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Who Should I Draft?

Tyler Glasnow or Corbin Burnes (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Expert
Recommendation
84%
Recommended by
43 of 51 experts
16%
Recommended by
8 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 20
Best Rank# 9# 14
Worst Rank# 39# 46
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 49# 56
Best Rank# 40# 51
Worst Rank# 54# 60
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts196174
Wins119
Saves00
ERA3.533.63
WHIP1.151.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 24
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 39# 42
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 24
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 24
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 26# 46
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 10# 24
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 20
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 15# 26
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 17# 23
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 19
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 14# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 25
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 13# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 21
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 32
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 19
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 15# 20
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 18# 19
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 18
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 27
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 27# 40
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 23
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 18
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 15# 25
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 18
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 17# 18
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 16# 22
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 16# 20
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 16# 20
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 15# 20
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 16# 24
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 14# 16
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 18# 17
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 16
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 17
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 19# 14
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 20# 19
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 21# 20
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 28# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 26
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started119
   
Innings Pitched57.060.3
   
Wins54
   
Losses11
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4337
   
Earned Runs2614
   
Home Runs Allowed112
   
Strikeouts9188
   
Walks2224
   
ERA4.082.11
   
WHIP1.131.02
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2829
   
Games Started2827
   
Innings Pitched150.1142.1
   
Wins119
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed118120
   
Earned Runs5957
   
Home Runs Allowed2018
   
Strikeouts196174
   
Walks5551
   
ERA3.533.63
   
WHIP1.151.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
News 
 Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow (elbow) will undergo Tommy John surgery on Wednesday.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 4th
Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
 Tampa Bay Rays right-hander Tyler Glasnow is expected to undergo Tommy John surgery next week, according to ESPN MLB insider Jeff Passan.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Jul 31st
Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
 Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow (elbow) played light catch on Thursday.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jul 15th
Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
 The Rays transferred RHP Tyler Glasnow (elbow) to the 60-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 17th
Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
 Rays RHP Tyler Glasnow (elbow) underwent an MRI on Tuesday, which revealed a partial UCL tear as well as a flexor strain. He was placed on the 10-day injured list with no timetable for a return.
Brad Camara
Tue, Jun 15th
Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's win over Cincinnati, allowing four runs on seven hits and three walks in six innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 25th
Notes 
 Glasnow is really a fascinating case study. He followed up an incredible 60-inning stretch in 2019 (1.78 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 33% strikeout rate) with a bit of a step back last year (4.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP). But his xFIP in 2020 (2.75) was actually lower than in 2019 (2.94), and his strikeout rate jumped to a whopping 38.2%. The real issue for Glasnow is that he's a two-pitch pitcher, and although both his fastball and curveball are outstanding, they need to be superb at all times for him to have a dominant season. And last year, they were both just a bit worse than the season prior, particularly his fastball. With enormous strikeout upside and a spot in the rotation of one of the best and most pitching-savvy teams in the Rays, Glasnow makes a fine SP2 for a fantasy team. But his injury history, and his lack of a third pitch, make him a bit riskier than others going in his range.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Glasnow is a classic risk-reward fantasy selection where he's being drafted. A prominent strikeout artist, he has completed six full innings in just 9-of-23 regular season starts since joining the Rays. A two-pitch pitcher, Glasnow is literally un-hittable when he's "on." However, when you have just two pitches, batters can more easily guess what's coming. This is what led to the 27-year-old giving up 11 homers in 2020. The strikeouts are nice but it feels like there's too much potential downside when considering his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros