed the end of the regular season and the playoffs because of an elbow injury. He underwent PRP therapy on his elbow in October and is progressing well, but the Padres' focus on adding starting pitching this offseason suggests that they are not expecting to have Lamet for the full season. Monitor his health this spring, but understand that even if he begins the year healthy, there are plenty of injury concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
McCullers made a successful return from Tommy John surgery after missing the 2019 season and looked almost exactly like the 2018 version of himself. His ERA (3.93) and WHIP (1.16) were within seven-tenths of a point of his 2018 numbers, and his walk and strikeout rates fell just slightly. McCullers relied a bit more on his sinker and less on his curveball than in past years, but the two work well together and he continued to throw them in combination about 80% of the time. In short, what you thought of McCullers heading into 2018 is pretty much what you should think of him now. Unfortunately, that includes concerns about his innings, because after a missed year and 55 innings last year, the chances of him topping 150 innings this season are remote. Buy him at his production, but understand that there's likely a hard cap on his innings total.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros