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Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or J.T. Realmuto (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
J.T. Realmuto
C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
33 of 50 experts
34%
Recommended by
17 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 38
Best Rank# 12# 11
Worst Rank# 65# 84
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 51# 48
Best Rank# 40# 39
Worst Rank# 54# 52
   
Projections 
   
Runs8476
Home Runs2723
RBI9579
Stolen Bases37
Batting Average.288.270
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 58
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 50
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 48
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 36
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65# 67
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 21
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 32# 73
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 50# 51
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 43
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 36
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 41# 42
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 27# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 57
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 33# 36
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 23# 36
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 33# 37
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 27
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 12# 36
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 36
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 31# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 31# 39
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 36
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 42
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 38
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 25# 34
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 84
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 44
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 36
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 37# 41
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 37# 44
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 32# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 32# 30
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 35# 25
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 37# 34
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 35
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 37# 36
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 38# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 40
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 35
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 42# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 37
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 31
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 49# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 49# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 54# 11
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 59# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
J.T. Realmuto
C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats221173
   
Runs3433
   
Hits5846
   
Singles3429
   
Doubles136
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI3332
   
Stolen Bases24
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks2016
   
Strikeouts3848
   
Batting Average.262.266
   
On Base Pct.329.349
   
Slugging Pct.462.491
   
On-base Plus Slugging.791.840
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
J.T. Realmuto
C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats554488
   
Runs8476
   
Hits158131
   
Singles9579
   
Doubles3226
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs2723
   
RBI9579
   
Stolen Bases37
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks5640
   
Strikeouts101120
   
Batting Average.288.270
   
On Base Pct.354.326
   
Slugging Pct.502.475
   
On-base Plus Slugging.856.801
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
J.T. Realmuto
C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-3 with one RBI, a run scored, and two walks in a 6-3 win over the Red Sox on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 22nd
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in Friday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals. The homer was his second of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Apr 17th
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and a second run scored in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Royals.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 18th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 1-for-4 with a double, a run scored, and a stolen base in Sunday's win over the Atlanta Braves. The steal is his first of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Apr 12th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 with a double and a home run in Thursday's 7-5 loss in Kansas City.
Andy Zimmerman
Fri, Apr 16th
Phillies catcher went 1-for-3 with a walk, a three-run home run, and a second run scored in Wednesday's 8-2 win over the New York Mets. The homer was his first of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Apr 8th
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with two walks, a stolen base, three RBI and a run scored Saturday in a victory over the Angels by a 15-1 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 11th
J.T. Realmuto is not in the Phillies' lineup for their game on Sunday against the Braves.
Dan Harris
Sun, Apr 4th
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run and three RBI in an extra-inning loss to the Angels on Thursday by a 7-5 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Apr 9th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI in Thursday's win over the Atlanta Braves.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Apr 2nd
Notes 
 Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Realmuto fractured the thumb on his throwing hand in mid-February, and is iffy for Opening Day. He is in a tier to himself among catchers when healthy, putting up consistently excellent numbers in what is the thinnest of positions. He had the highest barrel rate and hard hit percentage of his career in 2020, and also walked at a career-best pace. Realmuto is in his age-30 season, so that's getting near the point where catchers begin to decline. But given that he's shown no real slippage in his skills to this point, his numbers shouldn't fall off much in 2021, assuming he has no setbacks and returns on or around Opening Day. Back with Philadelphia now and for several years after signing a five-year contract, Realmuto is the only catcher worth drafting before the sixth or seventh round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Never be the first team to draft a catcher, words to live by.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros