Who Should I Draft?

Robbie Ray or J.A. Happ (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
45 of 56 experts
20%
Recommended by
11 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 40# 52
Best Rank# 26# 27
Worst Rank# 118# 111
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 116# 131
Best Rank# 110# 118
Worst Rank# 133# 139
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts205168
Wins1013
Saves00
ERA3.753.85
WHIP1.301.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 36# 74
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 45
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 57
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 39# 47
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 29# 40
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 67
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 58
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 43
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 32# 72
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 40# 51
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 37# 64
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 39# 43
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 41# 94
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 35# 60
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 45
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 52
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 40# 57
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 42# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 65
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 48
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 49# 50
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 43# 56
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 67
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 40# 42
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 41# 59
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 44# 45
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 38# 52
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 39# 46
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 49# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 40# 53
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 48
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 42# 69
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 46
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 67
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 35# 58
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 65# 82
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 46# 69
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 26# 58
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 33# 54
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 47# 62
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 36# 111
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 41# 64
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 37# 54
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 46# 41
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 48# 44
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 50# 27
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 50# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 50# 44
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 51# 47
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 59# 52
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 68# 64
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 73# 49
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 81# 52
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 118# 110
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2431
   
Games Started2431
   
Innings Pitched124.1178.1
   
Wins617
   
Losses26
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed97150
   
Earned Runs5472
   
Home Runs Allowed1927
   
Strikeouts165193
   
Walks7051
   
ERA3.933.65
   
WHIP1.351.13
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2929
   
Games Started2929
   
Innings Pitched160.1167.6
   
Wins1013
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed133153
   
Earned Runs6772
   
Home Runs Allowed2124
   
Strikeouts205168
   
Walks7552
   
ERA3.753.85
   
WHIP1.301.23
   
  Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
J.A. Happ
SP - NYY
J.A. Happ
News 
 Robbie Ray fell to 5-4 on Friday versus the Nationals, giving up five runs on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
J.A. Happ (7-3) allowed two runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and no walks across five innings while earning a victory against the Rays on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 19th
 Robbie Ray improved to 5-3 on Sunday in Toronto, throwing 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out 10.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
J.A. Happ did not factor into the decision in Thursday's loss to the White Sox, allowing four runs on four hits and four walks while striking out two through five innings.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 14th
 Robbie Ray fell to 4-3 on Monday versus the Dodgers, allowing three runs on six hits in seven innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
J.A. Happ gave up just one run on four hits and struck out four batters in seven innings and earned a win over the Blue Jays on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 7th
 Robbie Ray fell to 4-2 on Wednesday in Colorado, giving up five runs (four earned) on eight hits in just 4 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
J.A. Happ (5-3) allowed one run on three hits with five strikeouts and two walks across five innings to earn a victory against the Red Sox on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 1st
 Robbie Ray improved to 4-1 on Friday in San Francisco, striking out nine while allowing two runs on five hits over 5 1/3 innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 25th
Thursday's game between the Yankees and Red Sox was postponed due to rain; it will be made up Aug. 3.
James Bisson
Thu, May 30th
Notes 
 Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
The undervalued Happ massively out-performed his 2018 draft pick despite posting his highest ERA (3.65) since 2014. He now owns a 3.49 ERA and 8.45 K/9 over those past four seasons, and yet many drafters have scoffed at him going around the pick-150 range. Seems like a reasonable price for someone who accompanied his career-high 193 strikeouts with a career-high 10.3% swinging-strike rate and career-low 78.3% contact rate. He looked comfortable in pinstripes (2.69 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) and could once again reap the rewards of run support to a crooked wins tally. Don't run away just because the southpaw is 36.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 
 Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros