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Who Should I Draft?

Xander Bogaerts or Max Scherzer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
32 of 55 experts
42%
Recommended by
23 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 25
Best Rank# 15# 15
Worst Rank# 56# 53
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 31# 23
Best Rank# 23# 21
Worst Rank# 33# 25
   
Projections 
   
Runs94
Home Runs2825
RBI93
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.292
Strikeouts115232
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.36
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 30
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 18# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 20# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 53
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 26
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 22# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 21# 26
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 23
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 28# 32
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 21# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 28
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 27# 30
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 15# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 25# 31
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 24# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 19# 34
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 18# 43
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 23# 26
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 36
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 24# 27
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 26
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 21# 38
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 21# 36
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 19# 20
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 21# 33
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 22# 41
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 24# 19
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 25# 23
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 25# 24
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 24
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 27# 21
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 27# 22
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 23
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 19
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 32# 25
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 23
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 34# 21
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 35# 25
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 36# 24
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 38# 22
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 39# 30
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 41# 26
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 43# 37
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 43# 20
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 15
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 56# 41
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs36
   
Home Runs1110
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.301
   
Strikeouts4192
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.74
   
WHIP1.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs94
   
Home Runs2825
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.292
   
Strikeouts115232
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.36
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
News 
 Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-2 with a three run homer, three RBIs, and two runs scored in Saturday's win over the Angels.
Liam Gibney
Sun, May 16th
In Friday's 17-2 win against the Diamondbacks, Max Scherzer fired five scoreless innings with two hits, one walk, and seven strikeouts. According to Nationals writer, Jesse Dougherty, Scherzer was a bit under the weather with a sore throat, so that plus the big lead made it an easier decision to pull him early.
Corbin Young
Sat, May 15th
 Xander Bogaerts went 3-for-3 with a home run, a walk, three RBIs, and one run.
Liam Gibney
Fri, May 14th
On Saturday, Max Scherzer dominated the Yankees with 14 strikeouts. He allowed two hits, one earned run, and one walk through 7.1 innings.
Corbin Young
Sat, May 8th
 Xander Bogaerts went 3-for-4 with two RBIs, and two runs in Saturday's victory over the Orioles.
Liam Gibney
Sun, May 9th
Max Scherzer casually threw a complete game in Sunday's win against the Marlins. Scherzer allowed five hits and one earned run with nine strikeouts. Just another day on the mound for the Nationals ace.
Corbin Young
Sun, May 2nd
 Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk, one RBI, and one run in the Red Sox victory on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Fri, May 7th
In Tuesday's 9-5 loss against the Blue Jays, Max Scherzer hit a rough patch and allowed five earned runs in five innings. Scherzer allowed eight hits, seven total runs (five earned), two walks, and five strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Tue, Apr 27th
 Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-4 with two runs scored as the Red Sox fell to the Tigers in extra innings on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 6th
In Wednesday's 1-0 win against the Cardinals, Max Scherzer pitched six scoreless innings with four hits, one walk, and nine strikeouts. He earned his first win of the season.
Corbin Young
Wed, Apr 21st
Notes 
 Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros