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Who Should I Draft?

Lucas Giolito or Trevor Bauer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
29 of 50 experts
42%
Recommended by
21 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 6
Best Rank# 2# 4
Worst Rank# 20# 23
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 19
Best Rank# 13# 17
Worst Rank# 14# 24
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts232220
Wins1513
Saves00
ERA3.453.71
WHIP1.111.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 23
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 9
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 4# 14
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 3# 6
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 4# 10
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 4# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 9
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 7# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 7
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 4# 6
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 4# 5
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 6
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 4# 6
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 13
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 4# 5
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 5# 6
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 2# 13
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 5# 6
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 4# 7
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 7# 4
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 5# 4
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 4
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 7# 4
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 6# 4
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 5
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 9# 5
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 6# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 5
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 5
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 6# 5
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 5
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 6# 5
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 5
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 20# 6
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 6
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 10# 6
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 6
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 11# 6
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 8
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched73.172.0
   
Wins54
   
Losses43
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4147
   
Earned Runs1428
   
Home Runs Allowed98
   
Strikeouts10097
   
Walks1728
   
ERA1.733.48
   
WHIP0.791.04
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3130
   
Games Started3130
   
Innings Pitched193.5180.2
   
Wins1513
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156143
   
Earned Runs7474
   
Home Runs Allowed2626
   
Strikeouts232220
   
Walks5961
   
ERA3.453.71
   
WHIP1.111.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
News 
 RHP Trevor Bauer picked up his second win of the year on Tuesday when he allowed just one hit and a pair of walks with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers 7-0 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Apr 14th
Lucas Giolito allowed three runs and two walks while striking out eight across seven innings during Tuesday’s 2-0 extra-inning loss to the Cleveland. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 14th
 RHP Trevor Bauer was handed a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on three hits with 10 strikeouts and one walk over 6 2/3 innings as the Dodgers lost to the A's 4-3 in extra-innings.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Apr 8th
Lucas Giolito (1-0) allowed three runs on four hits and one walk while striking out 10 across five 1/3 innings during Tuesday’s 10-4 win over the Mariners. He picked up his first win of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 7th
 Trevor Bauer picked up the win on Friday after surrendering four runs on three hits with 10 strikeouts and two walks over 6 1/3 innings in the Dodgers 11-6 victory over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Apr 3rd
Lucas Giolito allowed two runs on two hits and two walks while striking out eight over five 1/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Angels.
Brad Camara
Fri, Apr 2nd
 Trevor Bauer was solid over his two innings of work on Monday as he surrendered just one hit while striking out two in his Cactus League debut with the Dodgers.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Mar 1st
Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Lucas Giolito will start Opening Day vs. the Los Angeles of Anaheim on April 1.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Mar 15th
 Dodgers ace Trevor Bauer will make his Cactus League debut Monday against the Rockies.
Brad Camara
Sat, Feb 27th
Lucas Giolito avoids arbitration with the Chicago White Sox, agreeing to a deal worth $4.15 million for the 2021 season.
Ryan Evans - Baseballogy
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros