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Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or Aaron Nola (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 8
Best Rank# 1# 3
Worst Rank# 4# 13
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 9# 22
Best Rank# 8# 22
Worst Rank# 10# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts243222
Wins1513
Saves00
ERA3.183.56
WHIP1.051.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 3# 9
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 3# 9
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 1# 5
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 9
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 3# 7
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 7
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 7
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 9
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 3# 10
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 3# 9
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 3# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 11
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 2# 6
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 6
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 3# 13
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 8
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 7
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 3# 7
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 3# 7
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 2# 6
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 7
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 3# 6
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 2# 8
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 7
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 2# 3
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 2# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 4
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 3# 7
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 8
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 3# 7
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 3# 12
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 2# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 4# 7
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 2# 6
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 2# 4
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 2# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 3# 10
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 3# 7
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 1# 7
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 3# 9
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 3# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 3# 8
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 3# 5
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 3# 8
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 3# 12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched77.271.2
   
Wins85
   
Losses15
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4654
   
Earned Runs1426
   
Home Runs Allowed79
   
Strikeouts12296
   
Walks2123
   
ERA1.633.28
   
WHIP0.871.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3131
   
Games Started3131
   
Innings Pitched194.1190.0
   
Wins1513
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed162161
   
Earned Runs6975
   
Home Runs Allowed2424
   
Strikeouts243222
   
Walks4260
   
ERA3.183.56
   
WHIP1.051.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
News 
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber threw three scoreless innings in a 1-0 loss to the White Sox on Friday. He struck out three and did not allow a hit.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 25th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out eight over six innings in Thursday's win over the Pirates.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 24th
 Shane Bieber will make his return and start on Friday against the White Sox. The reigning AL Cy Young winner has been out since June 13th.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Sep 22nd
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 8th
 Indians RHP Shane Bieber (shoulder) will begin a minor league rehab assignment with Triple-A Columbus on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 12th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed six earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 3rd
 Indians pitcher Shane Bieber threw a “36-pitch up-and-down bullpen session yesterday,” according to Ryan Lewis of the Akron Beacon Journal.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 28th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on three hits and no walks while striking out seven over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Aug 28th
 Shane Bieber tossed a bullpen session on Tuesday as he continues to work his way back from a right shoulder strain.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Aug 18th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on two hits and two walks while striking out 11 over 8 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Padres on Saturday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Aug 22nd
Notes 
 Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros