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Who Should I Draft?

Teoscar Hernandez or Jeff McNeil (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Teoscar Hernandez
LF,CF,RF - TOR
Teoscar Hernandez
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
Expert
Recommendation
76%
Recommended by
38 of 50 experts
24%
Recommended by
12 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 57# 63
Best Rank# 33# 38
Worst Rank# 92# 101
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 79# 99
Best Rank# 76# 73
Worst Rank# 100# 105
   
Projections 
   
Runs7981
Home Runs3218
RBI8573
Stolen Bases106
Batting Average.248.296
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 70
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 63
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 47
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 69# 74
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 56# 84
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 53# 70
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 92# 95
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 100
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 46# 60
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 61# 62
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 60# 61
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 55# 64
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 56# 60
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 58# 68
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 61# 66
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 49# 54
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 61# 64
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 58# 95
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 33# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 56# 57
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 60# 84
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 60# 68
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 58# 59
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 40# 67
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 56# 86
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 67
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 42# 68
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 56# 63
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 39# 66
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 45# 74
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 59# 63
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 56# 72
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 50# 69
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 67# 71
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 56# 63
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 39# 52
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 61# 64
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 36# 101
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 56# 54
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 61# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 62# 38
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 64# 62
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 74# 65
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 74# 64
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 75# 72
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 76# 45
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 76# 46
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 90# 64
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 90# 42
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Teoscar Hernandez
LF,CF,RF - TOR
Teoscar Hernandez
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats190183
   
Runs3319
   
Hits5557
   
Singles3239
   
Doubles714
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs164
   
RBI3423
   
Stolen Bases60
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks1420
   
Strikeouts6324
   
Batting Average.290.312
   
On Base Pct.340.383
   
Slugging Pct.579.454
   
On-base Plus Slugging.919.836
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Teoscar Hernandez
LF,CF,RF - TOR
Teoscar Hernandez
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats524556
   
Runs7981
   
Hits129163
   
Singles70106
   
Doubles2535
   
Triples33
   
Home Runs3218
   
RBI8573
   
Stolen Bases106
   
Caught Stealing44
   
Walks4846
   
Strikeouts17882
   
Batting Average.248.296
   
On Base Pct.312.350
   
Slugging Pct.490.465
   
On-base Plus Slugging.802.815
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Teoscar Hernandez
LF,CF,RF - TOR
Teoscar Hernandez
Jeff McNeil
2B,3B,LF,RF - NYM
Jeff McNeil
News 
 Blue Jays OF Teoscar Hernandez is no longer experiencing symptoms after testing positive for COVID-19 last Tuesday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Apr 17th
Jeff McNeil went 1-3 with one single and one strikeout.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Thu, Apr 15th
 Blue Jays outfielder Teoscar Hernandez tested positive for COVID-19, per Blue Jays manager Charlie Montoyo. He is showing symptoms but "doing better" and will now be out for at least 10 more days.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Apr 13th
Jeff McNeil hit a game-tying home run in the bottom of the ninth inning to help the Mets beat the Marlins on Thursday. He finished the game 1-3 with one run scored, one RBI, and one walk.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Apr 9th
 Blue Jays OF Teoscar Hernandez is expected to be sidelined until the team begins a series with the Royals next Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 10th
Jeff McNeil is receiving a day off on Wednesday against the Phillies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 7th
 Blue Jays outfielder Teoscar Hernandez is out Friday due to COVID-19 protocols.
AJ Schullo
Fri, Apr 9th
Jeff McNeil was hitless in four at-bats on Monday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Apr 6th
 Teoscar Hernandez went 0-for-4 at the plate with three strikeouts on Wednesday as the Blue Jays lost to the Rangers by a 2-1 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 8th
 
Notes 
 Unlike some fellow 2020 breakouts like Corbin Burnes and Zach Plesac, it's tough to figure out what led to Hernandez's sudden production. The Statcast page is blood red, but there weren't any improvements in his overall plate discipline. Skeptics point to this as a reason to say that he simply got hot for two months last summer. Perhaps he simply got a lot better at recognizing pitches, but a 33% HR/FB rate and a .348 BABIP are further indications that this production won't last.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Much of McNeil's 2020 season looked similar to his year in 2019. He hit over .300, rarely struck out, and got on base plenty. But the power gains that we saw in 2019 vanished, as he hit just four home runs over 52 games. His barrel rate (2.5%) and hard-hit percentage (26.5%) were some of the worst in the league, and he didn't even offer the token stolen base that he had chipped in during previous seasons. This is a scenario where McNeil's value to any particular fantasy manager will depend on the weight he or she gives to the shortened 2020 season. Given that McNeil never hit the ball particularly hard anyway, though, a good bet is to assume he at least returns to the high teens in home runs, slightly below his 2019 pace. With his strong average and multi-position eligibility, that makes McNeil an asset in the middle rounds.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Hernandez missed 10 games due to injury and still put up an impressive 16 home runs in his mere 50 games. The statcast leaderboard is peppered with Hernandez's name, as he hit the ball hard consistently throughout the year. He also upped his line drive rate significantly, which his why the underlying statistics supported his massive jump in batting average. But it's hard to tell if Hernandez's 2020 season was real or just a very hot 50-game stretch. After all, he still struck out more than 30 percent of the time, and his walk rate dropped by about two points. In the end, given his home park and his supporting case, you can buy Hernandez as a 35-homer bat who will chip in steals and help with the remaining counting stats. But assume he hits closer to his .245 batting average, and don't count on the 50 homer pace you saw last year.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros