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Who Should I Draft?

Tyler Glasnow or Kenta Maeda (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 15# 16
Best Rank# 9# 5
Worst Rank# 39# 36
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 49# 47
Best Rank# 40# 45
Worst Rank# 54# 61
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts196177
Wins1112
Saves00
ERA3.533.83
WHIP1.151.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 22
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 26# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 10# 22
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 17
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 15# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 15# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 20
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 14# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 22
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 13# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 13
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 15# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 24
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 13# 21
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 26
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 15# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 16
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 16# 17
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 16# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 15# 16
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 20# 23
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 14# 5
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 16# 15
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 16# 11
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 14
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 16
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 17# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 15
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 17# 15
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 18# 15
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 18# 16
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 15
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 19# 15
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 21# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 15
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 27# 19
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 28# 16
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 29# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 39# 16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched57.067.1
   
Wins56
   
Losses11
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4340
   
Earned Runs2620
   
Home Runs Allowed119
   
Strikeouts9180
   
Walks2210
   
ERA4.082.70
   
WHIP1.130.75
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2830
   
Games Started2829
   
Innings Pitched150.1160.7
   
Wins1112
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed118136
   
Earned Runs5968
   
Home Runs Allowed2023
   
Strikeouts196177
   
Walks5546
   
ERA3.533.83
   
WHIP1.151.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
News 
 Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow (elbow) will undergo Tommy John surgery on Wednesday.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 4th
Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
 Tampa Bay Rays right-hander Tyler Glasnow is expected to undergo Tommy John surgery next week, according to ESPN MLB insider Jeff Passan.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Jul 31st
Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
 Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow (elbow) played light catch on Thursday.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jul 15th
Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
 The Rays transferred RHP Tyler Glasnow (elbow) to the 60-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 17th
Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
 Rays RHP Tyler Glasnow (elbow) underwent an MRI on Tuesday, which revealed a partial UCL tear as well as a flexor strain. He was placed on the 10-day injured list with no timetable for a return.
Brad Camara
Tue, Jun 15th
The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Notes 
 Glasnow is really a fascinating case study. He followed up an incredible 60-inning stretch in 2019 (1.78 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 33% strikeout rate) with a bit of a step back last year (4.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP). But his xFIP in 2020 (2.75) was actually lower than in 2019 (2.94), and his strikeout rate jumped to a whopping 38.2%. The real issue for Glasnow is that he's a two-pitch pitcher, and although both his fastball and curveball are outstanding, they need to be superb at all times for him to have a dominant season. And last year, they were both just a bit worse than the season prior, particularly his fastball. With enormous strikeout upside and a spot in the rotation of one of the best and most pitching-savvy teams in the Rays, Glasnow makes a fine SP2 for a fantasy team. But his injury history, and his lack of a third pitch, make him a bit riskier than others going in his range.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Glasnow is a classic risk-reward fantasy selection where he's being drafted. A prominent strikeout artist, he has completed six full innings in just 9-of-23 regular season starts since joining the Rays. A two-pitch pitcher, Glasnow is literally un-hittable when he's "on." However, when you have just two pitches, batters can more easily guess what's coming. This is what led to the 27-year-old giving up 11 homers in 2020. The strikeouts are nice but it feels like there's too much potential downside when considering his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros