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Who Should I Draft?

Lucas Giolito or Aroldis Chapman (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
Expert
Recommendation
93%
Recommended by
41 of 44 experts
7%
Recommended by
3 of 44 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 26
Best Rank# 11# 15
Worst Rank# 41# 58
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 75
Best Rank# 44# 64
Worst Rank# 65# 83
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7931
Wins51
Saves012
ERA3.922.85
WHIP1.201.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 29
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 26
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 17# 31
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 25
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 19# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 57
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 27# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 28
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 14# 45
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 23
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 19# 26
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 19# 24
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 15# 24
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 17# 25
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 13# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 15# 32
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 14# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 41
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 24# 27
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 24
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 31
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 34
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 58
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 21# 52
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 22
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 25
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 15# 24
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 21# 24
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 32
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 26
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 18# 23
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 16# 29
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 14# 47
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 26# 32
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 18# 23
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 23# 33
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 18# 24
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 12# 23
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 22
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 30# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 41# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2960
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched177.357.0
   
Wins143
   
Losses92
   
Saves037
   
Blown Saves05
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed13138
   
Earned Runs6714
   
Home Runs Allowed243
   
Strikeouts22885
   
Walks5725
   
ERA3.412.21
   
WHIP1.061.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1121
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched67.121.0
   
Wins51
   
Losses31
   
Saves012
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed5614
   
Earned Runs297
   
Home Runs Allowed102
   
Strikeouts7931
   
Walks249
   
ERA3.922.85
   
WHIP1.201.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Aroldis Chapman
RP - NYY
Aroldis Chapman
News 
 Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito (chest) is expected to make his Cactus League debut later this week, according to manager Rick Renteria.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Mar 2nd
Yankees closer Aroldis Chapman has tested positive for COVID-19.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 11th
 Lucas Giolito (chest) threw a bullpen on Saturday and said afterwards that he feels 100 percent.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Feb 22nd
Aroldis Chapman reported to Yankee Stadium for summer camp on Sunday, Marly Rivera of ESPN reports.
John Aubin
Mon, Jul 6th
 Lucas Giolito (chest muscle) made throws from 150 feet on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Feb 19th
Aroldis Chapman's spring debut has been pushed to Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Mar 4th
 Lucas Giolito is dealing with a strained muscle in his rib-cage area, and is expected to miss the first week of Cactus League play.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Feb 12th
Aroldis Chapman will make his spring debut Wednesday against the Phillies, Brendan Kuty of The Newark Star-Ledger reports.
John Aubin
Mon, Mar 2nd
Notes 
 There's a reason that you hear fantasy analysts say that you should target post-hype players: baseball is hard, man, and it takes time for players to fully figure it out. With his prospect pedigree, it took longer than most thought for Lucas Giolito to figure things out. But boy did he ever in 2019, with his 25-start dominating stretch to end the season. He looked like a totally different pitcher - but one who mowed down the league. Hitters are more often to click sooner than pitchers are in the big leagues, and if you look at his peripherals, there's not much to question about Giolito's breakout performance. As long as he keeps his increased velocity on his fastball, he'll continue to be a solid SP2 for fantasy managers.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
It was announced that Chapman tested positive for COVID-19 on Saturday, July 11th. With less than two weeks left until the regular season, it seems unlikely that he'll begin the year on the active roster. With that said, it remains unclear exactly how long he'll miss and given Chapman's potential, he shouldn't slip beyond the top 10 closers in drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Giolito earned every bit of his breakout season, putting up an ERA that we nearly identical to his FIP and xFIP and a major gain in control. Most impressive for Giolito was his ability to limit contact on pitches in the strike zone - just 77.3%, second best in MLB behind Gerrit Cole. His raw stuff is elite, and another fantastic season should follow in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Paying the premium for a closer isn't advised, because replicating that success from year to year - especially for breakout pitchers at the position - is tough to do. But when you have a closer who has been a top-tier option year after year, he's one of the few who are worth the investment. Chapman isn't the lights-out closer that he was in the past, but he's as safe of a bet that there is to finish top 3 at the position. That, alone, makes him worth the price.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 2019 breakout can be attributed to an uptick in velocity and an improved changeup. Can he do it again?
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Not as dominant as he once was but closer role remains safe
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros