Who Should I Draft?

Shane Bieber or Mike Foltynewicz (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Mike Foltynewicz
SP - ATL
Mike Foltynewicz
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
33 of 59 experts
44%
Recommended by
26 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 48# 55
Best Rank# 24# 15
Worst Rank# 226# 102
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 149# 112
Best Rank# 136# 99
Worst Rank# 157# 136
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts147158
Wins1110
Saves00
ERA3.843.65
WHIP1.231.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 39# 64
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 80
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 55
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 46# 51
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 58
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 30# 65
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 38# 68
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 60
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 39# 80
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 33# 81
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 31
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 44# 65
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 40# 54
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 52
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 37# 55
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 61
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 48# 68
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 50
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 26# 64
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 52# 54
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 38# 61
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 49# 102
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 74
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 37# 70
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 50
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 48# 60
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 63# 64
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 41# 59
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 48# 50
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 45# 81
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 46# 75
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 40# 55
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 67
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 41# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 42# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 44# 33
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 45# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 43
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 50# 45
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 52# 45
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 44
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 54# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 56# 54
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 35
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 56# 37
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 57# 53
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 57# 32
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 61# 28
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 63# 56
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 63# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 64# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 66# 51
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 67# 31
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 73# 27
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 84# 73
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 86# 28
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 103# 26
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 113# 71
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 226# 52
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Mike Foltynewicz
SP - ATL
Mike Foltynewicz
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2031
   
Games Started1931
   
Innings Pitched115.1183.0
   
Wins1113
   
Losses510
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130130
   
Earned Runs5858
   
Home Runs Allowed1317
   
Strikeouts118202
   
Walks2368
   
ERA4.552.85
   
WHIP1.331.08
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Mike Foltynewicz
SP - ATL
Mike Foltynewicz
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2725
   
Games Started2625
   
Innings Pitched154.9150.4
   
Wins1110
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed159132
   
Earned Runs6661
   
Home Runs Allowed1819
   
Strikeouts147158
   
Walks3154
   
ERA3.843.65
   
WHIP1.231.24
   
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Mike Foltynewicz
SP - ATL
Mike Foltynewicz
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber struggled in an 8-3 loss to the White Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed five runs (three earned) over 5 2/3 innings while striking out seven.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 26th
Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz allowed three earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out five over four innings in Saturday's loss to the New York Mets.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 29th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 5-2 win over the Phillies on Friday. Bieber allowed two runs over 7 1/3 innings while striking out seven.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 21st
Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz tossed eight shutout innings in Friday's win over the Giants, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out seven.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 21st
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber struggled in a 7-5 win over the Twins on Sunday. Bieber gave up four runs on 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 15th
Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz allowed one earned run on three hits and no walks while striking out seven over seven innings in Monday's win over the Phillies.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 10th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 6-2 win over the Angels on Monday. Bieber allowed just one run over seven innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 10th
Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz tossed five shutout innings in Tuesday's win over the Blue Jays, allowing two hits and three walks while striking out two. The win brings him to 5-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 4th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in an 8-6 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings while striking out nine.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 5th
Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz allowed two earned runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out three over 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
Mike Maher
Thu, Aug 29th
Notes 
 Bieber is the rare pitcher who may throw too many strikes. His pinpoint control is helpful for his WHIP, and he's shown the ability to strike out close to a batter per inning, but he gave up so many hits as a rookie that his ERA ballooned to 4.55. That is due for quite a bit of positive regression, but Bieber's ERA may always trail behind his WHIP. For now, expect his ERA to settle in the mid-to-high 3s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
A relative afterthought in many 2018 drafts, Foltynewicz fastened a 2.85 ERA and 202 strikeouts in 183 frames. Deploying fewer sinkers and more sliders helped unlock his upside, but beware paying full freight for an encore. A substandard 3.34 BB/9 could cause more trouble if a .253 BABIP rises near his .303 career norm. This was a case of not paying for the career year before elbow soreness threatened his wipe out multiple April starts.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Baseball fans could soon think of that pop singer as the other Bieber. After generating a 13.68 K/BB ratio (!) throughout his minor league career, the Cleveland righty recorded 118 strikeouts to 23 walks in 114.2 big league frames. He also, however, got pegged to a 4.55 ERA. Lefties crushed him (.311/.362/.547), and a subpar four-seam fastball didn't fool anyone. Yet he also boasted a 3.23 FIP with a superb slider that submitted a 26.2% swinging-strike rate. Corey Kluber and Corey Carrasco have emerged as aces despite mediocre heaters, so perhaps Cleveland can apply the same winning formula to Bieber. He's still reasonably priced as a mid-range breakout pick, but it wouldn't be surprising to see his ADP skyrocket this spring.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
After posting an ERA north of 4.00 in each of his first three seasons, Foltynewicz put up a shiny 2.85 ERA in 2018. Part of that was due to a fortunate BABIP allowed of just .251, but he also earned some of the gain by boosting his K/9 rate from 8.36 to 9.93. While some regression should be expected, the bigger concern is that Folty has complained of elbow soreness this spring and may not be ready for Opening Day. That above all else should give fantasy owners pause.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros