Who Should I Draft?

Mike Clevinger or Clayton Kershaw (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
40 of 59 experts
32%
Recommended by
19 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 21# 23
Best Rank# 11# 8
Worst Rank# 62# 51
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 58# 54
Best Rank# 50# 49
Worst Rank# 78# 72
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts191157
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.692.94
WHIP1.251.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 24# 28
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 13# 22
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 11# 27
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 17# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 26# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 22# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 20# 33
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 49
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 36# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 20# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 18# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 24
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 24# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 24# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 13# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 16# 28
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 25
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 13# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 22# 28
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 16# 25
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 32# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 25# 49
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 15# 16
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 23# 24
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 20# 21
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 21# 22
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 30
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 20# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 26
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 16# 8
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 19# 17
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 20
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 21# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 21# 12
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 8
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 11
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 26# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 27# 26
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 30# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 30# 22
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 31# 12
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 31# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 33# 12
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 42# 15
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 44# 14
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 45# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 62# 8
   
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3226
   
Games Started3226
   
Innings Pitched200.2161.2
   
Wins139
   
Losses85
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed164139
   
Earned Runs6749
   
Home Runs Allowed2117
   
Strikeouts207155
   
Walks6729
   
ERA3.022.73
   
WHIP1.161.04
   
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3025
   
Games Started3025
   
Innings Pitched180.1154.9
   
Wins1312
   
Losses96
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed157133
   
Earned Runs7451
   
Home Runs Allowed2217
   
Strikeouts191157
   
Walks6831
   
ERA3.692.94
   
WHIP1.251.05
   
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger pitched well in a 7-0 win over the Tigers on Thursday. Clevinger pitched six scoreless innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Sep 20th
Clayton Kershaw improved to 15-5 on Friday versus Colorado, allowing four runs on eight hits over six innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 21st
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger pitched well in a 2-0 loss to the Twins in the first game of a Saturday doubleheader. Clevinger allowed two runs over eight innings while striking out 10.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 14th
Clayton Kershaw improved to 14-5 on Friday against the Mets, tossing 6 1/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 14th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger allowed two runs over 6 1/3 innings in a 5-2 win over the Twins on Sunday. He struck out seven in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, Sep 9th
Clayton Kershaw took the loss on Friday against the Giants, allowing three runs on seven hits over four innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 7th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger pitched well in a 6-5 loss to the White Sox on Tuesday. Clevinger allowed two runs over seven innings while striking out nine and walking four.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 4th
Clayton Kershaw struggled on Saturday versus the Diamondbacks, giving up five runs on five hits over five innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger tossed a gem in a 2-0 win over the Tigers on Thursday. Clevinger pitched eight shutout innings while striking out 10.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 29th
Clayton Kershaw fell to 13-3 on Sunday Night Baseball against the Yankees, giving up three runs on four hits over seven innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 26th
Notes 
 After dominating in a smaller 2017 sample size, Clevinger took it up another notch in 2018, this time with 200 innings of proof. He might not win 16 games or strikeout 240 batters like some of the top tier aces, but his ratios and 200 Ks put him firmly in the 6th-8th rounds of this season's drafts
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Clevinger took the gains he made in 2017 and translated them to a full season as a starter i 2018. The one difference was that he trimmed his walk rate from nearly 4.5 per nine to barely 3.0 per nine, thereby dropping his WHIP all the way down to 1.16. Clevinger was particularly dominant in the second half, posting a 2.31 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 10.27 K/9 rate after the All Star break. The projection systems expect a little bit of regression due to his low BABIP allowed and left-on-base percentage, but it's also possible Clevinger can further improve on his strikeout rate and WHIP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Clevinger rose to the next level in the second half, posting a 2.31 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 78 innings. While he outperformed his overall 3.52 FIP and 3.86 SIERA with a 3.02 ERA, 2018 marked the second straight year he defied the peripherals. A high infield-fly rate (11.2%) and low barrel rate (5.8%) led him to a .280 xwOBA, so don't expect severe regression from the borderline top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros