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Who Should I Draft?

Xander Bogaerts or Max Scherzer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 25
Best Rank# 15# 15
Worst Rank# 56# 53
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 31# 23
Best Rank# 23# 21
Worst Rank# 33# 25
   
Projections 
   
Runs94
Home Runs2825
RBI93
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.292
Strikeouts115232
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.36
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 30
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 18# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 20# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 53
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 25
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 26
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 22# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 21# 26
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 23
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 28# 32
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 21# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 28
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 27# 30
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 15# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 25# 31
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 24# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 19# 34
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 18# 43
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 17# 27
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 23# 26
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 36
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 24# 27
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 26
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 21# 38
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 21# 36
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 19# 20
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 21# 33
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 22# 41
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 24# 19
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 25# 23
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 25# 24
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 26# 24
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 27# 21
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 27# 22
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 23
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 19
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 32# 25
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 23
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 34# 21
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 35# 25
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 36# 24
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 38# 22
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 39# 30
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 41# 26
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 43# 37
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 43# 20
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 15
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 56# 41
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs36
   
Home Runs1110
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.301
   
Strikeouts4192
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.74
   
WHIP1.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs94
   
Home Runs2825
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.292
   
Strikeouts115232
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.36
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
News 
 Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a home run, a walk, four RBIs, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Mets.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 22nd
Dodgers starting pitcher Max Scherzer will not start Game 6 of the National League Championship Series against the Braves.
Corbin Young
Sat, Oct 23rd
 Xander Bogaerts went 3-for-5 with a home run, four RBIs, and two runs scored in Saturday's win over Baltimore.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 19th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Dodgers starting pitcher Max Scherzer will start Game 2 of the NLCS against the Braves on Sunday night.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Oct 16th
 Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-5 with a triple and two runs scored in Tuesday's win over Seattle.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 15th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said that the plan is to start Max Scherzer for Game 1 of the NLCS. Scherzer threw 13 pitches on Thursday in the Dodgers' win at San Francisco.
Kamran Hoda
Fri, Oct 15th
 Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 on the day, hitting a double and a homer while also striking out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
Dodgers pitcher Max Scherzer will start Game 3 of the NLDS against the Giants on Monday night.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Oct 11th
 Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk in Friday's loss to the White Sox.
Liam Gibney
Sat, Sep 11th
RHP Max Scherzer took a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed six runs (five earned) on 11 hits with four strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings in the Dodgers' 11-9 win over the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 30th
Notes 
 Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros