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Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or Luis Castillo (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
90%
Recommended by
47 of 52 experts
10%
Recommended by
5 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 13
Best Rank# 4# 7
Worst Rank# 39# 41
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 25# 38
Best Rank# 21# 33
Worst Rank# 30# 52
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts8075
Wins55
Saves00
ERA3.653.90
WHIP1.141.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 11
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 10
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 4# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 11
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 6# 9
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 39# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 8# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 6# 13
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 7# 36
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 14
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 6# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 10
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 18
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 8# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 15
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 8# 12
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 5# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 12
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 7# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 11# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 16
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 6# 17
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 7# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 13
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 8# 12
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 6# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 8# 16
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 11# 13
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 19
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 6# 18
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 8# 14
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 9# 13
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 7# 13
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 6# 10
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 5# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 9# 8
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 8
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 12# 11
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 12# 7
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3432
   
Games Started3332
   
Innings Pitched214.1191.2
   
Wins1515
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed185139
   
Earned Runs7873
   
Home Runs Allowed3122
   
Strikeouts259226
   
Walks4079
   
ERA3.283.45
   
WHIP1.051.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched72.467.8
   
Wins55
   
Losses34
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6859
   
Earned Runs2929
   
Home Runs Allowed109
   
Strikeouts8075
   
Walks1525
   
ERA3.653.90
   
WHIP1.141.24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 4-2 win over the Reds on Tuesday. He allowed two runs over 7 2/3 innings while striking out eight and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Aug 4th
Luis Castillo (0-1) surrendered five runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out six across six innings in Friday's 7-2 loss to the Tigers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 1st
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber was excellent in a 2-0 win over the Twins on Thursday. Bieber spun eight scoreless innings while striking out 13. He allowed just three hits in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Jul 31st
Luis Castillo will start Friday's game against the Tigers after the contest versus the Cubs was postponed due to inclement weather.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 31st
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber was excellent in a 2-0 Opening Day win over the Royals on Friday. Bieber pitched six shutout innings, striking out 14, in his first career Opening Day start.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jul 25th
Luis Castillo allowed one run on six hits and one walk while striking out 11 in Saturday's 6-4 loss to the Tigers. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Sun, Jul 26th
 Indians pitching coach Carl Willis praised Shane Bieber for his first summer workout this weekend.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 6th
 
 Shane Bieber will remain the Indians' Opening Day starter on July 24th.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 3rd
 
Notes 
 Bieber may not be the most polarizing player in drafts this year, but it's hard to argue that he isn't the most polarizing pitcher. For every positive (peripherals were in line with his surface stats), that are concerns (he gets hit HARD). If you're a Bieber truther (Belieber, I guess), it's good value for him here as the ace of your staff. But if you have any pause about him at all, you should fade him and go with a safer option.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Luis Castillo in 2020 is similar to Jose Berrios in 2019. He's ranked as if he took that next step into ace territory. The thought was off for Berrios, but it's spot-on for Castillo. While it's better to look at a full season's worth of stats compared to splitting it up to get a full view of the performance, it's the stretches of dominance that Castillo showed in his first 20 starts that has people so excited about him in 2020. With elite strikeout numbers and an improved GB rate, Castillo could give you a second top-10 pitcher on your staff if you take him here.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Bieber was simply fantastic in 2019 and gave you everything you want from a stud pitcher. He was second in the league innings, had a 3.28 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP, and was top-10 in strikeout and walk rates. He gave up his fair share of home runs but, overall, there are next to no complaint about Bieber. Draft him with confidence as a low-end ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Regression just never really hit for Castillo last year, despite a walk rate of 10.1%, fourth-worst in the league among qualified pitchers. There's no doubting Castillo's stuff, particularly his devastating changeup, and the Reds should be more competitive than they have been in years. But he simply has to cut down on the free passes if he wants to build on his breakout 2019. There's every reason to think he will as he continue to grow as a pitcher, and should make a reliable second fantasy starter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Figured out how to pitch to lefties last year. If that holds he'll once again be elite due to his exceptional command
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Struggled down the stretch but looked like one of the best pitchers in baseball to begin the year
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros