Who Should I Draft?

Willson Contreras or Danny Jansen (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
Danny Jansen
C - TOR
Danny Jansen
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
56 of 56 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 95# 142
Best Rank# 56# 88
Worst Rank# 184# 244
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 122# 188
Best Rank# 98# 163
Worst Rank# 128# 240
   
Projections 
   
Runs5648
Home Runs1512
RBI6347
Stolen Bases43
Batting Average.260.254
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 93# 154
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 106# 148
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 90# 106
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 144# 175
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 173# 224
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 111# 169
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 108# 156
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 83# 111
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 77# 142
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 81# 158
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 91# 123
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 93# 135
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 104# 127
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 101# 158
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 98# 187
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 76# 114
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 72# 89
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 56# 88
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 98# 167
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 184# 244
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 118# 132
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 117# 119
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 92# 144
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 101# 137
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 80# 115
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 106# 155
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 107# 159
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 113# 151
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 103# 143
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 97# 114
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 101# 146
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 108# 198
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 96# 159
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 74# 231
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 97# 159
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 127# 155
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 107# 119
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 109# 158
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 117# 144
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 102# 149
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 106# 140
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 101# 138
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 178# 214
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 111# 124
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 78# 140
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 93# 227
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 114# 135
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 128# 143
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 107# 167
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 91# 172
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 95# 107
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 144# 170
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 111# 122
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 93# 129
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 77# 148
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 99# 150
   
  Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
Danny Jansen
C - TOR
Danny Jansen
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats47481
   
Runs5012
   
Hits11820
   
Singles7611
   
Doubles276
   
Triples50
   
Home Runs103
   
RBI548
   
Stolen Bases40
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks539
   
Strikeouts12117
   
Batting Average.249.247
   
On Base Pct.340.347
   
Slugging Pct.390.432
   
On-base Plus Slugging.730.780
   
  Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
Danny Jansen
C - TOR
Danny Jansen
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats445369
   
Runs5648
   
Hits11594
   
Singles7459
   
Doubles2422
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs1512
   
RBI6347
   
Stolen Bases43
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks4938
   
Strikeouts11070
   
Batting Average.260.254
   
On Base Pct.333.324
   
Slugging Pct.429.419
   
On-base Plus Slugging.762.743
   
  Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
Danny Jansen
C - TOR
Danny Jansen
News 
 Willson Contreras went 0-for-4 in the Cubs' 10-3 loss to the Rockies on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
Danny Jansen went 2-for-3 with an RBI double as the Blue Jays lost to the Diamondbacks on Sunday by an 8-2 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
 Willson Contreras went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and two runs scored in the Cubs' 8-1 win over the Angels on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 3rd
Danny Jansen went 2-for-4 with a walk and a two-run home run in Friday's 10-2 win over the White Sox.
John Aubin
Sat, May 18th
 Willson Contreras went 0-for-4 with four strikeouts in the Cubs' 7-4 loss to the Cardinals on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Danny Jansen went 0-for-2 with a walk on Thursday as the Blue Jays lost to the White Sox by a 4-2 score.
John Aubin
Fri, May 17th
 Willson Contreras went 4-for-5 with a two-run home run and three singles in the Cubs' 14-6 win over the Nationals on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 18th
Danny Jansen went 0-for-4 on Friday as the Blue Jays beat the White Sox by a 4-3 score.
John Aubin
Sat, May 11th
 Willson Contreras went 1-for-4 with a two-run double in the Cubs' 4-2 loss to the Reds on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, May 17th
Danny Jansen went 2-for-4 at the plate and scored a run as the Blue Jays lost to the Angels by a 6-3 score.
John Aubin
Thu, May 2nd
Notes 
 Contreras was a major disappointment for fantasy owners in 2018 after starting off his career with 33 HRs, 109 RBIs and a .278 batting average through 629 at-bats in his first two years. He is still young, however, and expected to improve from last season.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
After batting .323 across three minor league levels in 2017, Jansen hit .275 with 12 homers and five steals through 88 games in AAA in 2018 before earning an August call-up to the Blue Jays. He hit .247 with three homers over 31 games in Toronto, and it's reasonable to expect him to maintain a similar pace over his first full Big League season with the potential for more. Given the sorry state of the catcher position, it could make sense to take a chance on Jansen's unknown upside once the seven or eight surefire starters at the position are off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 A rising star came crashing down when Contreras cratered to .249/.339/.390 with 10 homers in 544 plate appearances. He again hit ground balls on over half of his batted balls, but this time it came with fewer hard hits (28.9%) and more pop-ups (10.3%). A terrible second half (.264 wOBA) derailed this season, so it wasn't even a full year of regression. Even if not anticipating a full revival, the catching pool gets bleak enough to secure him as a top-eight option at worst.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
While far from a sure thing, Jansen is easily the best option for drafters who miss out on the top-eight catchers. He held his own (.247/.347/.432) during 31 late games with the Blue Jays after posting a 146 wRC+ with only five more strikeouts (49) than walks in Triple-A. He even stole five bases before his big league promotion, and simply repeating that tally would represent a major boost at the bleak position. He has the plate approach to hit for a higher average with decent power, and the Blue Jays should give him the neophyte regular reps after shipping Russell Martin back to the Dodgers. The only concern is a lack of catching depth forcing drafters to reach for Jansen once the likes of Willson Contreras, Buster Posey, and Yadier Molina fall off the board.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Contreras had a horribly disappointing 2018 season, hitting just 10 home runs after belting 21 long balls the previous season. The lack of homers was also responsible for lopping more than 25 points off his batting average, as his strikeout rate and BABIP were virtually identical to 2017. Of particular concern was the decline in his hard hit rate, in a year when most players saw their hard hit rates soar. Contreras is just 26 years old and didn't deal with any notable injuries last season, so the sudden drop in power is tough to explain. It stands to reason that a big bounce back could be in store, but he has to be viewed as a boom-or-bust option coming off a lost year.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Now that Martin was dealt to the Dodgers, Jansen is the favorite to start at catcher for the Blue Jays. He doesn't have much power, but his average will be quality and he should play enough that the RBIs and runs will make him a fringe top 12 fantasy catcher.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros