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Who Should I Draft?

Nelson Cruz or J.D. Martinez (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
28 of 50 experts
44%
Recommended by
22 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 43# 45
Best Rank# 25# 27
Worst Rank# 79# 86
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 85# 91
Best Rank# 64# 76
Worst Rank# 92# 101
   
Projections 
   
Runs7684
Home Runs3431
RBI8996
Stolen Bases13
Batting Average.269.274
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 46
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 44
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 40# 55
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 42
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 31# 36
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 36# 47
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 43# 56
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 37# 43
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 43# 52
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 56# 72
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 39# 45
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 31# 49
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 52
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 47
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 43# 51
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 56
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 41# 50
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 48# 86
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 44# 51
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 39# 49
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 42# 46
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 25# 48
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 31# 43
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 36# 67
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 30# 55
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 43# 44
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 36# 44
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 47# 66
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 33# 31
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 35# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 31
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 41# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 27
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 33
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 44# 39
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 45# 40
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 47# 42
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 49# 42
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 51# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 52# 44
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 52# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 52# 44
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 57# 47
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 60# 44
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 61# 52
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 65# 40
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 68# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 61
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 79# 37
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats185211
   
Runs3322
   
Hits5645
   
Singles3422
   
Doubles616
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs167
   
RBI3327
   
Stolen Bases01
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks2522
   
Strikeouts5859
   
Batting Average.303.213
   
On Base Pct.397.291
   
Slugging Pct.595.389
   
On-base Plus Slugging.992.680
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats495550
   
Runs7684
   
Hits132149
   
Singles7584
   
Doubles2232
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs3431
   
RBI8996
   
Stolen Bases13
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks5764
   
Strikeouts143147
   
Batting Average.269.274
   
On Base Pct.344.350
   
Slugging Pct.524.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.868.855
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
News 
 Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-4 in a 3-1 loss to the Rangers on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 6th
J.D. Martinez went 2-for-5 with an RBI and three runs scored as the Red Sox beat the Tigers 11-7 on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 5th
 Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in an 11-3 loss to the Royals on Saturday.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 1st
J.D. Martinez had a monster day at the plate on Friday, going 3-for-4 with two home runs and four RBIs.
Liam Gibney
Sat, May 1st
 Minnesota DH Nelson Cruz went 0-for-2 with a run, an RBI, and two walks in a 9-1 win over the Royals on Friday.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 1st
J.D. Martinez left Thursday's game against the Texas Rangers due to migraine-like symptoms.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Apr 29th
 Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 1-for-4 with a solo homer in a 6-2 loss to the Pirates on Sunday.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Apr 25th
J.D. Martinez went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in Boston's 1-0 win over the New York Mets on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 29th
 Minnesota DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-5 with two homers and four RBI in a 13-12 loss to Oakland on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Apr 21st
J.D. Martinez hit his seventh homer of the season as the Red Sox beat the Mariners 6-5 on Friday night at Fenway.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 24th
Notes 
 If you ascribe to the "I'd rather jump off a year too early than too late" philosophy, then you probably haven't been drafting Cruz for the last several years. But if not, then you've not only drafted one of the most underrated fantasy bats in recent memory, but you're probably going to do so again this year. Cruz is back on a one-year deal with the Twins, and he's coming off another utterly dominant season. Fine, his strikeout rate rose again a bit, he didn't hit the ball quite as hard, and he's eligible at utility only. But other than the fact that he will be 41 years old this season, there's nothing in his profile that should cause you to expect significant decline. Prepare to be having the same debate next year, after Crus puts up another 35-homer season this year.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Martinez had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he slashed just .213/.291/.389 and hit seven home runs. Martinez simply didn't hit the ball nearly as hard as he used to, and hit a ton of fly balls, the combination of which helped to drain his batting average significantly. There's a ton to dislike about last year, but given that Martinez has talked about how much he relies on watching video in-game, and his inability to do so last year because of COVID-19 protocols, it seems likely that you can write off last year to a slump that didn't have time to end. He'll be eligible at utility only, but there's a massive opportunity for profit if you are willing to largely look past 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  2020 was a disaster for JDM. A cerebral hitter who relies heavily on in-game video analysis, Martinez admitted that it was tough to stay engaged last season. Aside from getting in-game video back, reasons for optimism include a barrel-rate that was similar to his 2019 mark as well as some solid plate discipline numbers. It would be more concerning if Martinez's discipline fell off as much as his batted-ball stats did. If you chalk it all up to "2020" then you can get JD at a big-time value this year.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros