Who Should I Draft?
Matt Olson or Jose Altuve (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Matt Olson 1B - OAK  | Jose Altuve 2B - HOU  | |
Expert |
55% Recommended by 12 of 22 experts |
45% Recommended by 10 of 22 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 58 | # 54 |
| Best Rank | # 32 | # 28 |
| Worst Rank | # 115 | # 73 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 84 | # 94 |
| Best Rank | # 76 | # 82 |
| Worst Rank | # 89 | # 100 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 81 | 93 |
| Home Runs | 36 | 22 |
| RBI | 98 | 73 |
| Stolen Bases | 2 | 11 |
| Batting Average | .242 | .282 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 57 | # 60 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 55 | # 61 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 47 | # 58 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 60 | # 62 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 53 | # 57 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 54 | # 58 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 60 | # 73 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 32 | # 60 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 56 | # 69 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 61 | # 69 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 55 | # 68 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 55 | # 56 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 47 | # 37 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 53 | # 49 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 54 | # 52 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 55 | # 52 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 59 | # 56 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 59 | # 58 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 66 | # 45 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 73 | # 44 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 90 | # 52 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 115 | # 28 |
| Matt Olson 1B - OAK | Jose Altuve 2B - HOU | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 210 | 192 |
| Runs | 28 | 32 |
| Hits | 41 | 42 |
| Singles | 22 | 28 |
| Doubles | 4 | 9 |
| Triples | 1 | 0 |
| Home Runs | 14 | 5 |
| RBI | 42 | 18 |
| Stolen Bases | 1 | 2 |
| Caught Stealing | 0 | 3 |
| Walks | 34 | 17 |
| Strikeouts | 77 | 39 |
| Batting Average | .195 | .219 |
| On Base Pct | .310 | .286 |
| Slugging Pct | .424 | .344 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .734 | .630 |
| Matt Olson 1B - OAK | Jose Altuve 2B - HOU | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 538 | 565 |
| Runs | 81 | 93 |
| Hits | 128 | 158 |
| Singles | 68 | 104 |
| Doubles | 24 | 30 |
| Triples | 1 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 36 | 22 |
| RBI | 98 | 73 |
| Stolen Bases | 2 | 11 |
| Caught Stealing | 1 | 5 |
| Walks | 71 | 53 |
| Strikeouts | 169 | 101 |
| Batting Average | .242 | .282 |
| On Base Pct | .327 | .341 |
| Slugging Pct | .488 | .458 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .815 | .799 |
| Matt Olson 1B - OAK | Jose Altuve 2B - HOU | |
| News | ||
| There are no recent news for these players | ||
| Notes | ||
| Olson again hit for a ton of power last year, and ranked in the top nine percent of the league in average exit velocity for the third straight season. But he struck out 31.4% of the time, which contributed to a massive average drop to just .195. Olson had a bit of bad luck, as his xBA was .224, but still, it was by far his worst career mark. Although he'll never be a high average hitter, it's a good bet that he'll return something this year closer to his .245 career mark. Combine that with his likely near-40 home run season, and he'll make a fine mid-round selection and starting first baseman for any fantasy team. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Altuve had a rough 2020 season (like most Astros offensive players), but it was particularly drastic for him. After batting .298 (which was low for him) with 31 home runs in 2019, he batted just .219 with five home runs last year, and he struck out more than he ever had before. But, like his counterpart in the middle infield, Carlos Correa, Altuve had a strong postseason, slashing .375/.500/.720 with five home runs. It's reasonable to write off Altuve's regular season as a slump that he would have broken out of in light of his postseason, though with just eight steals combined over his previous two seasons, stolen bases may not be a big part of his game going forward (though his sprint speed is still excellent). Expect a bounce-back campaign in most categories, and take the undervalued Altuve as a solid starting second baseman. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Olson's Statcast profile was a bit all over the place last year. However, the biggest reason to buy back in this season is the disastrous .227 BABIP he posted (compared to .292 and .300 marks from the previous two campaigns). Olson still managed to hit 14 homers in the shortened season, which means the power is still there. The expectation of some better luck means he might be my single biggest first base target in drafts this spring. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | The former American League MVP is going right inside the top-100 players according to the latest FantasyPros consensus ADP. It feels as if we're knocking him down too far based off a "down" 2020, especially when you factor in how many free passes the industry appears to be giving for the weirdness of last season. While Altuve's regular season numbers leave a lot to be desired, his season-long wRC+ increases from 77 to 112 when you include his postseason numbers. His batting average increases from .219 to .250. With how small of a sample the regular season was, I think it's more than fair to include playoff numbers for players who went deep into the tournament. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | |
