Who Should I Draft?

Robbie Ray or J.A. Happ (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
Expert
Recommendation
81%
Recommended by
48 of 59 experts
19%
Recommended by
11 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 39# 51
Best Rank# 26# 27
Worst Rank# 118# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 116# 131
Best Rank# 110# 118
Worst Rank# 133# 139
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts205168
Wins1013
Saves00
ERA3.753.85
WHIP1.301.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 36# 74
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 45
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 57
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 39# 47
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 29# 40
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 67
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 58
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 43
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 32# 72
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 40# 51
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 37# 64
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 39# 43
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 41# 94
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 35# 60
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 45
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 52
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 57
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 42# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 65
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 48
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 49# 50
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 43# 56
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 67
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 40# 42
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 44# 45
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 38# 52
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 39# 46
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 49# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 40# 53
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 48
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 42# 69
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 46
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 67
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 58
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 65# 82
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 46# 69
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 26# 58
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 33# 54
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 55
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 47# 62
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 39# 51
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 43# 55
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 28# 40
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 36# 111
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 41# 64
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 54
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 41
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 48# 44
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 50# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 50# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 50# 44
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 51# 47
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 59# 52
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 68# 64
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 73# 49
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 81# 52
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 118# 110
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2431
   
Games Started2431
   
Innings Pitched124.1178.1
   
Wins617
   
Losses26
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed97150
   
Earned Runs5472
   
Home Runs Allowed1927
   
Strikeouts165193
   
Walks7051
   
ERA3.933.65
   
WHIP1.351.13
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2929
   
Games Started2929
   
Innings Pitched160.1167.6
   
Wins1013
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133153
   
Earned Runs6772
   
Home Runs Allowed2124
   
Strikeouts205168
   
Walks7552
   
ERA3.753.85
   
WHIP1.301.23
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
News 
 Robbie Ray received a no-decision on Monday versus Miami, throwing six innings of one-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 17th
J.A. Happ allowed two runs on four hits with no walks and four strikeouts across 5 1/3 innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
 Robbie Ray (blister) is scheduled to make his next start on Wednesday versus the Mets.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 10th
J.A. Happ (biceps) will make his next scheduled start Friday against the Blue Jays, Mike Mazzeo of Yahoo Sports reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
 Robbie Ray left his start Friday against the Reds with an undisclosed injury which appeared to be on his left hand.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 6th
J.A. Happ (biceps) received a cortisone shot Friday and is expected to start Thursday against the Angels, Kristie Ackert of the New York Daily News reports.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Robbie Ray picked up his 12th win of the year on Saturday against the Dodgers, allowing four runs over five innings while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
J.A. Happ is headed to New York to see a doctor about biceps tendinitis, which he's apparently been dealing with for his last few starts, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 12th
 Robbie Ray improved to 11-7 on Sunday in Milwaukee, tossing five shutout innings while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 25th
J.A Happ pitched 6 1/3 scoreless innings, allowing only two hits and one walk while striking out seven as the Yankees defeated the Red Sox 5-1.
Brandon Plutner
Sat, Sep 7th
Notes 
 Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
The undervalued Happ massively out-performed his 2018 draft pick despite posting his highest ERA (3.65) since 2014. He now owns a 3.49 ERA and 8.45 K/9 over those past four seasons, and yet many drafters have scoffed at him going around the pick-150 range. Seems like a reasonable price for someone who accompanied his career-high 193 strikeouts with a career-high 10.3% swinging-strike rate and career-low 78.3% contact rate. He looked comfortable in pinstripes (2.69 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) and could once again reap the rewards of run support to a crooked wins tally. Don't run away just because the southpaw is 36.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 
 Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros