Who Should I Draft?

Mike Trout or Nolan Arenado (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Trout
CF,DH - LAA
Mike Trout
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
56 of 56 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 1# 3
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 2# 10
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 1# 6
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 1# 7
   
Projections 
   
Runs114100
Home Runs3838
RBI97113
Stolen Bases233
Batting Average.308.292
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 1# 3
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 3
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 3
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 1# 3
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 1# 8
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 1# 3
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 1# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 1# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 1# 5
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 1# 8
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 1# 4
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 1# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 4
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 1# 5
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 1# 3
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 1# 5
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 1# 4
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 2# 5
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 5
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 2# 6
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 1# 6
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 1# 5
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 1# 4
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 1# 5
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 1# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 1# 4
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 1# 4
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 1# 4
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 1# 4
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 1# 3
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 1# 6
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 1# 5
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 1# 4
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 1# 3
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 1# 3
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 1# 3
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 1# 4
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 1# 6
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 1# 3
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 1# 3
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 1# 5
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 1# 5
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 1# 6
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 1# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 1# 4
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 1# 4
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 1# 3
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 1# 7
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 1# 9
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 1# 3
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 1# 4
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 1# 5
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 1# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 1# 4
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 1# 5
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 1# 3
   
  Mike Trout
CF,DH - LAA
Mike Trout
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats471590
   
Runs101104
   
Hits147175
   
Singles8097
   
Doubles2438
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs3938
   
RBI79110
   
Stolen Bases242
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks12273
   
Strikeouts124122
   
Batting Average.312.297
   
On Base Pct.460.374
   
Slugging Pct.629.561
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.088.935
   
  Mike Trout
CF,DH - LAA
Mike Trout
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats509587
   
Runs114100
   
Hits157172
   
Singles8591
   
Doubles2938
   
Triples44
   
Home Runs3838
   
RBI97113
   
Stolen Bases233
   
Caught Stealing52
   
Walks11866
   
Strikeouts126113
   
Batting Average.308.292
   
On Base Pct.438.363
   
Slugging Pct.609.561
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.048.924
   
  Mike Trout
CF,DH - LAA
Mike Trout
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
News 
 Mike Trout went 3-for-6 with two home runs and seven RBI on Wednesday against the Blue Jays.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 20th
Nolan Arenado went 3-for-4 with a homer, a double, a walk, three RBI, and two runs scored as the Rockies beat the D'Backs 8-1 on Tuesday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
 Mike Trout went 4-for-5 with two singles, a double, one homer, three RBI, and two runs scored on Monday against Toronto.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, Jun 18th
Nolan Arenado went 0-for-5 with a walk and a run scored in the Rockies' 14-13 loss to the Padres on Father's Day.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
 Mike Trout went 2-for-4 with a walk, single, home run, two RBI, and two runs scored on Sunday against the Rays.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 17th
Arenado is not in the starting lineup Friday against the Padres.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 14th
 Mike Trout went 1-for-3 with two walks, a double, and one run scored on Friday against Tampa Bay.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 15th
Nolan Arenado (arm) is playing third base and batting cleanup on Thursday versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 13th
 Mike Trout went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run on Monday against the Dodgers.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, Jun 11th
Arenado left the game after being hit in the forearm by Cole Hamels in the third inning of Wednesday's game against the Chicago Cubs.
James Bisson
Wed, Jun 12th
Notes 
 Congratulations on landing the first pick. Your reward is Trout, a super-duper-star who is somehow getting better. The Angels stud set career highs in walk rate (20.1%), OBP (.460), wOBA (.447), and wRC+ (191) during his seventh season. He has cleared a .300 batting average in each of the last three years and averaged 33.6 homers per season after popping 39 in 2018. The floor and ceiling remain sky-high despite missing time over the past two years.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Drafters know what they're getting in Arenado, who has batted no lower than .287 with at least 37 homers and 110 RBI in the last four years. He has played all but 16 games in those four seasons, making him a durable beacon of consistency worthy of a first-round selection. He signed an extension during the offseason, so investors no longer need to worry about a midseason trade removing him from Coors Field. A lack of steals is an unfortunate, but acceptable tradeoff for locking in bankable production at every other category.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 As long as Mike Trout continues to put up 30+ homers, 20+ steals, 100+ runs and bat .300 every season, you can bet he will be worth the first overall pick. Chances are, we have another decade of this consistent dominance.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Arenado might not feel like the sexiest pick at this stage because he isn't the hot new name, nor is he a five-category star, but there is nothing wrong with boring old reliability. He has averaged 40 homers, 125 RBIs and 100 runs while batting .297 over the last four seasons. Don't let him slip past this 5th pick in your drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Trout only played 140 games in 2018 due to a brief DL stint, but he still finished as the eighth-most valuable hitter in standard 5x5 leagues. It was the second straight season Trout missed time with injuries, but that is just about the only fault you can find in his fantasy game. Consistently excellent when he's on the field, expect him to once again approach 40 HRs with 20+ steals and a batting average over .300.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
When it comes to elite production that you can bank on year in and year out, look no further than Arenado. Some people will quibble that his lack of steals makes him a four-category player, but that hasn't stopped Arenado from producing four straight seasons as a top-10 overall hitter in standard 5x5 leagues. The only other knock on Arenado is that he is much better in the thin air of Coors Field, but fresh off a record-breaking contract extension, fantasy owners no longer need to worry about the possibility of a mid-season trade out of Colorado. You can write it down in marker that he will provide around 40 home runs, 100 runs, 110 RBIs, and a batting average in the .290 range, making Arenado a nice bargain at his average draft position (ADP) of 6.8.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
  End of Tier 1
Michael Florio - Fantrax