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Who Should I Draft?

Sonny Gray or Zack Greinke (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
30 of 51 experts
41%
Recommended by
21 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 28# 29
Best Rank# 16# 10
Worst Rank# 120# 61
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 90# 93
Best Rank# 80# 65
Worst Rank# 111# 99
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts179171
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.793.85
WHIP1.221.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 31
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 19# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 16# 61
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 20# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 22# 29
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 22# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 35
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 25# 27
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 29
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 25# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 29
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 31# 34
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 31# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 44
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 16# 33
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 28# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 37
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 35# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 23# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 21# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 26# 31
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 27# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 28# 30
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 18# 46
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 22# 25
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 22
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 28# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 23
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 18
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 32# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 27
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 33# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 34# 31
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 35# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 15
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 39# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 41# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 43# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 43# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 44# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 39
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 49# 22
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 49# 23
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 50# 36
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 120# 29
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched56.267.1
   
Wins53
   
Losses33
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4267
   
Earned Runs2330
   
Home Runs Allowed46
   
Strikeouts7267
   
Walks269
   
ERA3.704.03
   
WHIP1.211.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2931
   
Games Started2931
   
Innings Pitched157.6183.4
   
Wins1112
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132174
   
Earned Runs6678
   
Home Runs Allowed1928
   
Strikeouts179171
   
Walks5936
   
ERA3.793.85
   
WHIP1.221.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
News 
 Sonny Gray (7-8) was saddled with the loss Saturday against the Dodgers, allowing four runs (three earned) on four hits in six innings. He walked two and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 18th
Astros veteran starter Zack Greinke had a horrendous outing on Tuesday as he allowed eight runs (seven earned) over five innings of work against the Rangers. His final line included five hits, three walks, four strikeouts, three homers, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Texas by a score of 8-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
 Sonny Gray (7-7) took the loss Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing two runs on three hits and one walk in seven innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 12th
Astros starting pitcher Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will return to the mound on Tuesday against the Rangers.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
 Sonny Gray did not factor into the decision in Monday's loss to the Cubs, allowing three runs (two earned) on three hits in five innings. He struck out eight and walked none.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 6th
Astros RHP Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will throw a bullpen on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 10th
 Sonny Gray (7-6) picked up the win Wednesday against the Cardinals in Game 2 of the doubleheader. He allowed two runs on two hits across five innings. He walked none and struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 1st
Zack Greinke has been placed on the COVID injured list by the Astros. He will miss his next scheduled start against the Padres.
Chris Schommer
Wed, Sep 1st
 Sonny Gray (6-6) picked up the win Thursday against Milwaukee, tossing six scoreless innings while allowing three hits and two walks. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Aug 26th
Astros starter Zack Greinke allowed six runs over four innings of work against the Rangers on Sunday afternoon. His final line included nine hits, two walks, one homer, and one strikeout. He was hit with the loss as Houston ultimately fell to Texas by a score of 13-2.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Aug 29th
Notes 
 Two dreadful starts late in the season severely hurt what was otherwise a strong 2020 campaign for Gray, though it was a bizarre year. His strikeout rate surpassed 30% for the first time in his career, while his walk rate jumped to 11.1%. He was also far more hittable, particularly his slider and curveball, which had been dominant pitches in 2019. But even if Gray simply repeats his 2020 season, his strikeout rate and decent ERA and WHIP should be enough to make him a borderline SP2 for fantasy leagues. He will likely begin the year on the IL after experiencing back spasms in mid-March, but the injury doesn't sound like it will keep him out for long. Considering we've seen much more than that from him in 2019, fantasy managers should have little hesitation drafting him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros