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Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Tyler Glasnow (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
28 of 55 experts
49%
Recommended by
27 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 49# 50
Best Rank# 15# 21
Worst Rank# 98# 115
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 51# 49
Best Rank# 40# 40
Worst Rank# 54# 54
   
Projections 
   
Runs84
Home Runs2720
RBI95
Stolen Bases3
Batting Avg.288
Strikeouts101196
Wins11
Saves0
ERA3.53
WHIP1.15
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 62
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 66
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 74# 115
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 36# 74
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 35# 68
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 46# 53
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 30# 93
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 45# 50
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 35# 39
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 47# 50
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 40# 46
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 30# 41
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 15# 50
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 44# 46
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 53# 62
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 44# 47
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 41# 46
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 28# 49
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 39# 49
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 57# 72
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 57# 64
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 39# 54
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 49# 50
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 51# 98
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 54# 78
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 45# 55
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 53# 61
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 21
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 43# 34
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 40
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 47# 37
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 48# 45
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 49# 42
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 50# 49
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 50# 48
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 46
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 52# 51
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 53# 47
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 53# 52
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 54# 51
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 57# 52
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 58# 55
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 59# 54
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 59# 55
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 61# 58
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 64# 53
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 64# 45
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 65# 46
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 70# 34
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 71# 47
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 71# 47
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 85# 51
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 95# 61
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 98# 80
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs34
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI33
   
Stolen Bases2
   
Batting Avg.262
   
Strikeouts3891
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA4.08
   
WHIP1.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs84
   
Home Runs2720
   
RBI95
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.288
   
Strikeouts101196
   
Wins11
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.53
   
WHIP1.15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tyler Glasnow
SP - TB
Tyler Glasnow
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero went 1-for-4 at the plate with a solo home run in the 4-0 win over the Phillies on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, May 16th
Tyler Glasnow allowed two runs on five hits and a walk while striking out 10 over eight innings in a no-decision versus the Mets on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, May 15th
 Vladimir Guerrero went 1-for-2 at the plate with a solo home run and two walks in Friday's 5-1 loss to Philadelphia.
John Aubin
Sat, May 15th
Tyler Glasnow was tagged with the loss Saturday against the Athletics after allowing three runs on two hits and four walks while striking out 11 across 5 2/3 innings.
John Aubin
Sun, May 9th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 in Tuesday night’s 5-3 win over the Braves, including a home run and three RBI.
John Aubin
Wed, May 12th
Tyler Glasnow gives up three runs on four hits and four walks over six innings Monday, striking out eight and earning a win over the Angels.
John Aubin
Tue, May 4th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 0-for-3 at the plate with a walk and scored a run as the Blue Jays lost to the Astros by a 10-4 score.
John Aubin
Sat, May 8th
Tyler Glasnow gave up five hits, walked two and struck out 10 batters over seven scoreless innings Wednesday in the Rays' 2-0 win over the Athletics.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 29th
 Vladimir Guerrero went 3-for-4 at the plate with a double and a run scored in Monday's 5-4 loss to Oakland
John Aubin
Tue, May 4th
Tyler Glasnow allowed five runs on five hits and two walks while striking out 10 in six innings to take the loss against the Blue Jays on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Apr 24th
Notes 
 Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Glasnow is really a fascinating case study. He followed up an incredible 60-inning stretch in 2019 (1.78 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 33% strikeout rate) with a bit of a step back last year (4.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP). But his xFIP in 2020 (2.75) was actually lower than in 2019 (2.94), and his strikeout rate jumped to a whopping 38.2%. The real issue for Glasnow is that he's a two-pitch pitcher, and although both his fastball and curveball are outstanding, they need to be superb at all times for him to have a dominant season. And last year, they were both just a bit worse than the season prior, particularly his fastball. With enormous strikeout upside and a spot in the rotation of one of the best and most pitching-savvy teams in the Rays, Glasnow makes a fine SP2 for a fantasy team. But his injury history, and his lack of a third pitch, make him a bit riskier than others going in his range.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Glasnow is a classic risk-reward fantasy selection where he's being drafted. A prominent strikeout artist, he has completed six full innings in just 9-of-23 regular season starts since joining the Rays. A two-pitch pitcher, Glasnow is literally un-hittable when he's "on." However, when you have just two pitches, batters can more easily guess what's coming. This is what led to the 27-year-old giving up 11 homers in 2020. The strikeouts are nice but it feels like there's too much potential downside when considering his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros