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Who Should I Draft?

Matt Olson or Jose Altuve (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
12 of 22 experts
45%
Recommended by
10 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 58# 54
Best Rank# 32# 28
Worst Rank# 115# 73
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 84# 94
Best Rank# 76# 82
Worst Rank# 89# 100
   
Projections 
   
Runs8193
Home Runs3622
RBI9873
Stolen Bases211
Batting Average.242.282
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 60
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 61
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 47# 58
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 62
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 53# 57
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 54# 58
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 60# 73
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 60
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 56# 69
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 61# 69
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 55# 68
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 55# 56
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 47# 37
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 53# 49
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 54# 52
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 55# 52
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 59# 56
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 59# 58
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 66# 45
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 73# 44
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 90# 52
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 115# 28
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats210192
   
Runs2832
   
Hits4142
   
Singles2228
   
Doubles49
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs145
   
RBI4218
   
Stolen Bases12
   
Caught Stealing03
   
Walks3417
   
Strikeouts7739
   
Batting Average.195.219
   
On Base Pct.310.286
   
Slugging Pct.424.344
   
On-base Plus Slugging.734.630
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats538565
   
Runs8193
   
Hits128158
   
Singles68104
   
Doubles2430
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs3622
   
RBI9873
   
Stolen Bases211
   
Caught Stealing15
   
Walks7153
   
Strikeouts169101
   
Batting Average.242.282
   
On Base Pct.327.341
   
Slugging Pct.488.458
   
On-base Plus Slugging.815.799
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Jose Altuve
2B - HOU
Jose Altuve
News 
There are no recent news for these players
Notes 
 Olson again hit for a ton of power last year, and ranked in the top nine percent of the league in average exit velocity for the third straight season. But he struck out 31.4% of the time, which contributed to a massive average drop to just .195. Olson had a bit of bad luck, as his xBA was .224, but still, it was by far his worst career mark. Although he'll never be a high average hitter, it's a good bet that he'll return something this year closer to his .245 career mark. Combine that with his likely near-40 home run season, and he'll make a fine mid-round selection and starting first baseman for any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Altuve had a rough 2020 season (like most Astros offensive players), but it was particularly drastic for him. After batting .298 (which was low for him) with 31 home runs in 2019, he batted just .219 with five home runs last year, and he struck out more than he ever had before. But, like his counterpart in the middle infield, Carlos Correa, Altuve had a strong postseason, slashing .375/.500/.720 with five home runs. It's reasonable to write off Altuve's regular season as a slump that he would have broken out of in light of his postseason, though with just eight steals combined over his previous two seasons, stolen bases may not be a big part of his game going forward (though his sprint speed is still excellent). Expect a bounce-back campaign in most categories, and take the undervalued Altuve as a solid starting second baseman.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Olson's Statcast profile was a bit all over the place last year. However, the biggest reason to buy back in this season is the disastrous .227 BABIP he posted (compared to .292 and .300 marks from the previous two campaigns). Olson still managed to hit 14 homers in the shortened season, which means the power is still there. The expectation of some better luck means he might be my single biggest first base target in drafts this spring.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
The former American League MVP is going right inside the top-100 players according to the latest FantasyPros consensus ADP. It feels as if we're knocking him down too far based off a "down" 2020, especially when you factor in how many free passes the industry appears to be giving for the weirdness of last season. While Altuve's regular season numbers leave a lot to be desired, his season-long wRC+ increases from 77 to 112 when you include his postseason numbers. His batting average increases from .219 to .250. With how small of a sample the regular season was, I think it's more than fair to include playoff numbers for players who went deep into the tournament.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros