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Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or Luis Castillo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
50 of 50 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 11
Best Rank# 1# 6
Worst Rank# 4# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 9# 27
Best Rank# 8# 24
Worst Rank# 10# 38
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts243216
Wins1513
Saves00
ERA3.183.52
WHIP1.051.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 8
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 3# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 3# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 1# 11
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 3# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 12
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 3# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 7
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 3# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 3# 10
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 3# 11
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 2# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 10
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 3# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 12
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 3# 10
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 3# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 2# 13
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 8
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 3# 14
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 3# 8
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 2# 11
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 2# 7
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 2# 10
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 6
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 9
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 3# 10
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 3# 9
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 2# 17
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 4# 13
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 2# 7
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 2# 9
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 2# 14
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 3# 13
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 3# 8
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 1# 12
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 3# 13
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 3# 10
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 3# 6
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 3# 8
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 3# 13
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 3# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched77.270.1
   
Wins84
   
Losses16
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4662
   
Earned Runs1426
   
Home Runs Allowed75
   
Strikeouts12289
   
Walks2124
   
ERA1.633.34
   
WHIP0.871.23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3131
   
Games Started3131
   
Innings Pitched194.1183.9
   
Wins1513
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed162154
   
Earned Runs6972
   
Home Runs Allowed2421
   
Strikeouts243216
   
Walks4263
   
ERA3.183.52
   
WHIP1.051.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over six innings of work in a 5-3 win over the White Sox on Friday. Bieber struck out 11 and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 1st
Luis Castillo (1-3) took the loss Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on eight hits and one walk in 5.1 innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, May 1st
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings in a 2-1 loss to the Yankees on Saturday. Bieber struck out nine and walked three in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Apr 24th
Luis Castillo (1-2) allowed four runs on six hits and one walk across five innings in a loss to the Cardinals on Sunday. He struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Apr 25th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over eight innings of work in a 6-3 win over the Reds on Sunday. Bieber struck out 13 and walked two in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Apr 18th
Luis Castillo did not factor in the decision in Tuesday/Wednesday's loss to the Diamondbacks. He allowed three runs (one earned) on seven hits and three walks, while striking out four.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 21st
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber threw nine scoreless innings in a 2-0 win over the White Sox on Tuesday. He struck out 11 and walked one in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Apr 14th
Luis Castillo allowed four runs on seven hits -- including two home runs -- over five innings in a no-decision against the Giants on Tuesday. He struck out seven and walked none.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 14th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed two runs over 6 1/3 innings of work in a 4-2 win over the Royals on Wednesday. He struck out 12 and walked four in the game.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Apr 7th
Luis Castillo (1-1) earned the win Wednesday against the Pirates. He threw seven scoreless innings while allowing four hits and one walk. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 7th
Notes 
 Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Castillo turned in another excellent season last year, cutting his walk rate and striking out batters at a higher rate than he ever had in his career. His WHIP increased to a career-worst 1.23, but that was largely due to bad luck, as batters hit .232 against him despite an expected batting average of just .212. Nevertheless, Castillo kept runs off the board, largely because he was able to avoid home runs (just five in 70 innings) and limit free passes. Castillo is capable of fronting a fantasy pitching staff, though he's more of a low-end ace, and there are plenty of trade rumors following him around. But, given his reliable production and increased strikeout rate the past two seasons, he can be drafted with confidence.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros