Who Should I Draft?
Manny Machado or Xander Bogaerts (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD  | Xander Bogaerts SS - BOS  | |
Expert |
75% Recommended by 15 of 20 experts |
25% Recommended by 5 of 20 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 14 | # 15 |
| Best Rank | # 11 | # 14 |
| Worst Rank | # 21 | # 33 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 20 | # 26 |
| Best Rank | # 16 | # 21 |
| Worst Rank | # 22 | # 34 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 93 | 95 |
| Home Runs | 35 | 28 |
| RBI | 105 | 93 |
| Stolen Bases | 10 | 10 |
| Batting Average | .277 | .292 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 14 | # 15 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 11 | # 15 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 14 | # 21 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 14 | # 26 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 14 | # 15 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 13 | # 15 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 14 | # 15 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 15 | # 16 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 14 | # 19 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 14 | # 22 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 12 | # 18 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 13 | # 14 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 11 | # 17 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 13 | # 33 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 14 | # 17 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 18 | # 15 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 19 | # 15 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 20 | # 18 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 21 | # 14 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 21 | # 17 |
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | Xander Bogaerts SS - BOS | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 224 | 203 |
| Runs | 44 | 36 |
| Hits | 68 | 61 |
| Singles | 39 | 42 |
| Doubles | 12 | 8 |
| Triples | 1 | 0 |
| Home Runs | 16 | 11 |
| RBI | 47 | 28 |
| Stolen Bases | 6 | 8 |
| Caught Stealing | 3 | 0 |
| Walks | 26 | 21 |
| Strikeouts | 37 | 41 |
| Batting Average | .304 | .301 |
| On Base Pct | .370 | .364 |
| Slugging Pct | .580 | .503 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .950 | .867 |
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | Xander Bogaerts SS - BOS | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 591 | 568 |
| Runs | 93 | 95 |
| Hits | 162 | 164 |
| Singles | 96 | 98 |
| Doubles | 29 | 36 |
| Triples | 2 | 1 |
| Home Runs | 35 | 28 |
| RBI | 105 | 93 |
| Stolen Bases | 10 | 10 |
| Caught Stealing | 4 | 2 |
| Walks | 66 | 63 |
| Strikeouts | 113 | 115 |
| Batting Average | .277 | .292 |
| On Base Pct | .346 | .360 |
| Slugging Pct | .508 | .508 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .854 | .868 |
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | Xander Bogaerts SS - BOS | |
| News | ||
| The Athletic reports Padres 3B Manny Machado underwent laser eye surgery this offseason. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sun, Feb 28th | ||
| Notes | ||
| Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | |
