Who Should I Draft?

Mike Clevinger or Clayton Kershaw (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
37 of 56 experts
34%
Recommended by
19 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 21# 23
Best Rank# 11# 8
Worst Rank# 62# 51
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 58# 54
Best Rank# 50# 49
Worst Rank# 78# 72
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts191157
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.692.94
WHIP1.251.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 24# 28
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 13# 22
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 11# 27
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 17# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 26# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 22# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 20# 33
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 20# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 49
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 36# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 20# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 18# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 24
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 24# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 24# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 13# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 16# 28
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 25
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 13# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 22# 28
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 16# 25
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 32# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 25# 49
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 14# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 15# 16
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 23# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 21# 22
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 20# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 26
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 16# 8
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 19# 17
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 20
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 21# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 21# 12
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 11
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 24# 15
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 26# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 27# 26
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 30# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 30# 22
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 31# 12
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 31# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 33# 12
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 42# 15
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 44# 14
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 45# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 62# 8
   
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3226
   
Games Started3226
   
Innings Pitched200.2161.2
   
Wins139
   
Losses85
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed164139
   
Earned Runs6749
   
Home Runs Allowed2117
   
Strikeouts207155
   
Walks6729
   
ERA3.022.73
   
WHIP1.161.04
   
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3025
   
Games Started3025
   
Innings Pitched180.1154.9
   
Wins1312
   
Losses96
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed157133
   
Earned Runs7451
   
Home Runs Allowed2217
   
Strikeouts191157
   
Walks6831
   
ERA3.692.94
   
WHIP1.251.05
   
  Mike Clevinger
SP - CLE
Mike Clevinger
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Mike Clevinger struggled in a 7-2 loss to the Rangers on Monday. He allowed five runs in 4 2/3 innings while striking out seven and walking three.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Jun 18th
Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Thursday versus the Cubs, striking out eight while allowing three runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Clevinger (back) will start Monday's game against the Rangers.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Jun 12th
Clayton Kershaw fell to 5-1 on Friday in San Francisco, spinning seven innings of two-run ball while striking out four.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
 Mike Clevinger pitched well in a rehab start for Double-A Akron on Tuesday, tossing 5 1/3 shutout innings while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Saturday versus Philadelphia, firing seven innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Mike Clevinger (back) will begin his rehab assignment in Triple-A on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
Clayton Kershaw improved to 5-0 on Monday versus the Mets, throwing six innings of three-run ball and giving up 10 hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 28th
 Mike Clevinger (back) threw a 20-pitch bullpen session on Tuesday afternoon.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 14th
Clayton Kershaw improved to 4-0 on Tuesday versus Tampa Bay, allowing two runs on six hits over 6 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 22nd
Notes 
 After dominating in a smaller 2017 sample size, Clevinger took it up another notch in 2018, this time with 200 innings of proof. He might not win 16 games or strikeout 240 batters like some of the top tier aces, but his ratios and 200 Ks put him firmly in the 6th-8th rounds of this season's drafts
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Clevinger took the gains he made in 2017 and translated them to a full season as a starter i 2018. The one difference was that he trimmed his walk rate from nearly 4.5 per nine to barely 3.0 per nine, thereby dropping his WHIP all the way down to 1.16. Clevinger was particularly dominant in the second half, posting a 2.31 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 10.27 K/9 rate after the All Star break. The projection systems expect a little bit of regression due to his low BABIP allowed and left-on-base percentage, but it's also possible Clevinger can further improve on his strikeout rate and WHIP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Clevinger rose to the next level in the second half, posting a 2.31 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 78 innings. While he outperformed his overall 3.52 FIP and 3.86 SIERA with a 3.02 ERA, 2018 marked the second straight year he defied the peripherals. A high infield-fly rate (11.2%) and low barrel rate (5.8%) led him to a .280 xwOBA, so don't expect severe regression from the borderline top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros