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Who Should I Draft?

Luis Castillo or Brandon Woodruff (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
Expert
Recommendation
76%
Recommended by
39 of 51 experts
24%
Recommended by
12 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 11# 13
Best Rank# 6# 4
Worst Rank# 17# 27
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 27# 37
Best Rank# 24# 32
Worst Rank# 38# 50
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts216191
Wins1311
Saves00
ERA3.523.45
WHIP1.181.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 13
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 13
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 11# 12
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 12# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 27
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 7# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 12# 19
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 11# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 13
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 11# 13
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 8# 9
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 11# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 13
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 13
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 12# 13
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 8# 12
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 11# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 11# 12
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 9
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 13
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 6# 11
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 11# 17
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 13
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 8# 9
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 15
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 7# 14
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 9# 13
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 14# 16
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 13# 14
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 8# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 12# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 10# 13
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 6# 13
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 8# 13
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 13# 14
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 8# 4
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 10# 8
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 11# 9
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 13# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 13# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 14# 12
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 14# 11
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 10
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 14# 11
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 15# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 10
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 17# 8
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1213
   
Games Started1213
   
Innings Pitched70.174.2
   
Wins43
   
Losses65
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6255
   
Earned Runs2625
   
Home Runs Allowed59
   
Strikeouts8991
   
Walks2418
   
ERA3.343.05
   
WHIP1.230.99
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3130
   
Games Started3129
   
Innings Pitched183.9165.5
   
Wins1311
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed154141
   
Earned Runs7263
   
Home Runs Allowed2120
   
Strikeouts216191
   
Walks6346
   
ERA3.523.45
   
WHIP1.181.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
News 
 Luis Castillo (8-16) took the loss Thursday against the Nationals, allowing two runs on three hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 23rd
Brandon Woodruff (9-10) took the loss Tuesday against the Cardinals, allowing one run on two hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Luis Castillo (8-15) earned the win Friday against the Dodgers, tossing six shutout innings while allowing five hits and two walks. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 17th
Brandon Woodruff (9-9) took the loss Wednesday against the Tigers, allowing three runs on four hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 15th
 Luis Castillo did not factor into the decision in Saturday's loss to the Cardinals, allowing four runs on eight hits across seven innings. He walked one and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
The Brewers have scratched pitcher Brandon Woodruff from his start on Saturday due to a stomach bug. Eric Lauer will take the mound instead. Meanwhile, Woodruff's start has been moved back to Wednesday.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
 Luis Castillo (7-15) was saddled with his league-leading 15th loss Sunday against the Tigers, allowing three runs (one earned) on four hits in six innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Brandon Woodruff (9-8) took the loss Monday against the Phillies, allowing four runs on nine hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 6th
 Luis Castillo (7-14) took the loss Monday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on five hits across six innings. He walked two and struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 30th
Brandon Woodruff (9-7) earned the victory Tuesday against the Giants, allowing one run on five hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Castillo turned in another excellent season last year, cutting his walk rate and striking out batters at a higher rate than he ever had in his career. His WHIP increased to a career-worst 1.23, but that was largely due to bad luck, as batters hit .232 against him despite an expected batting average of just .212. Nevertheless, Castillo kept runs off the board, largely because he was able to avoid home runs (just five in 70 innings) and limit free passes. Castillo is capable of fronting a fantasy pitching staff, though he's more of a low-end ace, and there are plenty of trade rumors following him around. But, given his reliable production and increased strikeout rate the past two seasons, he can be drafted with confidence.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There were some skeptics after Woodruff succeeded in 2019 based largely on one pitch - his devastating fastball - but he put those concerns to rest in 2020. His ERA (3.05) and WHIP (0.99) were incredibly strong, particularly when you consider that he struck out more than 11 batters per nine innings. Woodruff's fastball hits rests at 96 MPH and is one of the better pitches in baseball, but his slider and changeup both made strides last year. The Brewers are reportedly planning to add about 100 innings to their starter's workloads last season, so pencil Woodruff in for roughly 175 extremely strong frames. You can survive with him as your fantasy ace, though he's best as an incredibly strong number 2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Woodruff's 2020 season ranked in the 90th percentile in both xERA and xwOBA. He rates out well according to both FIP and Baseball Savant. It's fair to call him a good-to-great starting pitcher. The question becomes what kind of workload can we expect from Milwaukee's No. 1? Woodruff logged 73 2/3 innings last summer after posting a career-high 121 2/3 frames in 2019. The Brewers plan to add on 100 innings to each of their SP's workloads from last year. If you believe Woodruff will hold up then he's a wildly exciting SP2 in fantasy.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros