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Who Should I Draft?

Sonny Gray or Jesus Luzardo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
37 of 51 experts
27%
Recommended by
14 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 28# 33
Best Rank# 16# 20
Worst Rank# 120# 66
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 90# 101
Best Rank# 80# 85
Worst Rank# 111# 112
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts179144
Wins119
Saves00
ERA3.793.73
WHIP1.221.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 33
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 49
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 41# 50
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 19# 30
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 16# 51
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 20# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 46
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 22# 33
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 22# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 25# 57
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 44
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 25# 28
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 31# 35
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 31# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 33# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 34# 39
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 16# 42
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 30
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 38
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 23# 35
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 21# 38
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 26# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 28# 33
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 18# 29
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 22# 28
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 32# 35
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 27# 23
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 28# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 20
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 35# 31
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 35# 26
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 39# 24
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 43# 24
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 44# 34
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 49# 29
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 49# 24
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 50# 29
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 120# 66
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started119
   
Innings Pitched56.259.2
   
Wins53
   
Losses32
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4257
   
Earned Runs2325
   
Home Runs Allowed49
   
Strikeouts7259
   
Walks2617
   
ERA3.703.81
   
WHIP1.211.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2927
   
Games Started2926
   
Innings Pitched157.6141.6
   
Wins119
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132130
   
Earned Runs6659
   
Home Runs Allowed1919
   
Strikeouts179144
   
Walks5941
   
ERA3.793.73
   
WHIP1.221.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
News 
 Sonny Gray did not factor into the decision Friday against the Nationals, allowing four runs on five hits in four innings. He walked four and struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 25th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out two over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Monday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Sep 21st
 Sonny Gray (7-8) was saddled with the loss Saturday against the Dodgers, allowing four runs (three earned) on four hits in six innings. He walked two and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 18th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed four earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out just one over 4 1/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
 Sonny Gray (7-7) took the loss Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing two runs on three hits and one walk in seven innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 12th
Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed two earned runs on two hits and four walks while striking out eight over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Mets on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
 Sonny Gray did not factor into the decision in Monday's loss to the Cubs, allowing three runs (two earned) on three hits in five innings. He struck out eight and walked none.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 6th
Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed three earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 4th
 Sonny Gray (7-6) picked up the win Wednesday against the Cardinals in Game 2 of the doubleheader. He allowed two runs on two hits across five innings. He walked none and struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 1st
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out three over 4 2/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Aug 25th
Notes 
 Two dreadful starts late in the season severely hurt what was otherwise a strong 2020 campaign for Gray, though it was a bizarre year. His strikeout rate surpassed 30% for the first time in his career, while his walk rate jumped to 11.1%. He was also far more hittable, particularly his slider and curveball, which had been dominant pitches in 2019. But even if Gray simply repeats his 2020 season, his strikeout rate and decent ERA and WHIP should be enough to make him a borderline SP2 for fantasy leagues. He will likely begin the year on the IL after experiencing back spasms in mid-March, but the injury doesn't sound like it will keep him out for long. Considering we've seen much more than that from him in 2019, fantasy managers should have little hesitation drafting him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros