Who Should I Draft?

Luis Severino or David Price (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
David Price
SP - BOS
David Price
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
36 of 56 experts
36%
Recommended by
20 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 31
Best Rank# 7# 19
Worst Rank# 65# 66
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 84
Best Rank# 55# 79
Worst Rank# 121# 99
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts178176
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.323.78
WHIP1.131.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 34
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 16# 27
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 33# 39
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 28
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 30
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 32
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 34
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 57
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 13# 19
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 24# 33
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 31# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 32
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 25# 66
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 30
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 34
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 33
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 44
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 26
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 30
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 8# 28
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 23
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 12# 36
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 19# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 35
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 23# 47
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 36
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 34
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 26# 31
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 7# 33
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 51
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 32
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 29
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 24# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 20
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 28# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 28# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 26
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 28
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 34# 28
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 32
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 29
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 32
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 31
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 35
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 26
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 43# 23
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 38
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 35
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 36
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 65# 32
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
David Price
SP - BOS
David Price
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3230
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched191.2176.2
   
Wins1916
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173151
   
Earned Runs7270
   
Home Runs Allowed1925
   
Strikeouts220177
   
Walks4650
   
ERA3.393.58
   
WHIP1.141.14
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
David Price
SP - BOS
David Price
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2729
   
Games Started2630
   
Innings Pitched155.9176.9
   
Wins1313
   
Losses68
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136164
   
Earned Runs5874
   
Home Runs Allowed1923
   
Strikeouts178176
   
Walks4050
   
ERA3.323.78
   
WHIP1.131.21
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
David Price
SP - BOS
David Price
News 
 Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
David Price lasted just 1 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Rangers on Thursday, giving up six earned runs on five hits, striking out two and walking one as the Red Sox eventually pulled out a 7-6 victory.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 14th
 Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
David Price went six innings giving up one run on five hits with a walk and 10 strikeouts on Saturday in a 5-1 victory over the Rays in game two of a doubleheader.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
 Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
David Price (3-2) earned the win Sunday over by holding the Yankees to two runs on six hits and a walk while striking out six through 6 1/3 innings of work.
John Aubin
Mon, Jun 3rd
 Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
David Price pitched six scoreless innings, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out six in a no-decision against the Indians on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, May 29th
 Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
David Price (illness) will start on Tuesday versus Cleveland.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 27th
Notes 
 A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Price isn't going to thrill anyone as a workhorse ace anymore, but he still posts plenty of Ks to go with useful ratios each and every season. With Boston's lineup behind him, we can expect plenty of wins as well, making him one of the most appealing third-tier starting pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
In 2018, Price completed his ninth straight season with a sub-4.00 ERA and WHIP of 1.20 or better. He's also averaged right around a strikeout per inning over the last five seasons, and his win potential in Boston is always good. While he's not the dominant fantasy ace it once looked like he would become, Price is a perfectly solid second or third fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Despite posting a 3.58 ERA and 177 strikeouts in 176 innings, Price showed some alarming signs of decline. His average fastball velocity dropped over a full tick, leading to his worst swinging-strike rate (9.6%) since 2013. His expected run-prevention metrics (4.02 FIP, 3.82 SIERA) also say he's no longer an ace. Yet he also recorded a 2.25 ERA after the All-Star break before vanquishing his postseason demons. The public seems well aware of the warning signs, so he won't make the worst SP2/3 if snagged beyond the top-20 starters.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros