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Who Should I Draft?

Walker Buehler or Lucas Giolito (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
27 of 50 experts
46%
Recommended by
23 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 6# 7
Best Rank# 4# 4
Worst Rank# 23# 15
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 21
Best Rank# 17# 19
Worst Rank# 24# 26
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts220197
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.713.30
WHIP1.131.07
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 9
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 7
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 7
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 5# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 13
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 9
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 5# 7
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 5# 9
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 5# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 5# 11
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 7
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 6# 8
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 6
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 9
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 5# 7
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 6# 11
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 4# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 6# 7
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 4# 9
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 7# 9
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 6# 9
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 7# 4
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 4
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 6# 4
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 5
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 6# 5
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 12# 5
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 5
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 5
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 5
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 6# 5
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 5
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 5
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 6
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 6
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 7# 6
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 6
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 10# 6
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 11# 7
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 9# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 8
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 13# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played128
   
Games Started128
   
Innings Pitched72.037.1
   
Wins41
   
Losses30
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4724
   
Earned Runs2814
   
Home Runs Allowed87
   
Strikeouts9742
   
Walks2811
   
ERA3.483.44
   
WHIP1.040.95
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3029
   
Games Started3030
   
Innings Pitched180.2168.9
   
Wins1312
   
Losses96
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed143137
   
Earned Runs7462
   
Home Runs Allowed2621
   
Strikeouts220197
   
Walks6144
   
ERA3.713.30
   
WHIP1.131.07
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
News 
 Lucas Giolito (1-0) allowed three runs on four hits and one walk while striking out 10 across five 1/3 innings during Tuesday’s 10-4 win over the Mariners. He picked up his first win of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 7th
RHP Walker Buehler picked up his first win of the year on Friday, allowing six hits and no runs with four strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers 1-0 win over the Nationals.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 9th
 Lucas Giolito allowed two runs on two hits and two walks while striking out eight over five 1/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Angels.
Brad Camara
Fri, Apr 2nd
Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Saturday when he allowed two runs on four hits with four strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers 6-5 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 4th
 Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Lucas Giolito will start Opening Day vs. the Los Angeles of Anaheim on April 1.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Mar 15th
Walker Buehler avoided arbitration by signing a 2-year, $8 million deal with the Dodgers. The deal includes a $2 million signing bonus, and includes several $500K contract escalators based on games started and Cy Young Award finishes.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Thu, Feb 11th
 Lucas Giolito avoids arbitration with the Chicago White Sox, agreeing to a deal worth $4.15 million for the 2021 season.
Ryan Evans - Baseballogy
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
 Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  There's little doubt that Buehler is one of the most talented starting pitchers in baseball, but we do have questions about his volume entering 2021. Did you know that during the regular season, Buehler had just one appearance where he completed six full innings? This wasn't just a Dodgers thing, either. Julio Urias had five such appearances while Tony Gonsolin had four and Dustin May had three. Of course, the team was saving Buehler for the playoffs more so than their other youngsters, and it worked out. The Dodgers have always handled Buehler with kid gloves, and while he'll be one of the best starters on a per-inning basis in 2021, I'm worried enough about the volume that I'm ranking him closer to the back half of my top-10 starters.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros